Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 17, 2008

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $23.5400 (-0.51%) ($23.3600 - $23.7600) on Wed. Dec. 17, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.46% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $23.5400(-0.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    XLU(72%)    XLY(67%)    XLK(66%)    QQQ(63%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -1.23% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(5%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.23% (StdDev 2.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.31(0.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.39(0.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.27(1.16%)
To recent high   -15.8%
To recent low   7.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.98% (three month std-dev: 2.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090117

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_17_2008	25.85	23.27	23.39	23.31			23.54(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-0	-10000	1	-4	6.61	38%	-0.15	-7.6	2.46%	0	0.6	48	0
2	Dec_16_2008	25.89	23.26	23.37	23.28			23.66(2.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	-10000	2	-5	8.49	38%	-0.12	-14.5	2.49%	0	0.9	53	0
3	Dec_15_2008	25.92	23.23	23.31	23.22			23.12(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-10000	-5	-14	4.74	38%	-0.15	-30.7	2.47%	0	-0.2	50	0
4	Dec_12_2008	25.96	23.25	23.28	23.37			23.14(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5	-10000	-4	-8	6.6	38%	-0.19	-28.9	2.47%	0	-0.2	53	0
5	Dec_11_2008	26.01	23.3	23.37	23.48			23.11(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	5	-10000	0	20	7.51	38%	-0.15	-20	2.47%	0	-0.4	63	0

6	Dec_10_2008	26.05	23.31	23.37	23.47			23.37(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	8	-10000	0	30	7.46	38%	-0.15	-31.4	2.47%	0	0.1	56	0
7	Dec_9_2008	26.09	23.33	23.43	23.46			23.38(-1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-10000	2	32	10.38	38%	-0.11	-40.7	2.48%	0	0.1	51	0
8	Dec_8_2008	26.12	23.37	23.42	23.4			23.84(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	8	32	8.64	39%	-0.11	-42.1	2.47%	0	0.9	55	0
9	Dec_5_2008	26.15	23.38	23.34	23.18			23.7(2.82%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	1	-10000	-3	11	8.09	39%	-0.15	-50.4	2.48%	0	0.6	51	0
10	Dec_4_2008	26.19	23.4	23.17	23.26			23.05(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-10000	-5	-7	7.79	37%	-0.15	-46.8	2.46%	0	-0.6	42	0

11	Dec_3_2008	26.23	23.46	23.15	23.39			23.35(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1	-10000	-0	-2	8.39	37%	-0.15	-31.4	2.46%	0	-0.2	51	0
12	Dec_2_2008	26.27	23.53	23.14	23.4			23.07(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-2	-10000	-1	-6	8.27	37%	-0.15	-20.8	2.45%	0	-0.7	46	0
13	Dec_1_2008	26.31	23.6	23.15	23.44			22.74(-5.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-5	-10000	-2	-15	7.28	37%	-0.15	-4.7	2.45%	0	-1.2	41	0
14	Nov_28_2008	26.35	23.67	23.15	23.49			24.07(1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	8	-10000	15	-14	2.23	40%	-0.15	5.8	2.36%	0	0.6	48	0
15	Nov_26_2008	26.39	23.68	23.22	23.07			23.71(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-6	-10000	7	-44	10.19	40%	-0.11	-9.8	2.33%	0	0	46	0

16	Nov_25_2008	26.42	23.66	23.17	22.87			23.41(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-17	-10000	1	-70	7.97	39%	-0.15	-22	2.32%	0	-0.4	42	0
17	Nov_24_2008	26.46	23.68	23.2	22.85			23.28(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-20	-10000	1	-82	7.53	39%	-0.11	-23.7	2.33%	0	-0.5	38	0
18	Nov_21_2008	26.49	23.68	23.29	22.83			22.99(4.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-25	-10000	-4	-88	16.42	40%	-0.15	-37.1	2.33%	0	-0.8	39	0
19	Nov_20_2008	26.53	23.63	23.41	22.93			21.94(-3.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-36	-10000	-17	-91	11.98	36%	-0.19	-42.9	2.25%	0	-2.2	34	0
20	Nov_19_2008	26.58	23.74	23.64	23.38			22.73(-2.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-18	-10000	-4	-61	6.41	37%	-0.15	-32.8	2.22%	0	-1.6	38	0

21	Nov_18_2008	26.62	23.81	23.81	23.49			23.33(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10000	-3	-45	6.97	39%	-0.11	-30	2.2%	0	-0.8	53	0
22	Nov_17_2008	26.65	23.85	23.96	23.58			23.17(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10000	-9	-31	4.65	39%	-0.15	-29.2	2.2%	0	-1.1	47	0
23	Nov_14_2008	26.69	23.92	24.1	23.81			23.48(-2.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-10000	-6	7	6.1	39%	-0.11	-21.2	2.2%	0	-0.7	62	0
24	Nov_13_2008	26.72	23.92	24.17	23.97			24.2(4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-10000	0	34	7.83	40%	-0.11	-9.6	2.18%	0	0.4	61	0
25	Nov_12_2008	26.75	23.96	24.18	23.96			23.27(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	2	-10000	-9	35	6.27	37%		-4.8	2.11%	0	-1.2	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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