Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Nov. 4, 2008

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $24.8500 (1.47%) ($24.6600 - $25.3600) on Tue. Nov. 4, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.13% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $24.8500(1.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    XLU(73%)    XLK(68%)    XLY(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -1.065% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    TIP(-8%)    SHY(-7%)    GLD(7%)    LQD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.065% (StdDev 2.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.2(2.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.8(4.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24(3.54%)
To recent high   -14.8%
To recent low   11.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 3.08% (three month std-dev: 2.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081204

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_4_2008	26.95	24	23.8	24.2			24.85(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	9	9	4.8	42%	-0.11	-79.5	2.13%	0	1.1	56	0
2	Nov_3_2008	26.98	24.03	23.72	23.98			24.49(1.53%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	12	-10000	18	-8	7.54	42%	-0.15	-83.9	2.12%	0	0.5	48	0
3	Oct_31_2008	27.02	24.11	23.72	23.53			24.12(-0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	-10000	11	-43	12.87	41%	-0.15	-79.6	2.11%	0	0	46	0
4	Oct_30_2008	27.06	24.25	23.71	23.27			24.27(4.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-13	-10000	2	-57	6.94	42%	-0.15	-75.4	2.12%	0	0	55	0
5	Oct_29_2008	27.1	24.39	23.69	23.21			23.29(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-10000	-5	-58	7.06	41%	-0.18	-68.8	2.05%	0	-0.7	51	0

6	Oct_28_2008	27.15	24.61	23.75	23.33			23.75(6.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-19	-10000	-5	-61	4.7	41%	-0.15	-61.4	2.07%	0	-0.5	43	0
7	Oct_27_2008	27.19	24.79	23.84	23.44			22.22(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-10000	-21	-78	4.86	35%	-0.22	-58.5	1.87%	0	-1.6	29	0
8	Oct_24_2008	27.25	25.02	24.1	23.9			22.8(-5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-10000	-13	-63	7.99	36%	-0.22	-54.7	1.85%	0	-1.4	28	0
9	Oct_23_2008	27.31	25.26	24.21	24.2			24(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10000	-1	-84	8.95	39%	-0.15	-50.2	1.75%	0	-0.8	28	0
10	Oct_22_2008	27.35	25.45	24.16	24.2			23.9(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-10000	0	-132	7.03	41%	-0.18	-50.7	1.75%	0	-1	26	0

11	Oct_21_2008	27.4	25.61	24.25	24.23			24.28(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-45	-10000	-4	-169	4.13	41%	-0.15	-53.7	1.76%	0	-0.9	26	0
12	Oct_20_2008	27.44	25.75	24.37	24.32			24.51(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-48	-10000	-2	-187	5.52	41%	-0.15	-56.6	1.76%	0	-0.8	29	0
13	Oct_17_2008	27.48	25.91	24.54	24.36			24.31(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-41	-10000	7	-186	6.18	40%	-0.15	-59.6	1.76%	0	-1	37	0
14	Oct_16_2008	27.52	26.08	24.81	24.22			24.13(0.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-46	-10000	7	-203	11.94	41%	-0.15	-66.4	1.76%	0	-1.2	31	0
15	Oct_15_2008	27.56	26.27	25.13	24.07			23.9(-3.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-63	-10000	-9	-225	7.79	41%	-0.14	-74.4	1.76%	0	-1.5	29	0

16	Oct_14_2008	27.6	26.47	25.5	24.27			24.75(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-59	-10000	-8	-210	15.79	43%	-0.11	-76.5	1.72%	0	-1.1	38	0
17	Oct_13_2008	27.63	26.67	25.78	24.44			24.7(4.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-62	-10000	-16	-200	6.32	43%	-0.11	-74.4	1.72%	0	-1.3	37	0
18	Oct_10_2008	27.66	26.88	25.98	24.79			23.6(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-78	-10000	-35	-208	14.75	38%	-0.18	-69.5	1.61%	0	-2.2	27	0
19	Oct_9_2008	27.71	27.16	26.41	25.51			23.4(-6.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-68	-10000	-38	-158	13.19	37%	-0.18	-62.1	1.61%	0	-2.8	24	0
20	Oct_8_2008	27.76	27.46	26.87	26.32			24.9(-2.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-50	-10000	-30	-108	8.48	43%	-0.11	-54.9	1.44%	0	-2.4	29	0

21	Oct_7_2008	27.79	27.67	27.12	26.9			25.6(-3.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-32	-10000	-21	-66	6.32	46%	-0.11	-44.6	1.42%	0	-2.3	34	0
22	Oct_6_2008	27.82	27.84	27.29	27.3			26.44(-2.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-15	-10000	-3	-50	9.39	50%	-0.07	-35.2	1.37%	0	-1.8	32	0
23	Oct_3_2008	27.84	27.96	27.41	27.35			27.23(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-10000	-5	-67	5.9	53%	-0.07	-32.6	1.33%	0	-1	35	0
24	Oct_2_2008	27.86	28.02	27.46	27.44			27.45(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	-10000	-4	-81	5.14	53%	0	-31.2	1.32%	0	-0.8	34	0
25	Oct_1_2008	27.86	28.05	27.5	27.51			27.8(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-17	-10000	7	-89	8.52	53%		-30.5	1.31%	0	-0.4	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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