Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 17, 2017

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $55.3500 (-0.91%) ($55.3500 - $55.9300) on Thu. Aug. 17, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.51% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $55.3500(-0.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(82%)    SPLV(81%)    SDY(75%)    XLV(75%)    XLU(74%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.255% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-14%)    XHB(-5%)    GDXJ(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.255% (StdDev 0.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.48(-0.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.35(0%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.31(0.07%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   2.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.43% (three month std-dev: 0.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170917

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_17_2017	55.38	55.31	55.35	55.48			55.35(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	10	-10000	4	27	6.73	53%	0	65.1	0.51%	0	0.2	50	0
2	Aug_16_2017	55.38	55.29	55.34	55.42			55.86(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	9	-10000	8	11	5.68	56%	0.02	68.9	0.49%	0	2.3	48	0
3	Aug_15_2017	55.37	55.25	55.27	55.31			55.67(0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	4	-10000	7	-5	11.06	56%	0.02	74.4	0.49%	0	1.8	56	0
4	Aug_14_2017	55.36	55.2	55.22	55.22			55.39(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-6	-10000	-1	-19	10.66	54%	0.02	81	0.49%	0	0.8	52	0
5	Aug_11_2017	55.35	55.17	55.21	55.23			55.12(0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-1	-10000	2	-9	4.93	53%	0	88.9	0.49%	0	-0.2	56	0

6	Aug_10_2017	55.35	55.16	55.23	55.21			55.08(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4	-10000	-2	-8	6.66	53%	0.02	73.2	0.49%	0	-0.3	51	0
7	Aug_9_2017	55.34	55.12	55.23	55.23			55.31(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-10000	2	12	7.25	53%	0	65.1	0.48%	0	0.5	57	0
8	Aug_8_2017	55.34	55.07	55.3	55.21			55.22(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	-10000	-1	14	9.81	53%	0	47.4	0.49%	0	0.4	56	0
9	Aug_7_2017	55.34	55.02	55.31	55.22			55.43(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-10000	2	28	16.85	53%	0	35.4	0.48%	0	0.9	63	0
10	Aug_4_2017	55.34	54.95	55.26	55.2			55.02(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-10000	-5	26	17.06	53%	0	26.8	0.48%	0	0.2	58	0

11	Aug_3_2017	55.34	54.93	55.27	55.26			55.17(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-10000	-10	40	17.8	53%	0	26.2	0.48%	0	0.5	63	0
12	Aug_2_2017	55.34	54.9	55.25	55.39			55.22(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	18	-10000	-1	75	17.13	51%	0	26.8	0.48%	0	0.7	71	0
13	Aug_1_2017	55.34	54.88	55.23	55.39			55.26(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	23	-10000	0	91	19.02	51%	0	23.8	0.49%	0	0.8	72	0
14	Jul_31_2017	55.34	54.86	55.19	55.4			55.32(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	33	-10000	6	113	7.28	51%	0.02	15.9	0.49%	0	1	77	0
15	Jul_28_2017	55.33	54.83	55.14	55.32			55.34(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	32	-10000	4	114	18.41	51%	0	6.4	0.5%	0	1.2	73	0

16	Jul_27_2017	55.33	54.81	55.08	55.27			55.81(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	40	-10000	13	120	12.86	54%	0.02	-3.9	0.49%	0	2.4	71	0
17	Jul_26_2017	55.32	54.78	54.92	55.1			55.27(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	-10000	4	97	7.59	48%	0.02	-21.7	0.47%	0	1.3	64	0
18	Jul_25_2017	55.31	54.77	54.83	55.05			55.28(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	-10000	8	81	13.8	48%	0	-35.3	0.48%	0	1.4	56	0
19	Jul_24_2017	55.31	54.78	54.7	54.95			54.9(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	-10000	2	48	9.3	49%	0	-45.3	0.48%	0	0.3	48	0
20	Jul_21_2017	55.31	54.81	54.62	54.92			55.08(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	5	30	7.77	49%	0	-48.8	0.49%	0	0.6	50	0

21	Jul_20_2017	55.31	54.82	54.56	54.85			54.99(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	11	17	9.82	49%	-0.02	-66.7	0.49%	0	0.4	51	0
22	Jul_19_2017	55.32	54.86	54.51	54.71			54.98(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	-10000	11	-19	5.59	49%	0	-79.6	0.49%	0	0.2	38	0
23	Jul_18_2017	55.32	54.91	54.51	54.57			54.78(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	12	-44	5.31	50%	0	-85.3	0.49%	0	-0.2	40	0
24	Jul_17_2017	55.32	54.97	54.49	54.41			54.78(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-13	-10000	10	-83	7.9	52%	-0.02	-87	0.49%	0	-0.3	33	0
25	Jul_14_2017	55.33	55.03	54.5	54.28			54.72(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-26	-10000	3	-112	6.34	52%		-94.2	0.5%	0	-0.5	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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