Trading Signals: XLRN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: XLRN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Nov. 19, 2021)

(ACCELERON PHARMA INC)
XLRN latest price $29.7800 (4.6%) ($27.8500 - $30.5600) on Mon. Mar. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.35% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $29.7800(4.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   XLRN advances 3.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLRN advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLRN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(59%)    IBB(56%)    ARKG(48%)    IWO(45%)    ARKK(43%)
Factors Impacting XLRN price   XLRN will decline at least -2.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-9%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.175% (StdDev 4.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.22(5.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.93(10.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.55(12.17%)
To recent high   -40.5%
To recent low   23.2%
Market Cap   $1.613b

Acceleron Pharma, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapeutics to treat serious and rare diseases. Its product candidates include Luspatercept, designed to patients with chronic anemia associated within a wide range of blood diseases; ACE-083, designed for the treatment of focal muscle disorders; and Sotatercept, designed to treat pulmonary arterial hypertension. The company was founded by John L. Knopf and Thomas P. Maniatis in June 2003 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. XLRN price fluctuates within 5.61% (three month std-dev: 4.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160407

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_7_2016	34.9	26.55	26.93	28.22	28.18	28.7	29.78(4.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	120	27	45	0.54	44%	0.14	2.3	4.35%	0	2.2	59	INF
2	Mar_4_2016	34.85	26.37	26.59	27.34	27.47	28.06	28.47(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	160	20	23	0.34	42%	0.14	-30.5	4.3%	0	1.6	61	INF
3	Mar_3_2016	34.8	26.32	26.43	26.71	26.88	27.66	27.97(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	25	220	27	19	0.33	42%	0.17	-54.1	4.29%	0	1.3	62	INF
4	Mar_2_2016	34.74	26.33	26.24	25.95	26.26	26.88	27.65(1.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	12	200	18	-5	0.51	42%	0.17	-81.2	4.29%	0	1	57	INF
5	Mar_1_2016	34.68	26.36	26.33	25.7	25.66	26.1	27.25(7.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	9	120	10	5	0.48	42%	0.09	-96.2	4.28%	0	0.6	60	INF

6	Feb_29_2016	34.65	26.51	26.28	25.46	25.63	25.63	25.34(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	20	-2	4	0.56	39%	0.06	-94.9	4.13%	0	-0.7	54	INF
7	Feb_26_2016	34.63	26.77	26.31	25.74	25.8	25.22	25.32(4.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-11	-150	-15	1	0.39	39%	0.03	-93.8	4.14%	0	-0.8	48	INF
8	Feb_25_2016	34.62	27.02	26.28	26.12	26.27	25.63	24.18(-8.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-16	-150	-20	-4	0.48	37%	-0.03	-90.2	4.11%	0	-1.4	40	INF
9	Feb_24_2016	34.63	27.42	26.46	26.53	26.66	26.39	26.4(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-60	-19	-5	0.26	39%	0.09	-82.5	4.01%	0	-0.5	44	INF
10	Feb_23_2016	34.6	27.75	26.31	27.04	27.08	26.92	26.07(-2.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-40	-6	-5	0.3	41%	0.03	-65.5	4.01%	0	-0.7	41	INF

11	Feb_22_2016	34.59	28.2	26.2	27.21	27.45	26.94	26.73(-1.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-4	-100	3	-26	0.39	41%	0.06	-51.9	4.05%	0	-0.5	37	INF
12	Feb_19_2016	34.57	28.65	26.17	26.94	27.19	27.23	27.2(3.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	40	2	-53	0.23	45%	0.12	-46.1	4.21%	0	-0.4	39	INF
13	Feb_18_2016	34.53	28.97	26.22	26.47	26.88	27.97	26.27(-9.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-6	330	17	-74	0.36	45%	0.03	-47.1	4.19%	0	-0.8	35	INF
14	Feb_17_2016	34.52	29.35	26.42	26.35	26.13	27.15	28.93(7.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	6	250	38	-89	0.48	48%	0.15	-48.4	4.06%	0	-0.1	37	INF
15	Feb_16_2016	34.47	29.52	26.35	25.49	25.46	25.8	26.91(5.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-22	90	20	-146	0.31	45%	0.26	-55.3	3.94%	0	-0.7	24	INF

16	Feb_12_2016	34.38	29.85	26.69	25.07	25.1	25.11	25.41(2.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-52	10	-5	-193	0.23	42%	-0.12	-58.8	3.83%	0	-1.2	13	INF
17	Feb_11_2016	34.42	30.33	27.2	25.31	25.07	25.13	24.83(-3.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-67	-10	-17	-215	0.28	42%	-0.2	-58.2	3.82%	0	-1.5	9	INF
18	Feb_10_2016	34.49	30.77	27.78	25.94	25.68	25.08	25.67(4.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-65	-190	-16	-213	0.44	42%	-0.2	-62.1	3.8%	0	-1.4	24	INF
19	Feb_9_2016	34.56	31.25	28.42	26.5	26.44	25.01	24.63(-0.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-85	-390	-41	-218	0.21	40%	-0.26	-66.7	3.78%	0	-1.9	18	INF
20	Feb_8_2016	34.65	31.74	29.32	27.34	27.4	26.29	24.83(-6.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-88	-280	-51	-197	0.52	40%	-0.32	-81.7	3.78%	0	-2.2	28	INF

21	Feb_5_2016	34.76	32.25	30.39	28.53	28.39	27.86	26.59(-5.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-61	-150	-31	-151	0.42	50%	-0.26	-105.3	3.77%	0	-2.1	28	INF
22	Feb_4_2016	34.85	32.69	31.36	29.35	29.36	28.52	28(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-44	-200	-20	-115	0.37	52%	-0.14	-133.8	3.96%	0	-2	28	INF
23	Feb_3_2016	34.9	33.15	31.97	29.89	30.12	28.93	28.45(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-53	-250	-35	-105	0.83	52%	-0.17	-156.2	3.98%	0	-2	38	INF
24	Feb_2_2016	34.96	33.73	32.57	30.65	30.93	30.2	28.82(-6.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-50	-140	-36	-92	0.72	54%	-0.17	-149.3	3.98%	0	-2	34	INF
25	Feb_1_2016	35.02	34.51	32.98	31.6	31.93	31.3	30.77(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-110	-26	-72	0.57	58%		-114.7	3.97%	0	-1.2	43	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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