Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 17, 2008

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $24.3100 (0.75%) ($23.3500 - $24.6500) on Fri. Oct. 17, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.76% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $24.3100(0.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -5.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(73%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.88% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(6%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.88% (StdDev 1.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $13.09(-46.15%)
Resistance Level   $25.91
5 Day Moving Average   $24.36(-0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.54(-0.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.91(-6.18%)
To recent high   -16.6%
To recent low   3.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 6.06% (three month std-dev: 1.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081117

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_17_2008	27.48	25.91	24.54	24.36			24.31(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-41	-10000	7	-186	6.18	40%	-0.15	-59.6	1.76%	0	-1	37	0
2	Oct_16_2008	27.52	26.08	24.81	24.22			24.13(0.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-46	-10000	7	-203	11.94	41%	-0.15	-66.4	1.76%	0	-1.2	31	0
3	Oct_15_2008	27.56	26.27	25.13	24.07			23.9(-3.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-63	-10000	-9	-225	7.79	41%	-0.14	-74.4	1.76%	0	-1.5	29	0
4	Oct_14_2008	27.6	26.47	25.5	24.27			24.75(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-59	-10000	-8	-210	15.79	43%	-0.11	-76.5	1.72%	0	-1.1	38	0
5	Oct_13_2008	27.63	26.67	25.78	24.44			24.7(4.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-62	-10000	-16	-200	6.32	43%	-0.11	-74.4	1.72%	0	-1.3	37	0

6	Oct_10_2008	27.66	26.88	25.98	24.79			23.6(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-78	-10000	-35	-208	14.75	38%	-0.18	-69.5	1.61%	0	-2.2	27	0
7	Oct_9_2008	27.71	27.16	26.41	25.51			23.4(-6.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-68	-10000	-38	-158	13.19	37%	-0.18	-62.1	1.61%	0	-2.8	24	0
8	Oct_8_2008	27.76	27.46	26.87	26.32			24.9(-2.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-50	-10000	-30	-108	8.48	43%	-0.11	-54.9	1.44%	0	-2.4	29	0
9	Oct_7_2008	27.79	27.67	27.12	26.9			25.6(-3.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-32	-10000	-21	-66	6.32	46%	-0.11	-44.6	1.42%	0	-2.3	34	0
10	Oct_6_2008	27.82	27.84	27.29	27.3			26.44(-2.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-15	-10000	-3	-50	9.39	50%	-0.07	-35.2	1.37%	0	-1.8	32	0

11	Oct_3_2008	27.84	27.96	27.41	27.35			27.23(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-10000	-5	-67	5.9	53%	-0.07	-32.6	1.33%	0	-1	35	0
12	Oct_2_2008	27.86	28.02	27.46	27.44			27.45(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	-10000	-4	-81	5.14	53%	0	-31.2	1.32%	0	-0.8	34	0
13	Oct_1_2008	27.86	28.05	27.5	27.51			27.8(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-17	-10000	7	-89	8.52	53%	-0.04	-30.5	1.31%	0	-0.4	37	0
14	Sep_30_2008	27.87	28.08	27.49	27.38			27.6(3.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-27	-10000	5	-121	2.58	53%	0	-35.4	1.31%	0	-0.7	36	0
15	Sep_29_2008	27.87	28.12	27.6	27.29			26.66(-3.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-45	-10000	-11	-145	9.89	49%	-0.04	-36.9	1.24%	0	-2.1	28	0

16	Sep_26_2008	27.88	28.2	27.81	27.29			27.7(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-34	-10000	0	-137	2.53	48%	-0.04	-38.9	1.15%	0	-0.8	33	0
17	Sep_25_2008	27.89	28.24	27.95	27.47			27.8(2.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-32	-10000	-2	-120	7.75	51%	0	-38.2	1.22%	0	-0.7	45	0
18	Sep_24_2008	27.89	28.27	28.07	27.5			27.13(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-10000	-8	-107	4.51	48%	-0.04	-39.2	1.21%	0	-1.9	41	0
19	Sep_23_2008	27.9	28.32	28.25	27.63			27.18(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-37	-10000	-19	-89	3.9	48%	-0.04	-40.6	1.21%	0	-2.2	39	0
20	Sep_22_2008	27.91	28.38	28.42	27.95			27.55(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-25	-10000	-15	-54	5.09	50%	0	-34	1.2%	0	-1.8	40	0

21	Sep_19_2008	27.91	28.44	28.57	28.2			27.7(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-17	-10000	-17	-18	6.4	48%	-0.04	-24.3	1.21%	0	-1.8	47	0
22	Sep_18_2008	27.92	28.47	28.64	28.49			27.95(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-7	-10000	-13	10	11.02	47%	0.04	-11.7	1.21%	0	-1.3	46	0
23	Sep_17_2008	27.91	28.5	28.67	28.72			27.77(-3.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.5	-3	-10000	-14	29	8.62	47%	-0.04	3	1.21%	0	-1.9	47	0
24	Sep_16_2008	27.92	28.5	28.73	28.72			28.8(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	17	-10000	0	66	7.88	50%	0.04	18.5	1.13%	0	0.8	62	0
25	Sep_15_2008	27.91	28.54	28.7	28.96			28.8(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	17	-10000	-1	70	7.42	50%		21	1.14%	0	0.8	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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