Trading Signals: XLRN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: XLRN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Nov. 19, 2021)

(ACCELERON PHARMA INC)
XLRN latest price $32.2000 (1.64%) ($30.9000 - $32.4800) on Fri. Apr. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.49% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $32.2000(1.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   XLRN advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLRN advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLRN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(57%)    IBB(55%)    ARKG(47%)    IWO(45%)    ARKK(42%)
Factors Impacting XLRN price   XLRN will decline at least -2.245% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-9%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.245% (StdDev 4.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.99(3.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.13(3.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.83(7.95%)
To recent high   -11.3%
To recent low   36.2%
Market Cap   $1.744b

Acceleron Pharma, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapeutics to treat serious and rare diseases. Its product candidates include Luspatercept, designed to patients with chronic anemia associated within a wide range of blood diseases; ACE-083, designed for the treatment of focal muscle disorders; and Sotatercept, designed to treat pulmonary arterial hypertension. The company was founded by John L. Knopf and Thomas P. Maniatis in June 2003 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. XLRN price fluctuates within 8.18% (three month std-dev: 4.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 6.05%(63%) Average negative next day return: -0.95%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 10.88%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -3.68%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 9.99%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.87%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160522

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_22_2016	32.57	29.83	31.13	30.99	30.79	31.37	32.2(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	110	13	9	0.17	46%	-0.31	56.2	4.49%	0	1	65	INF
2	Apr_21_2016	32.67	29.44	31.02	30.8	30.61	30.56	31.68(4.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-30	4	16	0.3	46%	-0.4	51.3	4.57%	0	0.8	70	INF
3	Apr_20_2016	32.8	29.09	30.99	30.75	30.64	30.21	30.44(4.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-110	-11	30	0.61	47%	-0.39	48.1	4.54%	0	0.5	71	INF
4	Apr_19_2016	32.93	28.95	31.13	31.01	31	30.66	29.18(-7.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	6	-80	-13	62	0.32	47%	-0.45	55.4	4.55%	0	0.1	70	INF
5	Apr_18_2016	33.08	28.82	31.24	31.46	31.31	31.07	31.47(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	26	-70	1	100	0.27	50%	-0.33	58.5	4.48%	0	0.9	82	INF

6	Apr_15_2016	33.19	28.51	31.03	31.46	31.21	31.33	31.23(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	29	20	-2	120	0.17	50%	-0.06	54.1	4.52%	0	1	86	INF
7	Apr_14_2016	33.21	28.14	30.68	31.26	31.23	31.54	31.44(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	70	5	141	0.17	51%	-0.36	48.9	4.54%	0	1.1	84	INF
8	Apr_13_2016	33.33	27.81	30.2	31.27	31.26	31.09	31.72(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	39	-40	1	154	0.21	50%	-0.3	45.9	4.58%	0	1.3	83	INF
9	Apr_12_2016	33.43	27.49	29.63	31.31	31.22	30.93	31.42(3.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	36	-70	-2	150	0.32	50%	-0.3	45	4.63%	0	1.4	62	INF
10	Apr_11_2016	33.53	27.25	29.07	31	31.27	31.44	30.48(-2.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	42	60	6	148	0.31	50%	-0.27	40.1	4.63%	0	1.2	64	INF

11	Apr_8_2016	33.62	27.06	28.45	30.75	30.83	31.51	31.26(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	52	160	21	146	0.48	50%	-0.15	36.3	4.62%	0	1.7	70	INF
12	Apr_7_2016	33.67	26.77	27.75	29.96	29.98	31.11	31.45(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	59	270	33	136	0.53	48%	-0.18	25.7	4.63%	0	2	74	INF
13	Apr_6_2016	33.73	26.54	27.03	28.95	28.8	30.15	31.92(6.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	58	310	40	110	0.5	46%	-0.12	14.2	4.68%	0	2.7	69	INF
14	Apr_5_2016	33.77	26.29	26.54	27.71	27.66	28.85	29.9(2.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	46	300	33	83	0.42	41%	-0.18	-2.2	4.69%	0	2.2	63	INF
15	Apr_4_2016	33.83	26.25	26.14	26.88	26.85	27.46	29.21(6.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	39	160	33	55	0.45	40%	-0.18	-4.4	4.84%	0	1.8	54	INF

16	Apr_1_2016	33.89	26.18	25.72	25.82	25.94	26.46	27.34(3.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	16	150	17	14	0.37	38%	-0.26	-14.3	4.84%	0	0.7	51	INF
17	Mar_31_2016	33.98	26.2	25.35	25.2	25.28	26.24	26.39(2.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	10	280	18	-13	0.37	38%	-0.29	-14.5	4.84%	0	0.1	52	INF
18	Mar_30_2016	34.08	26.25	25.19	24.81	24.78	25.43	25.7(-0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	180	5	-40	0.35	38%	-0.35	-17.5	4.82%	0	-0.3	45	INF
19	Mar_29_2016	34.2	26.33	25.16	25.19	24.77	24.33	25.76(7.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-14	-170	-4	-44	0.4	39%	-0.41	-7.9	4.82%	0	-0.3	44	INF
20	Mar_28_2016	34.34	26.32	25.29	25.32	25.33	24.13	23.92(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-29	-330	-19	-58	0.29	37%	-0.58	-9.5	4.77%	0	-1.5	33	INF

21	Mar_24_2016	34.54	26.41	25.58	25.6	25.81	25.2	24.21(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-23	-140	-12	-55	0.42	37%	-0.29	-10.2	4.78%	0	-1.4	39	INF
22	Mar_23_2016	34.64	26.43	25.78	25.48	25.84	26.53	24.46(-11.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-13	230	3	-61	0.47	37%	-0.26	-19	4.78%	0	-1.3	41	INF
23	Mar_22_2016	34.73	26.54	26.07	25.57	25.32	26.42	27.62(4.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	5	270	24	-54	0.36	39%	-0.17	-26	4.61%	0	0.7	50	INF
24	Mar_21_2016	34.79	26.46	26.04	25.14	24.87	25.16	26.39(4.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-14	50	6	-72	0.34	40%	-0.14	-37.1	4.56%	0	-0	48	INF
25	Mar_18_2016	34.84	26.47	26.34	25.31	24.99	24.23	25.31(7.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-25	-250	-14	-58	0.77	40%		-30.1	4.64%	0	-0.8	53	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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