Trading Signals: XLRN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 11, 2016

Trading Signals: XLRN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Nov. 19, 2021)

(ACCELERON PHARMA INC)
XLRN latest price $30.4800 (-2.5%) ($30.2500 - $32.4500) on Mon. Apr. 11, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.63% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $30.4800(-2.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   XLRN advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLRN advances 11.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLRN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(58%)    IBB(56%)    ARKG(47%)    IWO(45%)    ARKK(42%)
Factors Impacting XLRN price   XLRN will decline at least -2.315% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-9%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.315% (StdDev 4.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $31(-1.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.07(4.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.25(11.85%)
To recent high   -16.1%
To recent low   28.9%
Market Cap   $1.651b

Acceleron Pharma, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapeutics to treat serious and rare diseases. Its product candidates include Luspatercept, designed to patients with chronic anemia associated within a wide range of blood diseases; ACE-083, designed for the treatment of focal muscle disorders; and Sotatercept, designed to treat pulmonary arterial hypertension. The company was founded by John L. Knopf and Thomas P. Maniatis in June 2003 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. XLRN price fluctuates within 9.58% (three month std-dev: 4.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.65%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.9%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.71%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160511

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_11_2016	33.53	27.25	29.07	31	31.27	31.44	30.48(-2.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	42	60	6	148	0.31	50%	-0.27	40.1	4.63%	0	1.2	64	0
2	Apr_8_2016	33.62	27.06	28.45	30.75	30.83	31.51	31.26(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	52	160	21	146	0.48	50%	-0.15	36.3	4.62%	0	1.7	70	0
3	Apr_7_2016	33.67	26.77	27.75	29.96	29.98	31.11	31.45(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	59	270	33	136	0.53	48%	-0.18	25.7	4.63%	0	2	74	0
4	Apr_6_2016	33.73	26.54	27.03	28.95	28.8	30.15	31.92(6.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	58	310	40	110	0.5	46%	-0.12	14.2	4.68%	0	2.7	69	0
5	Apr_5_2016	33.77	26.29	26.54	27.71	27.66	28.85	29.9(2.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	46	300	33	83	0.42	41%	-0.18	-2.2	4.69%	0	2.2	63	0

6	Apr_4_2016	33.83	26.25	26.14	26.88	26.85	27.46	29.21(6.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	39	160	33	55	0.45	40%	-0.18	-4.4	4.84%	0	1.8	54	0
7	Apr_1_2016	33.89	26.18	25.72	25.82	25.94	26.46	27.34(3.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	16	150	17	14	0.37	38%	-0.26	-14.3	4.84%	0	0.7	51	0
8	Mar_31_2016	33.98	26.2	25.35	25.2	25.28	26.24	26.39(2.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	10	280	18	-13	0.37	38%	-0.29	-14.5	4.84%	0	0.1	52	0
9	Mar_30_2016	34.08	26.25	25.19	24.81	24.78	25.43	25.7(-0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	180	5	-40	0.35	38%	-0.35	-17.5	4.82%	0	-0.3	45	0
10	Mar_29_2016	34.2	26.33	25.16	25.19	24.77	24.33	25.76(7.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-14	-170	-4	-44	0.4	39%	-0.41	-7.9	4.82%	0	-0.3	44	0

11	Mar_28_2016	34.34	26.32	25.29	25.32	25.33	24.13	23.92(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-29	-330	-19	-58	0.29	37%	-0.58	-9.5	4.77%	0	-1.5	33	0
12	Mar_24_2016	34.54	26.41	25.58	25.6	25.81	25.2	24.21(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-23	-140	-12	-55	0.42	37%	-0.29	-10.2	4.78%	0	-1.4	39	0
13	Mar_23_2016	34.64	26.43	25.78	25.48	25.84	26.53	24.46(-11.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-13	230	3	-61	0.47	37%	-0.26	-19	4.78%	0	-1.3	41	0
14	Mar_22_2016	34.73	26.54	26.07	25.57	25.32	26.42	27.62(4.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	5	270	24	-54	0.36	39%	-0.17	-26	4.61%	0	0.7	50	0
15	Mar_21_2016	34.79	26.46	26.04	25.14	24.87	25.16	26.39(4.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-14	50	6	-72	0.34	40%	-0.14	-37.1	4.56%	0	-0	48	0

16	Mar_18_2016	34.84	26.47	26.34	25.31	24.99	24.23	25.31(7.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-25	-250	-14	-58	0.77	40%	-0.14	-30.1	4.64%	0	-0.8	53	0
17	Mar_17_2016	34.89	26.57	26.65	25.63	25.69	24.58	23.64(-4.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-29	-300	-25	-42	0.43	38%	-0.2	-17.8	4.54%	0	-2.1	47	0
18	Mar_16_2016	34.96	26.72	27.11	26.1	26.28	25.75	24.87(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-21	-120	-23	-13	0.42	39%	-0.06	-7.1	4.51%	0	-1.4	57	0
19	Mar_15_2016	34.98	26.92	27.41	26.6	26.76	26.81	25.49(-6.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	30	-9	12	0.33	39%	-0.03	18.3	4.51%	0	-1.1	49	0
20	Mar_14_2016	34.99	27	27.61	27.05	27.02	26.8	27.26(1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-60	-10	30	0.41	41%	0.03	36.4	4.47%	0	0.2	56	0

21	Mar_11_2016	34.98	26.92	27.45	27.55	27.39	26.72	26.87(3.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-190	-15	38	0.33	41%	0.06	42.7	4.47%	0	-0	52	0
22	Mar_10_2016	34.96	26.92	27.32	27.87	28.08	27.23	26.02(-4.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-4	-190	-18	38	0.37	41%	0.03	36.9	4.44%	0	-0.6	47	0
23	Mar_9_2016	34.95	26.82	27.18	28.26	28.38	28.07	27.36(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-60	-12	44	0.54	42%	0.06	35.8	4.41%	0	0.4	56	0
24	Mar_8_2016	34.93	26.69	27.09	28.32	28.5	28.94	27.74(-6.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	15	130	6	42	0.36	42%	0.09	22.3	4.41%	0	0.7	46	0
25	Mar_7_2016	34.9	26.55	26.93	28.22	28.18	28.7	29.78(4.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	120	27	45	0.54	44%		2.3	4.35%	0	2.2	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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