Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 21, 2017

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $54.9500 (0.9%) ($54.5600 - $55.0900) on Tue. Feb. 21, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.59% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $54.9500(0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPLV(81%)    VYM(81%)    XLV(75%)    SDY(74%)    IVE(73%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.295% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-13%)    GDXJ(-5%)    XHB(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.295% (StdDev 0.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $54.27(1.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.9(1.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.29(3.12%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.39% (three month std-dev: 0.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170321

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_21_2017	52.12	53.29	53.9	54.27			54.95(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	54	-10000	17	164	16.5	67%	0.02	66.2	0.59%	0	2.2	79	0
2	Feb_17_2017	52.11	53.17	53.67	54			54.46(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	44	-10000	10	146	15.58	64%	0.04	72.5	0.58%	0	2	79	0
3	Feb_16_2017	52.09	53.07	53.52	53.84			54.19(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	41	-10000	8	141	11.38	64%	0.02	80.2	0.58%	0	1.9	76	0
4	Feb_15_2017	52.08	52.97	53.37	53.71			54.12(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	40	-10000	10	131	12.68	64%	0.02	88.2	0.58%	0	2.1	68	0
5	Feb_14_2017	52.07	52.88	53.18	53.56			53.63(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	-10000	7	106	10.48	61%	0.02	100	0.57%	0	1.6	59	0

6	Feb_13_2017	52.06	52.81	53.07	53.46			53.62(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	32	-10000	12	93	14.06	61%	0	105.7	0.57%	0	1.8	59	0
7	Feb_10_2017	52.06	52.71	52.95	53.28			53.62(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	8	67	9.35	50%	0	83.9	0.58%	0	1.9	64	0
8	Feb_9_2017	52.06	52.6	52.82	53.16			53.58(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	-10000	11	46	8.84	45%	0.02	69.1	0.67%	0	1.9	63	0
9	Feb_8_2017	52.05	52.5	52.72	52.97			53.36(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	-10000	13	37	8.56	45%	0	57.9	0.69%	0	1.7	65	0
10	Feb_7_2017	52.05	52.4	52.66	52.74			53.14(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	9	-10000	6	19	8.36	51%	0.02	40.2	0.69%	0	1.5	59	0

11	Feb_6_2017	52.04	52.33	52.63	52.63			52.71(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	-10000	4	17	19.07	48%	0	36.2	0.72%	0	0.8	57	0
12	Feb_3_2017	52.04	52.3	52.62	52.55			53(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	-10000	6	27	17.95	44%	-0.02	33	0.72%	0	1.4	70	0
13	Feb_2_2017	52.05	52.25	52.57	52.55			52.66(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	0	30	18.75	44%	0	31.8	0.73%	0	0.9	68	0
14	Feb_1_2017	52.05	52.21	52.53	52.43			52.18(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-10000	-8	38	18.48	41%	-0.02	31.4	0.72%	0	-0.1	63	0
15	Jan_31_2017	52.06	52.2	52.56	52.58			52.59(0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	15	-10000	-3	69	12.06	43%	-0.02	38.6	0.71%	0	0.8	72	0

16	Jan_30_2017	52.07	52.15	52.53	52.64			52.34(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	20	-10000	-2	85	9.95	43%	0	40.9	0.71%	0	0.4	63	0
17	Jan_27_2017	52.07	52.13	52.46	52.68			52.38(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	19	-10000	-2	83	16.36	43%	-0.04	42.2	0.71%	0	0.5	54	0
18	Jan_26_2017	52.09	52.1	52.38	52.72			52.67(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	4	82	9.99	43%	-0.04	42	0.71%	0	1.2	59	0
19	Jan_25_2017	52.11	52.07	52.27	52.64			52.9(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	-10000	5	71	8.82	43%	-0.04	37.2	0.71%	0	1.8	65	0
20	Jan_24_2017	52.13	52.02	52.13	52.54			52.91(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-10000	7	58	10.24	43%	0.02	36.4	0.71%	0	2.2	66	0

21	Jan_23_2017	52.12	51.97	52	52.41			52.56(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	11	48	16.2	43%	-0.06	28.4	0.71%	0	1.7	65	0
22	Jan_20_2017	52.15	51.94	51.95	52.2			52.58(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	16	-10000	11	32	11.02	43%	-0.04	14.5	0.71%	0	2	58	0
23	Jan_19_2017	52.17	51.91	51.89	51.99			52.24(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	10	-10000	8	17	17.28	43%	-0.04	-11.1	0.71%	0	1.2	58	0
24	Jan_18_2017	52.19	51.9	51.85	51.85			52.43(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	9	-10000	11	4	11.65	43%	-0.04	-28.8	0.71%	0	2	54	0
25	Jan_17_2017	52.21	51.88	51.79	51.65			52.25(1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.5	-0	-10000	6	-19	19.03	43%		-54.3	0.71%	0	1.5	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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