Trading Signals: XLRN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLRN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 21, 2015

Trading Signals: XLRN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Nov. 19, 2021)

(ACCELERON PHARMA INC)
XLRN latest price $25.1500 (1.13%) ($23.9500 - $25.5900) on Wed. Oct. 21, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.5% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $25.1500(1.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   XLRN advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLRN advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLRN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(59%)    IBB(57%)    ARKG(48%)    IWO(46%)    IWM(41%)
Factors Impacting XLRN price   XLRN will decline at least -2.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-18%)    SHY(-8%)    UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.25% (StdDev 4.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.79(1.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.05(4.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.63(2.11%)
To recent high   -29.9%
To recent low   14.1%
Market Cap   $1.362b

Acceleron Pharma, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapeutics to treat serious and rare diseases. Its product candidates include Luspatercept, designed to patients with chronic anemia associated within a wide range of blood diseases; ACE-083, designed for the treatment of focal muscle disorders; and Sotatercept, designed to treat pulmonary arterial hypertension. The company was founded by John L. Knopf and Thomas P. Maniatis in June 2003 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. XLRN price fluctuates within 8.08% (three month std-dev: 4.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20151121

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_21_2015	28.39	24.63	24.05	24.79	24.76	24.96	25.15(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	50	14	20	0.19	43%	-0.21	-92.8	4.5%	0	0.3	56	INF
2	Oct_20_2015	28.45	24.89	23.96	24.2	24.33	24.9	24.87(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	180	19	2	0.13	43%	-0.25	-81.1	4.54%	0	-0	49	INF
3	Oct_19_2015	28.52	25.23	23.88	23.63	23.68	24.56	25.27(3.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	10	270	18	-16	0.22	43%	-0.24	-75.2	4.58%	0	0	56	INF
4	Oct_16_2015	28.59	25.6	23.79	23.3	23.19	23.76	24.4(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	160	12	-33	0.15	43%	-0.31	-64.9	4.6%	0	-0.3	43	INF
5	Oct_15_2015	28.68	26.13	23.8	23.24	23.07	22.79	24.27(9.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-110	1	-52	0.28	43%	-0.31	-57.8	4.65%	0	-0.4	35	INF

6	Oct_14_2015	28.77	26.63	23.79	23.23	23.3	22.62	22.18(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-200	-20	-87	0.14	36%	-0.48	-54.3	4.47%	0	-1	16	INF
7	Oct_13_2015	28.91	27.14	24.07	23.7	23.75	23.34	22.05(-6.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-38	-110	-17	-99	0.17	36%	-0.52	-49.2	4.52%	0	-1.1	13	INF
8	Oct_12_2015	29.06	27.79	24.31	24.13	24.11	23.99	23.6(-1.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-35	-40	-6	-121	0.12	39%	-0.45	-44.2	4.47%	0	-0.9	13	INF
9	Oct_9_2015	29.19	28.31	24.5	24.32	24.16	24.16	24.08(-0.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-40	-20	-4	-147	0.17	39%	-0.41	-39.1	4.52%	0	-0.9	13	INF
10	Oct_8_2015	29.31	28.78	24.8	24.44	24.24	24.24	24.26(-0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-43	-20	1	-174	0.22	39%	-0.41	-34.5	4.57%	0	-1	11	INF

11	Oct_7_2015	29.43	29.19	25.27	24.43	24.26	24.16	24.5(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-50	-50	-2	-193	0.32	39%	-0.41	-33.4	4.62%	0	-1.1	16	INF
12	Oct_6_2015	29.55	29.54	25.87	24.43	24.25	24.24	24.2(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-51	-30	-3	-195	0.32	39%	-0.44	-31.7	4.67%	0	-1.3	27	INF
13	Oct_5_2015	29.68	29.92	26.65	24.51	24.46	24.36	24.57(-0.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-52	-30	-3	-199	0.28	39%	-0.44	-30.4	4.73%	0	-1.3	24	INF
14	Oct_2_2015	29.81	30.17	27.51	24.71	24.58	24.27	24.67(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-61	-100	-15	-198	0.39	39%	-0.47	-31.7	4.79%	0	-1.4	28	INF
15	Oct_1_2015	29.95	30.39	28.59	25.24	25.06	24.56	24.21(-2.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-65	-160	-26	-182	0.24	39%	-0.5	-30.4	4.84%	0	-1.7	28	INF

16	Sep_30_2015	30.1	30.69	29.66	26.26	26.09	24.9	24.9(2.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-63	-340	-33	-154	0.38	39%	-0.5	-23.9	4.89%	0	-1.7	35	INF
17	Sep_29_2015	30.25	30.91	30.45	27.47	27.36	25.56	24.19(-5.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-72	-470	-51	-134	0.35	39%	-0.56	-13.7	4.93%	0	-2.1	36	INF
18	Sep_28_2015	30.42	31.2	31.58	29.12	29.07	27.28	25.59(-6.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-60	-440	-50	-90	0.36	42%	-0.46	3.6	4.92%	0	-2	39	INF
19	Sep_25_2015	30.56	31.45	32.48	30.72	30.68	29.16	27.31(-6.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-47	-350	-49	-42	0.3	47%	-0.33	24.6	4.88%	0	-1.6	51	INF
20	Sep_24_2015	30.66	31.55	33.17	32.43	32.27	30.86	29.33(-5.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-22	-320	-36	19	0.35	52%	-0.13	46.8	4.8%	0	-0.9	58	INF

21	Sep_23_2015	30.7	31.52	33.51	33.56	33.55	32.19	30.93(-4.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-1	-280	-22	61	0.19	57%	0	54.6	4.78%	0	-0.2	57	INF
22	Sep_22_2015	30.7	31.35	33.58	33.87	33.99	33.68	32.45(-3.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-50	-21	81	0.18	57%	0.2	48.2	4.77%	0	0.4	64	INF
23	Sep_21_2015	30.64	31.1	33.51	34.4	34.24	34.91	33.57(-6.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	33	120	5	115	0.29	57%	0.33	43.5	4.79%	0	0.9	64	INF
24	Sep_18_2015	30.54	30.84	33.08	34.51	34.18	34.3	35.88(2.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	-0	15	126	0.91	65%	0.63	40.3	4.68%	0	1.8	67	INF
25	Sep_17_2015	30.35	30.45	32.32	34.06	33.86	33.58	34.98(7.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-80	3	111	0.34	65%		31.8	4.76%	0	1.8	69	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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