Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 3, 2003

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $22.1900 (0.23%) ($22.1000 - $22.3400) on Fri. Oct. 3, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.83% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $22.1900(0.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(70%)    SPY(65%)    XLK(55%)    EEM(54%)    IWM(54%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-6%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(23%)    OIH(40%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.415% (StdDev 0.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.02(0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.83(1.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.74(2.07%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 0.92% (three month std-dev: 0.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20031103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_3_2003	21.49	21.74	21.83	22.02			22.19(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	-10000	11	59	0.33	51%	0.09	79.3	0.83%	0	2.3	66	0
2	Oct_2_2003	21.47	21.71	21.78	21.92			22.14(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	-10000	13	46	0.19	51%	0.05	86.7	0.83%	0	2.4	61	0
3	Oct_1_2003	21.46	21.67	21.75	21.8			21.93(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	-10000	10	34	0.79	49%	0.09	98.6	0.83%	0	1.7	61	0
4	Sep_30_2003	21.44	21.65	21.72	21.71			21.9(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	8	-10000	4	19	0.18	49%	0.09	101.4	0.84%	0	1.7	58	0
5	Sep_29_2003	21.42	21.63	21.7	21.67			21.94(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	10	-10000	7	18	0.25	49%	0.09	121.5	0.84%	0	2.2	58	0

6	Sep_26_2003	21.4	21.59	21.7	21.61			21.71(0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-1	-10000	-1	1	0.93	43%	0.09	100	0.84%	0	0.7	52	0
7	Sep_25_2003	21.38	21.55	21.7	21.62			21.51(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	-10000	-9	4	0.24	41%	0.09	83.5	0.84%	0	-0.2	52	0
8	Sep_24_2003	21.36	21.53	21.66	21.7			21.47(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	2	-10000	-4	21	0.29	41%	0.05	83.8	0.84%	0	-0.3	50	0
9	Sep_23_2003	21.35	21.5	21.67	21.7			21.73(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	8	-10000	0	33	0.19	41%	0.09	79.2	0.83%	0	0.8	58	0
10	Sep_22_2003	21.33	21.46	21.67	21.74			21.63(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	11	-10000	2	38	0.33	41%	0.09	74.3	0.84%	0	0.5	58	0

11	Sep_19_2003	21.31	21.42	21.66	21.72			21.75(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	2	52	0.24	39%	0.09	66	0.85%	0	1	72	0
12	Sep_18_2003	21.29	21.38	21.63	21.7			21.91(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	24	-10000	9	68	0.25	39%	0.09	69.2	0.85%	0	1.6	79	0
13	Sep_17_2003	21.27	21.33	21.59	21.62			21.67(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	2	69	0.5	35%	0.05	67.7	0.84%	0	1	77	0
14	Sep_16_2003	21.26	21.28	21.58	21.6			21.73(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	24	-10000	3	86	0.15	41%	0.09	62.5	0.84%	0	1.3	81	0
15	Sep_15_2003	21.24	21.23	21.55	21.57			21.54(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	-10000	-2	96	0.57	38%	0.09	60	0.87%	0	0.9	80	0

16	Sep_12_2003	21.22	21.19	21.5	21.59			21.66(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	31	-10000	4	113	2.12	39%	0.09	63.6	0.88%	0	1.3	88	0
17	Sep_11_2003	21.2	21.15	21.44	21.55			21.5(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	26	-10000	-1	106	1.4	39%	0.09	64.2	0.89%	0	1	67	0
18	Sep_10_2003	21.18	21.11	21.39	21.56			21.56(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10000	1	111	0.34	39%	0.09	69.3	0.89%	0	1.3	71	0
19	Sep_9_2003	21.16	21.07	21.32	21.55			21.59(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10000	3	116	0.35	39%	0.09	83.4	0.9%	0	1.6	76	0
20	Sep_8_2003	21.14	21.02	21.25	21.52			21.64(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	39	-10000	12	120	0.67	39%	0.05	85.5	0.9%	0	1.9	78	0

21	Sep_5_2003	21.13	20.97	21.16	21.4			21.48(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	-10000	10	100	0.93	36%	0.09	85.5	0.9%	0	1.8	73	0
22	Sep_4_2003	21.11	20.93	21.11	21.3			21.52(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	32	-10000	11	93	0.99	40%	0.14	77.6	0.91%	0	2.1	76	0
23	Sep_3_2003	21.08	20.87	21.04	21.19			21.51(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	30	-10000	13	79	0.96	40%	0.09	65.1	0.94%	0	2.4	76	0
24	Sep_2_2003	21.06	20.8	20.96	21.06			21.44(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	22	-10000	12	53	0.96	40%	0.24	47.5	0.94%	0	2.6	63	0
25	Aug_29_2003	21.01	20.75	20.89	20.94			21.05(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	7	33	0.53	36%		33.7	0.92%	0	1.4	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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