Trading Signals: XLRN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLRN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Feb. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: XLRN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Nov. 19, 2021)

(ACCELERON PHARMA INC)
XLRN latest price $27.2000 (3.54%) ($25.6500 - $27.5100) on Fri. Feb. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.21% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $27.2000(3.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   XLRN advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLRN declines -3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLRN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(59%)    IBB(57%)    ARKG(48%)    IWO(45%)    ARKK(43%)
Factors Impacting XLRN price   XLRN will decline at least -2.105% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-9%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.105% (StdDev 4.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.9%

Resistance Level   $28.65
5 Day Moving Average   $26.94(0.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.17(3.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.65(-5.06%)
To recent high   -45.6%
To recent low   10.4%
Market Cap   $1.473b

Acceleron Pharma, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapeutics to treat serious and rare diseases. Its product candidates include Luspatercept, designed to patients with chronic anemia associated within a wide range of blood diseases; ACE-083, designed for the treatment of focal muscle disorders; and Sotatercept, designed to treat pulmonary arterial hypertension. The company was founded by John L. Knopf and Thomas P. Maniatis in June 2003 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. XLRN price fluctuates within 12.04% (three month std-dev: 4.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 4.07%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.44%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.44%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160319

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_19_2016	34.57	28.65	26.17	26.94	27.19	27.23	27.2(3.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	40	2	-53	0.23	45%	0.12	-46.1	4.21%	0	-0.4	39	INF
2	Feb_18_2016	34.53	28.97	26.22	26.47	26.88	27.97	26.27(-9.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-6	330	17	-74	0.36	45%	0.03	-47.1	4.19%	0	-0.8	35	INF
3	Feb_17_2016	34.52	29.35	26.42	26.35	26.13	27.15	28.93(7.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	6	250	38	-89	0.48	48%	0.15	-48.4	4.06%	0	-0.1	37	INF
4	Feb_16_2016	34.47	29.52	26.35	25.49	25.46	25.8	26.91(5.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-22	90	20	-146	0.31	45%	0.26	-55.3	3.94%	0	-0.7	24	INF
5	Feb_12_2016	34.38	29.85	26.69	25.07	25.1	25.11	25.41(2.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-52	10	-5	-193	0.23	42%	-0.12	-58.8	3.83%	0	-1.2	13	INF

6	Feb_11_2016	34.42	30.33	27.2	25.31	25.07	25.13	24.83(-3.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-67	-10	-17	-215	0.28	42%	-0.2	-58.2	3.82%	0	-1.5	9	INF
7	Feb_10_2016	34.49	30.77	27.78	25.94	25.68	25.08	25.67(4.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-65	-190	-16	-213	0.44	42%	-0.2	-62.1	3.8%	0	-1.4	24	INF
8	Feb_9_2016	34.56	31.25	28.42	26.5	26.44	25.01	24.63(-0.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-85	-390	-41	-218	0.21	40%	-0.26	-66.7	3.78%	0	-1.9	18	INF
9	Feb_8_2016	34.65	31.74	29.32	27.34	27.4	26.29	24.83(-6.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-88	-280	-51	-197	0.52	40%	-0.32	-81.7	3.78%	0	-2.2	28	INF
10	Feb_5_2016	34.76	32.25	30.39	28.53	28.39	27.86	26.59(-5.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-61	-150	-31	-151	0.42	50%	-0.26	-105.3	3.77%	0	-2.1	28	INF

11	Feb_4_2016	34.85	32.69	31.36	29.35	29.36	28.52	28(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-44	-200	-20	-115	0.37	52%	-0.14	-133.8	3.96%	0	-2	28	INF
12	Feb_3_2016	34.9	33.15	31.97	29.89	30.12	28.93	28.45(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-53	-250	-35	-105	0.83	52%	-0.17	-156.2	3.98%	0	-2	38	INF
13	Feb_2_2016	34.96	33.73	32.57	30.65	30.93	30.2	28.82(-6.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-50	-140	-36	-92	0.72	54%	-0.17	-149.3	3.98%	0	-2	34	INF
14	Feb_1_2016	35.02	34.51	32.98	31.6	31.93	31.3	30.77(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-110	-26	-72	0.57	58%	-0.09	-114.7	3.97%	0	-1.2	43	INF
15	Jan_29_2016	35.05	35.35	33.3	32.58	32.77	31.67	30.7(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-220	-36	-56	0.93	58%	-0.03	-110.5	3.97%	0	-1.5	41	INF

16	Jan_28_2016	35.06	36.25	33.73	33.7	33.84	32.55	30.71(-4.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-32	-250	-33	-28	0.59	61%	-0.03	-74.6	3.99%	0	-1.3	40	INF
17	Jan_27_2016	35.07	37.18	34.03	34.35	34.71	33.88	32.25(-3.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-140	-23	-23	0.45	63%	0.03	-59	4.11%	0	-1	38	INF
18	Jan_26_2016	35.06	37.91	34.33	34.73	35.12	35.12	33.59(-5.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-5	30	1	-24	0.68	63%	-0.03	-49.3	4.1%	0	-0.7	34	INF
19	Jan_25_2016	35.07	38.64	34.37	34.51	34.69	35.53	35.64(-1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	190	15	-65	0.5	67%	0.2	-45.4	4.02%	0	-0.5	30	INF
20	Jan_22_2016	35	39.24	34.24	34.12	34.08	35.11	36.31(6.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	210	24	-120	0.44	67%	0.23	-43.9	4.02%	0	-0.5	27	INF

21	Jan_21_2016	34.92	39.76	34.07	33.85	33.58	33.84	33.97(-0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-35	30	14	-182	0.59	64%	0.14	-40.7	3.94%	0	-0.9	19	INF
22	Jan_20_2016	34.87	40.45	34.36	33.71	33.35	33.05	34.16(5.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-66	-100	-9	-235	0.5	64%	0.17	-37.5	3.94%	0	-0.9	19	INF
23	Jan_19_2016	34.81	40.99	34.91	33.89	33.68	33.32	32.49(-3.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-72	-90	-11	-256	0.51	63%	0.26	-35.7	3.91%	0	-1.3	22	INF
24	Jan_15_2016	34.72	41.6	36.08	34.18	33.99	33.64	33.69(-3.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-72	-90	-9	-262	0.52	66%	0.14	-35.4	3.86%	0	-1.2	22	INF
25	Jan_14_2016	34.67	42.16	37.49	34.33	34.13	34.04	34.93(5.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-66	-40	-6	-246	0.63	66%		-35.6	3.98%	0	-1.2	25	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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