Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 21, 2015

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $49.7100 (0.49%) ($49.1200 - $49.7200) on Wed. Jan. 21, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.67% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $49.7100(0.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(81%)    IVE(73%)    SPY(72%)    VT(72%)    XLU(72%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.335% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-1%)    GDXJ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.335% (StdDev 0.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.23(0.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.15(1.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49(1.45%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1% (three month std-dev: 0.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_21_2015	47.12	49	49.15	49.23			49.71(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	-10000	10	81	7.59	67%	0.11	53	0.67%	0	1.4	55	0
2	Jan_20_2015	47.07	48.95	48.98	49.07			49.47(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	-10000	6	44	9.98	70%	0.09	54.2	0.67%	0	1.1	50	0
3	Jan_16_2015	47.03	48.92	48.84	48.97			49.27(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	4	-10000	2	8	12.95	69%	0.11	55.4	0.69%	0	0.8	46	0
4	Jan_15_2015	46.98	48.86	48.75	48.94			48.88(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-10000	-7	-16	10.9	64%	0.09	53.3	0.7%	0	0	43	0
5	Jan_14_2015	46.94	48.8	48.71	49.07			48.8(-0.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-3	-10000	1	-15	13.32	64%	0.06	46.9	0.72%	0	0	41	0

6	Jan_13_2015	46.91	48.74	48.73	49.06			48.95(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	6	-10000	11	-11	10.13	61%	0.09	30.3	0.72%	0	0.4	48	0
7	Jan_12_2015	46.87	48.69	48.76	48.86			48.96(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	-10000	11	-20	6.26	61%	0.11	12.2	0.74%	0	0.4	55	0
8	Jan_9_2015	46.82	48.67	48.8	48.67			49.11(-0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	-10000	8	-32	6.38	59%	0.09	2.2	0.74%	0	0.7	51	0
9	Jan_8_2015	46.78	48.62	48.82	48.52			49.51(1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	2	-10000	12	-27	12.9	63%	0.11	-9	0.74%	0	1.4	64	0
10	Jan_7_2015	46.73	48.62	48.79	48.31			48.77(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-9	-10000	-4	-23	9.23	59%	0.09	-21.5	0.74%	0	0.3	65	0

11	Jan_6_2015	46.69	48.57	48.82	48.38			47.95(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-11	-10000	-15	2	11.11	56%	0.06	-21.1	0.72%	0	-1	57	0
12	Jan_5_2015	46.66	48.62	48.91	48.65			48.01(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-2	-10000	-16	39	8.27	56%	0.09	-12.8	0.72%	0	-1	54	0
13	Jan_2_2015	46.62	48.66	49.02	48.94			48.35(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	10	-10000	-12	76	7.61	58%	0.13	0.8	0.73%	0	-0.5	49	0
14	Dec_31_2014	46.56	48.68	49.01	49.15			48.49(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	17	-10000	-10	99	5.22	57%	0.09	13.4	0.72%	0	-0.3	55	0
15	Dec_30_2014	46.52	48.71	48.92	49.15			49.09(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	27	-10000	0	107	5.09	59%	0.11	28.1	0.71%	0	0.6	54	0

16	Dec_29_2014	46.47	48.7	48.78	49.33			49.31(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	-10000	7	94	13.48	59%	0.13	32.8	0.71%	0	1.1	54	0
17	Dec_26_2014	46.41	48.69	48.64	49.2			49.46(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10000	5	67	3.3	59%	0.19	34.5	0.7%	0	1.3	54	0
18	Dec_24_2014	46.32	48.65	48.54	49.11			49.38(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	15	59	1.48	58%	0.13	33.6	0.72%	0	1.3	54	0
19	Dec_23_2014	46.26	48.6	48.41	48.85			49.43(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	23	-10000	22	27	5.56	57%	0.13	23.9	0.74%	0	1.6	54	0
20	Dec_22_2014	46.2	48.55	48.31	48.45			49.09(0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	7	-10000	17	-22	5.13	57%	0.11	5.8	0.74%	0	1.1	47	0

21	Dec_19_2014	46.15	48.51	48.26	48.15			48.62(-0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-9	-10000	8	-58	13.15	55%	0.13	-5.1	0.74%	0	0.2	45	0
22	Dec_18_2014	46.09	48.49	48.28	48.01			49.02(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	2.1	-16	-10000	6	-81	8.73	57%	0.11	-11.1	0.73%	0	1.1	45	0
23	Dec_17_2014	46.04	48.46	48.24	48.01			48.1(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-25	-10000	0	-98	10.13	53%	0.09	-11.3	0.69%	0	-0.8	44	0
24	Dec_16_2014	46	48.48	48.3	47.91			47.41(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-37	-10000	-15	-103	9.81	52%	0.07	-7.4	0.67%	0	-2.3	40	0
25	Dec_15_2014	45.97	48.52	48.48	48.15			47.59(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-27	-10000	-14	-67	9.45	52%		9.4	0.68%	0	-2.3	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.