Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 14, 2015

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $49.4800 (0.22%) ($49.1700 - $49.5600) on Tue. Apr. 14, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $49.4800(0.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(81%)    IVE(73%)    SPY(72%)    VT(72%)    XLU(72%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-2%)    GDXJ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.47(0.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.3(0.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.04(0.9%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   3.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.75% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150514

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_14_2015	49.02	49.04	49.3	49.47			49.48(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	17	-10000	2	60	5.72	50%	0.02	72	0.75%	0	1.2	61	0
2	Apr_13_2015	49.01	49.01	49.27	49.43			49.37(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10000	-2	59	3.71	50%	0.02	71.8	0.75%	0	1	55	0
3	Apr_10_2015	49	48.96	49.2	49.46			49.6(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	5	64	4.61	50%	0.04	64.5	0.74%	0	1.7	59	0
4	Apr_9_2015	48.98	48.91	49.09	49.36			49.51(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	7	53	4.79	48%	0.02	48.6	0.75%	0	1.8	62	0
5	Apr_8_2015	48.97	48.83	49	49.22			49.37(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	6	36	5.04	52%	0.02	15.8	0.76%	0	1.5	57	0

6	Apr_7_2015	48.96	48.78	48.93	49.1			49.29(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	1	27	7.66	55%	0.02	-13.5	0.78%	0	1.4	60	0
7	Apr_6_2015	48.95	48.76	48.9	49.08			49.52(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	13	-10000	8	29	5.62	55%	0.06	-29.2	0.81%	0	2.2	57	0
8	Apr_2_2015	48.92	48.72	48.83	48.92			49.13(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	8	26	4.82	55%	0.04	-56.8	0.8%	0	1.1	61	0
9	Apr_1_2015	48.9	48.74	48.78	48.77			48.8(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	-10000	2	11	8.03	55%	0.02	-63.8	0.8%	0	0.2	52	0
10	Mar_31_2015	48.89	48.77	48.79	48.77			48.74(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	5	-10000	0	20	7.41	52%	0	-58.5	0.8%	0	-0.1	59	0

11	Mar_30_2015	48.89	48.83	48.77	48.74			49.2(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7	-10000	2	23	25.33	55%	0.04	-51.4	0.81%	0	0.7	59	0
12	Mar_27_2015	48.87	48.86	48.73	48.7			48.71(0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	2	-10000	-3	17	4.95	53%	0.02	-47.1	0.79%	0	-0.3	46	0
13	Mar_26_2015	48.86	48.92	48.69	48.75			48.41(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10000	-2	14	7.62	53%	0.02	-40	0.8%	0	-0.8	47	0
14	Mar_25_2015	48.85	48.99	48.72	48.79			48.62(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-10000	-3	3	18.48	53%	0.04	-36	0.8%	0	-0.6	40	0
15	Mar_24_2015	48.83	49.05	48.66	48.84			48.74(-0.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-1	-10000	3	-12	6.94	53%	0.02	-33.6	0.8%	0	-0.5	42	0

16	Mar_23_2015	48.82	49.1	48.62	48.79			49.02(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	-10000	2	-39	4.67	53%	0.06	-32.3	0.8%	0	-0.1	41	0
17	Mar_20_2015	48.79	49.13	48.61	48.76			48.94(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-10000	7	-54	7.95	54%	0.06	-31.8	0.81%	0	-0.3	39	0
18	Mar_19_2015	48.76	49.17	48.59	48.63			48.63(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	-10000	-0	-87	20.39	53%	0.04	-38.6	0.81%	0	-0.8	37	0
19	Mar_18_2015	48.74	49.21	48.69	48.64			48.85(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	-10000	9	-85	19.75	56%	0.06	-40	0.81%	0	-0.6	41	0
20	Mar_17_2015	48.71	49.26	48.75	48.46			48.52(-0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-24	-10000	2	-102	7.49	58%	0.06	-43.8	0.85%	0	-1.2	39	0

21	Mar_16_2015	48.68	49.31	48.88	48.42			48.87(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-28	-10000	-1	-107	22.13	58%	0.06	-41.4	0.86%	0	-0.7	39	0
22	Mar_13_2015	48.65	49.34	48.99	48.45			48.28(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-10000	-5	-105	5.82	56%	0.04	-38.1	0.85%	0	-1.7	35	0
23	Mar_12_2015	48.63	49.42	49.16	48.55			48.66(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-32	-10000	-10	-96	9.91	54%	0.08	-33.9	0.85%	0	-1.3	40	0
24	Mar_11_2015	48.59	49.47	49.28	48.76			47.96(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-31	-10000	-15	-80	8.7	53%	0.04	-21.1	0.84%	0	-2.8	34	0
25	Mar_10_2015	48.57	49.54	49.47	49.08			48.33(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-25	-10000	-15	-55	8	51%		-3.5	0.84%	0	-2.9	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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