Trading Signals: XLRN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 13, 2017

Trading Signals: XLRN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Nov. 19, 2021)

(ACCELERON PHARMA INC)
XLRN latest price $37.6500 (3.43%) ($36.4300 - $38.0400) on Wed. Dec. 13, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.39% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $37.6500(3.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   XLRN advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLRN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(53%)    IBB(51%)    ARKG(45%)    IWO(45%)    ARKK(44%)
Factors Impacting XLRN price   XLRN will decline at least -1.195% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-15%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.195% (StdDev 2.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.15(4.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.88(4.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.24(3.89%)
To recent high   -5.7%
To recent low   10.3%
Market Cap   $2.039b

Acceleron Pharma, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapeutics to treat serious and rare diseases. Its product candidates include Luspatercept, designed to patients with chronic anemia associated within a wide range of blood diseases; ACE-083, designed for the treatment of focal muscle disorders; and Sotatercept, designed to treat pulmonary arterial hypertension. The company was founded by John L. Knopf and Thomas P. Maniatis in June 2003 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. XLRN price fluctuates within 2.76% (three month std-dev: 2.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 2.41%(89%) Average negative next day return: -0.49%(11%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 3.45%(78%) Average negative next three day return: -2.09%(22%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 3.83%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.96%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180113

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_13_2017	36.37	36.24	35.88	36.15	36.24	36.67	37.65(3.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	21	90	25	10	0.32	50%	0.14	25	2.39%	0	1.4	54	0
2	Dec_12_2017	36.32	36.07	35.59	35.79	35.77	36.16	36.4(1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	7	70	16	-20	0.36	48%	0.11	9.6	2.41%	0	0.3	47	0
3	Dec_11_2017	36.28	36	35.55	35.53	35.54	35.82	35.92(0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	60	17	-39	0.31	48%	0.14	-6.7	2.41%	0	-0.1	42	0
4	Dec_8_2017	36.23	35.97	35.61	35.31	35.31	35.38	35.68(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	10	4	-65	0.2	48%	0.14	-20.1	2.4%	0	-0.3	35	0
5	Dec_7_2017	36.18	35.95	35.74	35.28	35.28	35.26	35.1(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-0	-8	-71	0.34	48%	0.11	-28.4	2.4%	0	-0.8	43	0

6	Dec_6_2017	36.14	35.99	35.88	35.56	35.43	35.24	35.85(2.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	-50	2	-51	0.26	48%	0.14	-29.7	2.39%	0	-0.1	54	0
7	Dec_5_2017	36.09	35.97	35.98	35.37	35.55	35.3	35.12(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-30	-13	-49	0.23	48%	0.11	-49.3	2.37%	0	-0.8	57	0
8	Dec_4_2017	36.05	36.08	36.21	35.57	35.67	35.62	34.81(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-0	-16	-29	0.34	48%	0.08	-48.4	2.37%	0	-1.1	52	0
9	Dec_1_2017	36.02	36.19	36.59	35.94	35.92	35.8	35.54(-2.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	-30	-10	11	0.24	48%	0.08	-44.7	2.38%	0	-0.6	54	0
10	Nov_30_2017	35.99	36.26	36.74	35.94	36.23	35.73	36.49(4.59%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	1	-100	-10	34	0.31	53%	0.17	-36.3	2.44%	0	0.2	57	0

11	Nov_29_2017	35.93	36.32	36.65	36.27	36.51	36.04	34.89(-3.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-15	-70	-28	26	0.22	50%	0.03	-31	2.37%	0	-1.2	47	0
12	Nov_28_2017	35.92	36.52	36.62	36.67	36.83	36.73	36.12(-1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-10	-15	41	0.21	56%	0.11	-12.6	2.33%	0	-0.3	56	0
13	Nov_27_2017	35.88	36.62	36.53	36.94	37.08	36.99	36.67(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-10	-10	39	0.16	56%	0.11	-0.3	2.39%	0	0	47	0
14	Nov_24_2017	35.84	36.69	36.38	37.34	37.3	36.92	37.18(1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-70	-7	45	0.08	59%	0.25	13.4	2.41%	0	0.4	50	0
15	Nov_22_2017	35.75	36.66	36.18	37.3	37.5	37.16	36.49(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-50	-3	34	0.2	61%	0.03	11.3	2.43%	0	-0.1	48	0

16	Nov_21_2017	35.74	36.66	36.12	37.07	37.27	37.68	36.9(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	90	17	21	0.16	61%	0.14	-1.7	2.47%	0	0.2	46	0
17	Nov_20_2017	35.69	36.68	35.95	36.52	36.63	37.85	37.44(-3.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	29	240	42	-12	0.22	61%	0.2	-21.2	2.46%	0	0.6	42	0
18	Nov_17_2017	35.62	36.63	35.91	36.03	35.78	36.85	38.71(4.71%)	RB	SmallLong	20	2.1	33	190	54	-32	0.28	60%	0.23	-36.9	2.48%	0	1.6	49	0
19	Nov_16_2017	35.54	36.51	35.7	35.31	35.08	35.41	36.97(4.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	-0	50	26	-79	0.33	58%	0.17	-63.5	2.42%	0	0.4	44	0
20	Nov_15_2017	35.48	36.52	35.68	34.94	34.86	34.7	35.34(3.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-32	-40	-6	-108	0.37	55%	0.17	-70.8	2.35%	0	-0.9	45	0

21	Nov_14_2017	35.42	36.7	35.91	35.06	35.02	34.76	34.12(-2.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-38	-60	-15	-105	0.29	52%	0.08	-65.2	2.31%	0	-1.9	38	0
22	Nov_13_2017	35.39	36.95	36.39	35.29	35.33	35.03	35.02(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-60	-22	-88	0.2	54%	0.03	-68.9	2.3%	0	-1.5	41	0
23	Nov_10_2017	35.38	37.11	36.72	35.75	35.74	35.28	35.09(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-90	-24	-60	0.22	48%	0.03	-65	2.33%	0	-1.6	45	0
24	Nov_9_2017	35.37	37.3	37.03	36.14	36.33	35.63	35.14(-2.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-120	-25	-34	0.19	48%	0.08	-57	2.5%	0	-1.8	44	0
25	Nov_8_2017	35.34	37.49	37.22	36.52	36.75	36.2	35.95(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-90	-30	-26	0.26	48%		-50.5	2.51%	0	-1.4	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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