Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 22, 2008

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $28.6800 (1.81%) ($28.3500 - $28.8100) on Fri. Aug. 22, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $28.6800(1.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    XLU(73%)    XLK(69%)    XLY(69%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(3%)    LQD(17%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.53(0.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.64(0.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.21(1.67%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 2.16% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20080922

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_22_2008	27.83	28.21	28.64	28.53			28.68(1.81%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	7	-10000	-4	38	2.8	49%	0	55.1	1.11%	0	0.8	64	0
2	Aug_21_2008	27.83	28.14	28.61	28.59			28.17(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	11	-10000	-7	64	1.89	45%	0	58.9	1.09%	0	0	63	0
3	Aug_20_2008	27.83	28.1	28.59	28.7			28.48(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	21	-10000	-1	87	2.2	45%	0	63.2	1.09%	0	0.6	66	0
4	Aug_19_2008	27.83	28.05	28.58	28.72			28.47(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	22	-10000	-4	98	2.74	45%	0.04	64.7	1.11%	0	0.6	58	0
5	Aug_18_2008	27.82	27.99	28.55	28.79			28.86(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	-10000	3	123	2.58	46%	0.04	67.2	1.1%	0	1.3	66	0

6	Aug_15_2008	27.81	27.88	28.43	28.75			28.98(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	-10000	7	138	1.96	48%	0.04	65.2	1.09%	0	1.6	73	0
7	Aug_14_2008	27.8	27.77	28.27	28.64			28.7(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	-10000	11	133	4.39	48%	0.04	65.2	1.1%	0	1.5	67	0
8	Aug_13_2008	27.79	27.7	28.14	28.47			28.57(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	-10000	3	116	4.62	48%	0.04	61.8	1.1%	0	1.4	64	0
9	Aug_12_2008	27.78	27.63	28.07	28.43			28.86(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	-10000	10	126	3.04	49%	0	64	1.09%	0	2.1	64	0
10	Aug_11_2008	27.78	27.53	27.93	28.27			28.66(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	-10000	14	117	2.9	49%	0.04	60.1	1.1%	0	2.1	65	0

11	Aug_8_2008	27.77	27.44	27.75	28.06			28.41(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	-10000	14	99	3.09	49%	0.04	56.1	1.09%	0	2.1	68	0
12	Aug_7_2008	27.76	27.36	27.62	27.85			27.83(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	-10000	6	81	3.99	46%	0.04	51.9	1.06%	0	1.1	63	0
13	Aug_6_2008	27.75	27.33	27.56	27.76			28.38(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	25	-10000	8	74	5.26	48%	0.04	54	1.04%	0	2.6	61	0
14	Aug_5_2008	27.74	27.26	27.46	27.65			28.08(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	23	-10000	8	67	3.4	46%	0.04	64.1	1.04%	0	2.6	59	0
15	Aug_4_2008	27.73	27.21	27.37	27.54			27.6(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	11	64	2.25	44%	0.04	73.7	1.01%	0	1.4	59	0

16	Aug_1_2008	27.72	27.18	27.29	27.39			27.35(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	-10000	3	41	4.16	46%	0	68.8	1.01%	0	0.7	56	0
17	Jul_31_2008	27.72	27.15	27.24	27.35			27.4(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	2	33	5.02	46%	-0.04	57.3	1.02%	0	0.9	57	0
18	Jul_30_2008	27.73	27.11	27.23	27.32			27.83(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	13	-10000	6	34	3.8	46%	0.04	37.4	1.02%	0	2.5	57	0
19	Jul_29_2008	27.72	27.05	27.16	27.24			27.51(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	10	-10000	4	27	2.98	44%	0	28.3	1.03%	0	1.8	57	0
20	Jul_28_2008	27.72	27.01	27.1	27.18			26.88(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.3	4	-10000	1	13	1.86	41%	0	20	0.99%	0	-0.6	43	0

21	Jul_25_2008	27.72	27	27.11	27.16			27.11(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6	-10000	4	12	5.23	41%	0	6.5	0.99%	0	0.4	53	0
22	Jul_24_2008	27.72	26.99	27.09	27.16			27.26(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	2	-10000	0	9	3.32	41%	0	-11.8	0.99%	0	1.1	60	0
23	Jul_23_2008	27.72	27	27.08	27.11			27.43(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	8	-10000	3	22	3.09	41%	0	-5.6	0.99%	0	1.5	62	0
24	Jul_22_2008	27.72	26.98	27.08	27.07			27.24(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	4	24	1.36	41%	0	-21	0.99%	0	1	59	0
25	Jul_21_2008	27.72	26.97	27.04	27.01			26.77(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	5	-10000	-2	25	3.79	37%		-43.8	0.96%	0	-0.8	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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