Trading Signals: XLRN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLRN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Dec. 17, 2015

Trading Signals: XLRN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Nov. 19, 2021)

(ACCELERON PHARMA INC)
XLRN latest price $43.9100 (-0.5%) ($43.2000 - $44.8400) on Thu. Dec. 17, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.7% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $43.9100(-0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   XLRN advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLRN advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLRN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(60%)    IBB(57%)    ARKG(48%)    IWO(46%)    ARKK(43%)
Factors Impacting XLRN price   XLRN will decline at least -1.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.85% (StdDev 3.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.24(1.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.85(2.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.21(4.03%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   99.1%
Market Cap   $2.378b

Acceleron Pharma, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapeutics to treat serious and rare diseases. Its product candidates include Luspatercept, designed to patients with chronic anemia associated within a wide range of blood diseases; ACE-083, designed for the treatment of focal muscle disorders; and Sotatercept, designed to treat pulmonary arterial hypertension. The company was founded by John L. Knopf and Thomas P. Maniatis in June 2003 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. XLRN price fluctuates within 4.29% (three month std-dev: 3.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.42%(50%) Average negative next day return: -3.47%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.78%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.97%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.32%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160117

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_17_2015	32.44	42.21	42.85	43.24	43.38	44.2	43.91(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	140	16	13	0.19	62%	0.4	100.9	3.7%	0	0.9	58	0
2	Dec_16_2015	32.31	41.88	42.69	42.89	42.78	43.67	44.13(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	140	23	9	0.36	58%	0.4	84.9	3.8%	0	1.1	62	0
3	Dec_15_2015	32.18	41.48	42.6	42.53	42.29	42.57	43.58(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	30	16	6	0.44	58%	0.41	68.1	3.93%	0	0.9	66	0
4	Dec_14_2015	32.05	41.09	42.58	42.15	41.96	41.89	42.53(1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-30	-2	0	0.21	58%	0.34	52.5	3.93%	0	0.5	65	0
5	Dec_11_2015	31.94	40.76	42.61	42.22	41.95	42.02	42.05(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-10	-5	13	0.21	58%	0.38	42.9	3.94%	0	0.5	72	0

6	Dec_10_2015	31.82	40.45	42.68	42.39	42.33	42.03	42.14(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-50	1	41	0.17	58%	0.38	39	3.97%	0	0.6	81	0
7	Dec_9_2015	31.7	40.18	42.71	42.45	42.37	41.88	42.35(1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	3	-90	-14	55	0.21	58%	0.41	42.3	3.98%	0	0.7	75	0
8	Dec_8_2015	31.57	39.92	42.62	42.67	42.61	42.64	41.7(-2.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	0	-11	82	0.25	61%	0.38	50.8	3.98%	0	0.6	77	0
9	Dec_7_2015	31.45	39.76	42.55	42.67	43.06	42.86	42.88(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-30	4	116	0.19	61%	0.42	64.6	4.07%	0	1	83	0
10	Dec_4_2015	31.32	39.57	42.2	43.06	43.02	42.58	42.9(1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	26	-70	-8	127	0.18	61%	0.48	81	4.1%	0	1.1	83	0

11	Dec_3_2015	31.17	39.3	41.56	43.01	43.09	43.26	42.42(-2.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	32	30	-2	135	0.15	61%	0.42	96.2	4.11%	0	1.1	82	0
12	Dec_2_2015	31.04	38.9	41.05	42.98	43.02	43.46	43.46(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	70	14	147	0.18	61%	0.52	101.8	4.15%	0	1.5	79	0
13	Dec_1_2015	30.88	38.38	40.3	42.55	42.61	42.91	43.63(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	50	15	137	0.27	61%	0.52	107	4.17%	0	1.7	75	0
14	Nov_30_2015	30.72	37.85	39.5	41.97	41.99	42.59	42.87(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	100	17	118	0.3	61%	0.52	116.7	4.17%	0	1.7	63	0
15	Nov_27_2015	30.56	37.27	38.75	41.21	41.33	42.31	42.67(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	170	35	96	0.13	61%	0.49	116.2	4.19%	0	1.8	58	0

16	Nov_25_2015	30.41	36.67	38.02	39.88	40.21	41.39	42.28(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	42	230	36	61	0.15	61%	0.53	103.4	4.19%	0	1.7	63	0
17	Nov_24_2015	30.25	36.05	37.4	38.81	38.8	40.36	41.28(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	280	37	47	0.27	61%	0.5	95.1	4.19%	0	1.5	71	0
18	Nov_23_2015	30.1	35.36	36.94	37.72	37.72	39.04	40.75(4.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	240	42	40	0.32	61%	0.47	83.8	4.23%	0	1.4	73	0
19	Nov_20_2015	29.96	34.65	36.66	36.68	36.66	37.23	39.08(8.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	110	24	31	0.29	55%	0.44	74	4.21%	0	1.1	71	0
20	Nov_19_2015	29.83	34.02	36.64	35.96	35.94	36.4	35.99(-2.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	90	6	38	0.11	52%	0.27	67.3	4.21%	0	0.5	70	0

21	Nov_18_2015	29.75	33.52	36.82	35.87	35.73	36.09	36.97(3.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	23	60	9	64	0.12	52%	0.34	64.3	4.19%	0	0.8	76	0
22	Nov_17_2015	29.65	32.95	36.57	35.77	35.65	35.48	35.79(0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	16	-40	-4	75	0.13	52%	0.3	64.8	4.23%	0	0.6	76	0
23	Nov_16_2015	29.56	32.43	36.34	36.03	35.92	35.37	35.58(0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-120	-18	101	0.23	52%	0.31	68.6	4.25%	0	0.6	81	0
24	Nov_13_2015	29.47	31.93	36.13	36.64	36.59	35.83	35.47(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-150	-23	146	0.14	57%	0.31	73.2	4.28%	0	0.7	82	0
25	Nov_12_2015	29.38	31.39	35.76	37.44	37.4	36.48	35.56(-2.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	32	-180	-19	186	0.1	57%		78.3	4.57%	0	0.8	83	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.