Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 29, 2010

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $27.9800 (-0.29%) ($27.9200 - $28.0900) on Wed. Sep. 29, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $27.9800(-0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    XLU(71%)    XLY(66%)    XLK(65%)    QQQ(61%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    TIP(-5%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(5%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.93(0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.86(0.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.63(1.27%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   9.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.12% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101029

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_29_2010	26.86	27.63	27.86	27.93			27.98(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	3	52	5.33	55%	0.04	107.1	0.75%	0	1.1	65	0
2	Sep_28_2010	26.85	27.56	27.84	27.9			28.06(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	5	60	5.66	55%	0.04	81.7	0.78%	0	1.3	69	0
3	Sep_27_2010	26.84	27.48	27.79	27.85			27.88(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	1	63	3.61	55%	0.04	68.6	0.78%	0	0.9	69	0
4	Sep_24_2010	26.83	27.42	27.76	27.84			28.04(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	9	72	4.52	49%	0.04	65.2	0.79%	0	1.4	69	0
5	Sep_23_2010	26.82	27.35	27.7	27.74			27.67(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-10000	-3	63	8.95	46%	0	56.5	0.79%	0	0.7	68	0

6	Sep_22_2010	26.82	27.3	27.68	27.77			27.85(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	21	-10000	1	82	5.93	43%	0	54.7	0.79%	0	1.2	77	0
7	Sep_21_2010	26.82	27.24	27.63	27.76			27.8(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	4	104	13.37	43%	0	50.9	0.8%	0	1.2	82	0
8	Sep_20_2010	26.82	27.19	27.57	27.72			27.85(1.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	34	-10000	6	119	6.37	43%	0	50.3	0.8%	0	1.4	84	0
9	Sep_17_2010	26.82	27.13	27.51	27.72			27.55(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	-10000	0	124	10.6	38%	0	48.1	0.81%	0	1	72	0
10	Sep_16_2010	26.82	27.09	27.47	27.66			27.82(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	43	-10000	8	146	6.89	40%	0	47.5	0.8%	0	1.7	82	0

11	Sep_15_2010	26.82	27.05	27.38	27.57			27.79(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	-10000	9	140	6.45	43%	0.04	49.3	0.81%	0	1.9	73	0
12	Sep_14_2010	26.81	27	27.26	27.47			27.6(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	-10000	7	123	8.51	43%	-0.04	44.4	0.81%	0	1.7	72	0
13	Sep_13_2010	26.82	26.96	27.15	27.39			27.55(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	-10000	4	104	5.26	43%	0	35.2	0.81%	0	1.8	66	0
14	Sep_10_2010	26.82	26.92	27.06	27.34			27.52(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10000	7	97	4.01	47%	-0.04	29.7	0.82%	0	2	67	0
15	Sep_9_2010	26.83	26.88	26.96	27.26			27.39(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	8	79	4.96	47%	-0.04	22	0.85%	0	1.9	65	0

16	Sep_8_2010	26.84	26.88	26.89	27.17			27.3(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	15	62	5.74	51%	0	9	0.85%	0	1.9	53	0
17	Sep_7_2010	26.84	26.85	26.82	27			27.18(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	12	29	6.44	51%	-0.07	-6.7	0.87%	0	1.4	51	0
18	Sep_3_2010	26.86	26.84	26.78	26.86			27.29(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	10	-10000	10	8	5.84	46%	-0.04	-23.7	0.93%	0	1.8	60	0
19	Sep_2_2010	26.87	26.83	26.72	26.74			27.12(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	5	-10000	10	-10	6.04	49%	-0.04	-37.2	0.92%	0	1.3	56	0
20	Sep_1_2010	26.88	26.82	26.72	26.62			26.95(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-5	-10000	4	-30	9.66	49%	-0.04	-50	0.94%	0	0.6	53	0

21	Aug_31_2010	26.89	26.83	26.67	26.57			26.48(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10000	-3	-36	12.42	46%	-0.07	-58.1	0.92%	0	-1.5	39	0
22	Aug_30_2010	26.91	26.86	26.73	26.61			26.46(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-6	-39	8.01	46%	-0.04	-58.4	0.93%	0	-1.7	28	0
23	Aug_27_2010	26.92	26.9	26.76	26.61			26.69(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-10	-10000	0	-38	9.87	49%	-0.07	-56.1	0.92%	0	-1	34	0
24	Aug_26_2010	26.94	26.92	26.77	26.68			26.52(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14	-10000	-4	-45	7.55	49%	-0.04	-61.5	0.95%	0	-1.9	35	0
25	Aug_25_2010	26.95	26.94	26.81	26.73			26.72(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10000	-5	-45	6.55	48%		-59.5	0.95%	0	-1.1	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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