Trading Signals: XLRN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 11, 2017

Trading Signals: XLRN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Nov. 19, 2021)

(ACCELERON PHARMA INC)
XLRN latest price $33.2300 (1.93%) ($32.2600 - $33.8700) on Tue. Jul. 11, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.88% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $33.2300(1.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   XLRN advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLRN advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLRN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(53%)    IBB(51%)    ARKG(45%)    IWO(45%)    ARKK(43%)
Factors Impacting XLRN price   XLRN will decline at least -1.94% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-13%)    SHY(-3%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.94% (StdDev 3.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.42(2.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.67(4.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.43(5.73%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   31.6%
Market Cap   $1.8b

Acceleron Pharma, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapeutics to treat serious and rare diseases. Its product candidates include Luspatercept, designed to patients with chronic anemia associated within a wide range of blood diseases; ACE-083, designed for the treatment of focal muscle disorders; and Sotatercept, designed to treat pulmonary arterial hypertension. The company was founded by John L. Knopf and Thomas P. Maniatis in June 2003 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. XLRN price fluctuates within 4.52% (three month std-dev: 3.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 39 Average positive next day return: 1.29%(44%) Average negative next day return: -1.92%(56%) Sample size 39 Average positive next three day return: 2.28%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -3.59%(54%) Sample size 39 Average positive next weekly return: 2.77%(49%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.31%(51%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170811

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_11_2017	28.8	31.43	31.67	32.42	32.33	32.78	33.23(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	90	13	6	0.31	55%	0.17	64.2	3.88%	0	1.3	57	INF
2	Jul_10_2017	28.75	31.19	31.43	32.09	32.04	32.37	32.6(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	70	16	2	0.23	55%	0.21	54.3	3.88%	0	0.9	59	INF
3	Jul_7_2017	28.69	31.01	31.54	31.65	31.68	31.89	32.67(3.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	50	11	7	0.18	55%	0.21	46.1	3.89%	0	1.1	62	INF
4	Jul_6_2017	28.63	30.85	31.63	31.29	31.28	31.72	31.54(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	100	5	16	0.25	55%	0.14	46	3.87%	0	0.5	61	INF
5	Jul_5_2017	28.59	30.72	31.71	31.28	31.12	31.47	32.06(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	60	19	33	0.4	55%	0.32	55.2	3.87%	0	0.9	58	INF

6	Jul_3_2017	28.5	30.55	31.64	30.8	30.82	30.84	31.58(3.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	10	4	21	0.17	55%	0.21	52.6	3.84%	0	0.6	58	INF
7	Jun_30_2017	28.44	30.39	31.53	30.68	30.68	30.78	30.39(-1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-8	20	-17	20	0.2	53%	0.21	59.8	3.79%	0	0	61	INF
8	Jun_29_2017	28.38	30.32	31.49	31.42	31.21	30.81	30.87(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-110	-13	48	0.3	53%	0.28	76.9	3.79%	0	0.3	58	INF
9	Jun_28_2017	28.3	30.16	31.34	32.04	31.9	30.57	31.5(6.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-300	-22	63	0.41	53%	0.28	81.3	3.78%	0	0.7	58	INF
10	Jun_27_2017	28.22	29.88	31.21	32.23	32.6	31.61	29.64(-4.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-4	-180	-30	76	0.38	50%	0.18	79.7	3.7%	0	-0.1	56	INF

11	Jun_26_2017	28.17	29.71	31.24	32.56	32.94	33.22	31.01(-9.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	28	90	1	108	0.61	53%	0.28	84.8	3.67%	0	0.6	62	INF
12	Jun_23_2017	28.09	29.44	31	32.42	32.52	33.6	34.1(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	60	240	37	127	0.91	58%	0.36	77	3.47%	0	2	77	INF
13	Jun_22_2017	27.99	29.04	30.47	31.54	31.65	32.66	33.95(4.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	60	230	45	104	0.63	58%	0.36	70.8	3.47%	0	2.3	73	INF
14	Jun_21_2017	27.89	28.64	29.98	30.57	30.59	31.45	32.43(3.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	39	200	26	77	0.61	53%	0.29	64.8	3.43%	0	2	74	INF
15	Jun_20_2017	27.81	28.28	29.61	30.1	30	30.65	31.33(3.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	37	140	23	80	0.35	51%	0.29	48.1	3.48%	0	1.7	78	INF

16	Jun_19_2017	27.73	27.98	29.31	29.76	29.64	29.73	30.31(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	10	17	83	0.35	51%	0.25	32	3.46%	0	1.4	73	INF
17	Jun_16_2017	27.66	27.74	29.11	29.34	29.21	29.36	29.69(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	20	1	82	0.3	51%	0.18	13.8	3.47%	0	1.2	74	INF
18	Jun_15_2017	27.61	27.6	29.02	29.21	29.04	29.55	29.11(-3.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	110	6	96	0.28	51%	0.18	6.6	3.46%	0	0.9	63	INF
19	Jun_14_2017	27.56	27.47	28.88	29.28	29	29.06	30.05(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	-10	13	113	0.31	47%	0.22	3.1	3.44%	0	1.6	69	INF
20	Jun_13_2017	27.5	27.45	28.44	29.04	28.9	28.53	29.64(4.99%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	24	-100	-2	101	0.97	47%	0.18	4.6	3.5%	0	1.4	71	INF

21	Jun_12_2017	27.45	27.44	28.07	28.81	28.95	28.94	28.23(-2.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	21	10	-5	100	0.27	44%	0.15	7	3.44%	0	0.5	67	INF
22	Jun_9_2017	27.41	27.51	27.8	28.83	28.92	29.26	29.04(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	90	7	107	0.3	48%	0.15	2.7	3.43%	0	0.9	70	INF
23	Jun_8_2017	27.37	27.49	27.54	28.79	28.74	28.95	29.42(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	50	15	106	0.18	51%	0.18	-5.2	3.5%	0	1.1	60	INF
24	Jun_7_2017	27.32	27.42	27.2	28.42	28.49	28.57	28.86(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	30	19	92	0.19	47%	0.15	-21.5	3.54%	0	0.9	61	INF
25	Jun_6_2017	27.28	27.38	26.85	27.75	27.98	28.53	28.52(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	160	18	38	0.33	47%		-44.6	3.68%	0	0.7	42	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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