Trading Signals: XLRN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLRN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: XLRN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Nov. 19, 2021)

(ACCELERON PHARMA INC)
XLRN latest price $33.0500 (5.9%) ($31.2800 - $33.4100) on Mon. Nov. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.5% (three month average)
RSI   96
Latest Price   $33.0500(5.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   XLRN advances 4.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLRN advances 14.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLRN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(59%)    IBB(57%)    ARKG(48%)    IWO(46%)    IWM(41%)
Factors Impacting XLRN price   XLRN will decline at least -2.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-18%)    SHY(-8%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.25% (StdDev 4.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.41(8.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.15(17.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.08(26.73%)
To recent high   -7.9%
To recent low   49.9%
Market Cap   $1.79b

Acceleron Pharma, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapeutics to treat serious and rare diseases. Its product candidates include Luspatercept, designed to patients with chronic anemia associated within a wide range of blood diseases; ACE-083, designed for the treatment of focal muscle disorders; and Sotatercept, designed to treat pulmonary arterial hypertension. The company was founded by John L. Knopf and Thomas P. Maniatis in June 2003 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. XLRN price fluctuates within 11% (three month std-dev: 4.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 5.39%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.35%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 10.87%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.69%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 15.95%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.43%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151202

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_2_2015	28.43	26.08	28.15	30.41	30.56	31.63	33.05(5.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	81	260	40	204	0.36	51%	0.28	59.6	4.5%	0	2.4	96	0
2	Oct_30_2015	28.35	25.63	27.33	29.04	29.2	30.74	31.21(1.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	73	390	38	177	0.3	48%	0.18	52.5	4.47%	0	2.3	80	0
3	Oct_29_2015	28.3	25.27	26.63	28.03	28.06	29.48	30.63(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	72	360	45	154	0.35	48%	0.14	41.4	4.51%	0	2.7	75	0
4	Oct_28_2015	28.26	24.92	25.97	26.97	26.93	27.66	29.89(9.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	55	190	33	119	0.3	48%	0.11	18.3	4.54%	0	3.1	72	0
5	Oct_27_2015	28.23	24.64	25.19	26.02	26.1	26.64	27.25(3.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	31	150	16	76	0.27	43%	-0.07	-20.8	4.39%	0	2.3	64	0

6	Oct_26_2015	28.25	24.48	24.67	25.55	25.63	26.21	26.23(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	170	14	50	0.2	43%	-0.14	-71.2	4.4%	0	1.7	62	0
7	Oct_23_2015	28.29	24.43	24.4	25.35	25.26	25.56	26.17(3.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	70	14	40	0.14	43%	-0.14	-99.6	4.44%	0	1.6	58	0
8	Oct_22_2015	28.33	24.46	24.17	25	24.98	25.06	25.31(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	20	6	23	0.11	43%	-0.21	-105.3	4.46%	0	0.6	54	0
9	Oct_21_2015	28.39	24.63	24.05	24.79	24.76	24.96	25.15(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	50	14	20	0.19	43%	-0.21	-92.8	4.5%	0	0.3	56	0
10	Oct_20_2015	28.45	24.89	23.96	24.2	24.33	24.9	24.87(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	180	19	2	0.13	43%	-0.25	-81.1	4.54%	0	-0	49	0

11	Oct_19_2015	28.52	25.23	23.88	23.63	23.68	24.56	25.27(3.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	10	270	18	-16	0.22	43%	-0.24	-75.2	4.58%	0	0	56	0
12	Oct_16_2015	28.59	25.6	23.79	23.3	23.19	23.76	24.4(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	160	12	-33	0.15	43%	-0.31	-64.9	4.6%	0	-0.3	43	0
13	Oct_15_2015	28.68	26.13	23.8	23.24	23.07	22.79	24.27(9.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-110	1	-52	0.28	43%	-0.31	-57.8	4.65%	0	-0.4	35	0
14	Oct_14_2015	28.77	26.63	23.79	23.23	23.3	22.62	22.18(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-200	-20	-87	0.14	36%	-0.48	-54.3	4.47%	0	-1	16	0
15	Oct_13_2015	28.91	27.14	24.07	23.7	23.75	23.34	22.05(-6.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-38	-110	-17	-99	0.17	36%	-0.52	-49.2	4.52%	0	-1.1	13	0

16	Oct_12_2015	29.06	27.79	24.31	24.13	24.11	23.99	23.6(-1.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-35	-40	-6	-121	0.12	39%	-0.45	-44.2	4.47%	0	-0.9	13	0
17	Oct_9_2015	29.19	28.31	24.5	24.32	24.16	24.16	24.08(-0.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-40	-20	-4	-147	0.17	39%	-0.41	-39.1	4.52%	0	-0.9	13	0
18	Oct_8_2015	29.31	28.78	24.8	24.44	24.24	24.24	24.26(-0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-43	-20	1	-174	0.22	39%	-0.41	-34.5	4.57%	0	-1	11	0
19	Oct_7_2015	29.43	29.19	25.27	24.43	24.26	24.16	24.5(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-50	-50	-2	-193	0.32	39%	-0.41	-33.4	4.62%	0	-1.1	16	0
20	Oct_6_2015	29.55	29.54	25.87	24.43	24.25	24.24	24.2(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-51	-30	-3	-195	0.32	39%	-0.44	-31.7	4.67%	0	-1.3	27	0

21	Oct_5_2015	29.68	29.92	26.65	24.51	24.46	24.36	24.57(-0.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-52	-30	-3	-199	0.28	39%	-0.44	-30.4	4.73%	0	-1.3	24	0
22	Oct_2_2015	29.81	30.17	27.51	24.71	24.58	24.27	24.67(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-61	-100	-15	-198	0.39	39%	-0.47	-31.7	4.79%	0	-1.4	28	0
23	Oct_1_2015	29.95	30.39	28.59	25.24	25.06	24.56	24.21(-2.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-65	-160	-26	-182	0.24	39%	-0.5	-30.4	4.84%	0	-1.7	28	0
24	Sep_30_2015	30.1	30.69	29.66	26.26	26.09	24.9	24.9(2.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-63	-340	-33	-154	0.38	39%	-0.5	-23.9	4.89%	0	-1.7	35	0
25	Sep_29_2015	30.25	30.91	30.45	27.47	27.36	25.56	24.19(-5.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-72	-470	-51	-134	0.35	39%		-13.7	4.93%	0	-2.1	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.