Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 29, 2011

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $31.1700 (1.04%) ($30.9100 - $31.2700) on Tue. Nov. 29, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.09% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $31.1700(1.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    XLU(71%)    XLK(64%)    XLY(64%)    QQQ(59%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    TIP(-1%)    SHY(-1%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.545% (StdDev 1.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.65(1.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.82(1.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.95(0.71%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   6.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.13% (three month std-dev: 1.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111229

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_29_2011	30.56	30.95	30.82	30.65			31.17(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-7	-10000	7	-49	4.81	39%	0	-43.4	1.09%	0	0.6	44	0
2	Nov_28_2011	30.56	30.94	30.81	30.53			30.85(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-18	-10000	-2	-66	6.76	39%	-0.03	-56.6	1.1%	0	-0.3	45	0
3	Nov_25_2011	30.57	30.97	30.87	30.57			30.37(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10000	-7	-58	3.22	33%	-0.1	-50.4	1.09%	0	-1.6	44	0
4	Nov_23_2011	30.6	31.04	30.95	30.69			30.26(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-19	-10000	-9	-48	5.09	38%	-0.03	-35.3	1.1%	0	-2.2	40	0
5	Nov_22_2011	30.61	31.09	31.02	30.85			30.59(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-10000	-9	-33	5.78	38%	0	-21	1.12%	0	-1.6	50	0

6	Nov_21_2011	30.61	31.1	31.11	31.01			30.56(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-6	-10000	-8	-1	21.79	38%	-0.03	-7.5	1.12%	0	-1.9	53	0
7	Nov_18_2011	30.62	31.14	31.19	31.14			31.06(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-10000	-5	16	8.14	38%	0	14.4	1.1%	0	-0.3	51	0
8	Nov_17_2011	30.62	31.14	31.18	31.22			30.97(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	3	-10000	-2	17	6.73	38%	0	32.2	1.13%	0	-0.7	44	0
9	Nov_16_2011	30.62	31.16	31.21	31.25			31.08(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	6	-10000	3	16	7.33	38%	0	41.1	1.13%	0	-0.3	44	0
10	Nov_15_2011	30.62	31.15	31.18	31.2			31.36(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-1	-10000	-2	3	6.36	40%	0.03	36.6	1.12%	0	0.7	52	0

11	Nov_14_2011	30.61	31.13	31.1	31.24			31.21(-0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-0	-10000	-1	2	2.73	40%	0.03	45.8	1.13%	0	0.3	54	0
12	Nov_11_2011	30.6	31.1	31.1	31.25			31.48(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	5	-10000	6	2	3.14	47%	0	49	1.13%	0	1.3	52	0
13	Nov_10_2011	30.6	31.07	31.08	31.15			31.12(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3	-10000	-1	-9	4.5	41%	0	50	1.18%	0	0.2	46	0
14	Nov_9_2011	30.6	31.07	31.12	31.16			30.82(-2.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.1	0	-10000	0	1	6.19	44%	0	62	1.27%	0	-0.7	50	0
15	Nov_8_2011	30.6	31.05	31.16	31.15			31.56(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	11	-10000	11	10	5.83	43%	0	75.5	1.27%	0	1.5	59	0

16	Nov_7_2011	30.6	30.99	31.09	30.94			31.25(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-1	-10000	2	-11	4.93	43%	0	73.8	1.35%	0	0.8	55	0
17	Nov_4_2011	30.6	30.96	31.08	30.9			30.99(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-6	-10000	-5	-10	4.89	42%	0	76.7	1.36%	0	0.1	55	0
18	Nov_3_2011	30.6	30.92	31.13	31			31.17(1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-2	-10000	-4	6	5.17	42%	0	80.1	1.41%	0	0.6	54	0
19	Nov_2_2011	30.6	30.86	31.11	31.09			30.79(0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10000	-4	18	4.85	41%	-0.03	72.2	1.41%	0	-0.1	54	0
20	Nov_1_2011	30.61	30.8	31.12	31.17			30.5(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	4	-10000	-3	26	18.72	41%	0	67	1.41%	0	-0.5	49	0

21	Oct_31_2011	30.61	30.76	31.17	31.24			31.04(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-10000	-2	38	8.27	42%	0	57.8	1.4%	0	0.4	59	0
22	Oct_28_2011	30.61	30.67	31.14	31.24			31.51(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	0	45	11.99	43%	0	51.8	1.39%	0	1.2	65	0
23	Oct_27_2011	30.61	30.58	31.07	31.28			31.59(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	6	58	21.68	42%	0.03	54.6	1.39%	0	1.5	72	0
24	Oct_26_2011	30.6	30.5	30.97	31.15			31.19(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	4	58	5.29	42%	0	56	1.38%	0	1.1	71	0
25	Oct_25_2011	30.6	30.42	30.92	31.07			30.88(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	-10000	-0	67	13.39	42%		52.2	1.38%	0	0.8	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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