Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 17, 2014

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $48.0800 (0.67%) ($47.6800 - $48.0800) on Mon. Nov. 17, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.61% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $48.0800(0.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    VT(72%)    XLU(72%)    XLV(72%)    XLI(68%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.305% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-2%)    GDXJ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.305% (StdDev 0.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.92(0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.76(0.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.97(2.36%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 2.04% (three month std-dev: 0.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141217

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_17_2014	45.3	46.97	47.76	47.92			48.08(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	38	-10000	2	147	4.05	56%	0.09	84.8	0.61%	0	1.2	85	0
2	Nov_14_2014	45.26	46.83	47.65	47.92			47.76(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	-10000	0	164	7.54	55%	0.07	80.5	0.61%	0	0.9	85	0
3	Nov_13_2014	45.23	46.68	47.55	47.89			48.03(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	52	-10000	6	188	7.51	55%	0.07	69.8	0.6%	0	1.2	93	0
4	Nov_12_2014	45.2	46.49	47.39	47.8			47.86(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	54	-10000	6	199	4.92	55%	0.09	61.2	0.6%	0	1.2	94	0
5	Nov_11_2014	45.16	46.32	47.22	47.72			47.86(-0.19%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.1	60	-10000	11	208	3.28	56%	0.04	55.7	0.6%	0	1.4	93	0

6	Nov_10_2014	45.14	46.17	47.06	47.57			47.95(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	64	-10000	15	212	4.21	56%	0.07	53.4	0.6%	0	1.6	96	0
7	Nov_7_2014	45.11	46.02	46.86	47.36			47.74(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	61	-10000	14	202	5.91	56%	0.04	50	0.61%	0	1.7	96	0
8	Nov_6_2014	45.09	45.9	46.68	47.16			47.57(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	63	-10000	16	205	5.64	58%	0.04	49.3	0.62%	0	1.8	97	0
9	Nov_5_2014	45.07	45.79	46.48	46.92			47.47(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	66	-10000	18	208	7.78	58%	0.07	49.5	0.63%	0	2	97	0
10	Nov_4_2014	45.04	45.69	46.28	46.65			47.14(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	59	-10000	12	200	10.51	57%	0.04	51.5	0.63%	0	1.9	87	0

11	Nov_3_2014	45.02	45.59	46.11	46.47			46.89(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	57	-10000	12	192	15	57%	0.07	50.6	0.63%	0	1.9	72	0
12	Oct_31_2014	44.99	45.51	45.95	46.29			46.71(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	54	-10000	11	182	8.18	54%	0.04	52.2	0.63%	0	1.9	71	0
13	Oct_30_2014	44.97	45.44	45.74	46.13			46.41(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	-10000	11	140	5.02	51%	0.02	51.6	0.67%	0	1.7	57	0
14	Oct_29_2014	44.96	45.36	45.52	45.96			46.12(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	8	97	6.38	51%	0.02	46.3	0.68%	0	1.4	57	0
15	Oct_28_2014	44.95	45.3	45.35	45.84			46.2(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	9	62	5.63	50%	0.02	36.5	0.68%	0	1.7	51	0

16	Oct_27_2014	44.94	45.24	45.22	45.7			46.02(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	10	43	4.92	50%	0.02	33	0.68%	0	1.6	57	0
17	Oct_24_2014	44.93	45.19	45.11	45.55			45.91(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	-10000	17	22	9.21	50%	0.02	24.7	0.69%	0	1.6	53	0
18	Oct_23_2014	44.92	45.14	45.06	45.29			45.53(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	14	-10000	19	-3	12.6	48%	0	5.5	0.68%	0	1	50	0
19	Oct_22_2014	44.92	45.14	45.04	45			45.56(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	4	-10000	15	-28	10.43	48%	0.02	-22	0.68%	0	1.1	56	0
20	Oct_21_2014	44.91	45.11	45.05	44.77			45.46(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-5	-10000	6	-39	13.86	48%	0.02	-38.2	0.68%	0	0.9	56	0

21	Oct_20_2014	44.9	45.11	45.02	44.67			45.27(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-11	-10000	3	-51	17.23	48%	0	-52.8	0.68%	0	0.5	51	0
22	Oct_17_2014	44.9	45.08	45.03	44.62			44.63(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-25	-10000	-13	-59	12.53	46%	0	-56.2	0.67%	0	-1.1	46	0
23	Oct_16_2014	44.9	45.12	45.11	44.81			44.09(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-22	-10000	-18	-35	19.59	44%	-0.02	-39.3	0.65%	0	-2.6	40	0
24	Oct_15_2014	44.91	45.2	45.21	45.07			44.42(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-17	-10000	-20	-7	22.24	43%	0	-23.3	0.65%	0	-2.4	46	0
25	Oct_14_2014	44.91	45.26	45.27	45.36			44.96(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	3	-10000	-3	20	12.85	46%		3.1	0.64%	0	-1	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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