Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Feb. 9, 2009

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $22.3000 (-0.98%) ($22.1900 - $22.4800) on Mon. Feb. 9, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.78% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $22.3000(-0.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(72%)    XLY(67%)    XLK(66%)    QQQ(63%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.89% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(5%)    IGOV(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.89% (StdDev 1.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $19.31(-13.41%)
Resistance Level   $22.59
5 Day Moving Average   $22.25(0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.39(-0.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.59(-1.28%)
To recent high   -8.3%
To recent low   2.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.59% (three month std-dev: 1.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090309

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_9_2009	23.87	22.59	22.39	22.25			22.3(-0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	-10000	4	-33	4.81	34%	-0.21	-94.3	1.78%	0	-0.8	46	0
2	Feb_6_2009	23.92	22.62	22.39	22.18			22.52(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	-10000	4	-42	7.27	34%	-0.25	-115.1	1.77%	0	-0.3	44	0
3	Feb_5_2009	23.98	22.66	22.43	22.1			22.14(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-20	-10000	-8	-57	12.05	34%	-0.25	-114.7	1.76%	0	-1.3	43	0
4	Feb_4_2009	24.04	22.74	22.5	22.25			21.83(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-21	-10000	-12	-46	7.97	34%	-0.29	-98.4	1.76%	0	-2.1	40	0
5	Feb_3_2009	24.11	22.84	22.6	22.49			22.44(2.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-10000	-4	-28	5.45	36%	-0.25	-74.1	1.75%	0	-0.9	40	0

6	Feb_2_2009	24.17	22.93	22.62	22.57			21.96(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-12	-10000	-7	-28	5.58	32%	-0.33	-50.6	1.73%	0	-1.8	35	0
7	Jan_30_2009	24.25	23.04	22.73	22.71			22.15(-3.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-7	-10000	-4	-16	8.4	40%	-0.29	-35.6	1.73%	0	-1.6	37	0
8	Jan_29_2009	24.32	23.13	22.79	22.79			22.85(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	-10000	0	-16	4.19	43%	-0.25	-26.6	1.78%	0	-0.5	39	0
9	Jan_28_2009	24.38	23.17	22.79	22.78			23.05(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	-10000	2	-31	6.03	52%	-0.25	-24.1	1.79%	0	-0.2	36	0
10	Jan_27_2009	24.44	23.18	22.77	22.73			22.82(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	-10000	1	-42	8.16	49%	-0.29	-26	1.99%	0	-0.6	28	0

11	Jan_26_2009	24.51	23.21	22.79	22.7			22.7(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	-10000	-2	-61	6.67	49%	-0.2	-30.4	2.01%	0	-0.9	22	0
12	Jan_23_2009	24.56	23.24	22.82	22.75			22.55(-0.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-19	-10000	-2	-68	6.12	44%	-0.24	-31.6	2.11%	0	-1.3	22	0
13	Jan_22_2009	24.62	23.27	22.9	22.79			22.77(-0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-17	-10000	1	-72	8.12	44%	-0.24	-35	2.1%	0	-1	33	0
14	Jan_21_2009	24.68	23.3	22.99	22.76			22.79(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	-10000	-3	-75	6.57	44%	-0.2	-36.7	2.11%	0	-1	38	0
15	Jan_20_2009	24.73	23.33	23.1	22.83			22.68(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-3	-64	11.34	44%	-0.24	-32.9	2.12%	0	-1.3	44	0

16	Jan_16_2009	24.79	23.38	23.26	22.9			22.95(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-10000	-0	-49	3.84	44%	-0.24	-27.6	2.1%	0	-1	46	0
17	Jan_15_2009	24.85	23.41	23.38	22.91			22.74(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-10000	-5	-42	7.62	41%	-0.2	-26.1	2.1%	0	-1.5	44	0
18	Jan_14_2009	24.9	23.46	23.49	23.04			22.64(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-13	-10000	-8	-26	5.9	41%	-0.24	-15.6	2.14%	0	-2	46	0
19	Jan_13_2009	24.96	23.46	23.6	23.25			23.15(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-10000	-6	-8	9.81	48%	-0.2	-10.1	2.12%	0	-0.9	50	0
20	Jan_12_2009	25.01	23.49	23.62	23.41			23.01(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-7	-10000	-10	1	6.54	48%	-0.24	-5.1	2.2%	0	-1.3	49	0

21	Jan_9_2009	25.07	23.5	23.67	23.67			23(-1.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-4	-10000	-10	16	6.06	43%	-0.2	15.3	2.21%	0	-1.4	42	0
22	Jan_8_2009	25.12	23.5	23.71	23.92			23.4(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	5	-10000	-3	30	6.25	41%	-0.24	34.6	2.32%	0	-0.3	49	0
23	Jan_7_2009	25.18	23.52	23.69	24.01			23.71(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	8	-10000	0	32	4.23	40%	-0.2	46.4	2.34%	0	0.5	51	0
24	Jan_6_2009	25.23	23.53	23.65	24			23.95(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	5	35	8.8	38%	-0.2	59.5	2.37%	0	1.2	64	0
25	Jan_5_2009	25.28	23.51	23.58	23.86			24.31(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	13	-10000	7	29	6.65	38%		46.3	2.39%	0	2.3	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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