Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jul. 14, 2008

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $26.9500 (0.07%) ($26.8300 - $27.2600) on Mon. Jul. 14, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.94% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $26.9500(0.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    XLU(72%)    XLK(69%)    XLY(69%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(2%)    LQD(17%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.47% (StdDev 0.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

Resistance Level   $27.08
5 Day Moving Average   $27.08(-0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.93(0.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.08(-0.48%)
To recent high   -6%
To recent low   1.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.33% (three month std-dev: 0.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080814

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_14_2008	27.75	27.08	26.93				26.95(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	3	-10000	0	11	3.94	37%	-0.04	-63.2	0.94%	0	-0.4	50	0
2	Jul_11_2008	27.76	27.13	26.89	27.08			26.93(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	3	-10000	4	1	4.21	37%	0	-51.9	0.94%	0	-0.5	48	0
3	Jul_10_2008	27.76	27.19	26.88	27.03			27.22(0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	-10000	9	-18	4.39	38%	0	-55.5	0.93%	0	0.1	45	0
4	Jul_9_2008	27.76	27.22	26.91	26.92			27.02(-0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	5	-29	3.23	37%	-0.04	-62.5	0.92%	0	-0.4	44	0
5	Jul_8_2008	27.77	27.27	26.92	26.86			27.29(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-6	-10000	9	-51	6.43	38%	-0.04	-64.9	0.92%	0	0	42	0

6	Jul_7_2008	27.78	27.31	26.88	26.75			26.94(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	-10000	6	-87	3.26	35%	0.04	-70.1	0.91%	0	-0.7	36	0
7	Jul_3_2008	27.77	27.36	26.89	26.68			26.67(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-33	-10000	-2	-125	1.73	33%	-0.04	-71.3	0.9%	0	-1.1	28	0
8	Jul_2_2008	27.78	27.46	26.97	26.71			26.69(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-48	-10000	-16	-142	3	33%	-0.04	-68	0.9%	0	-1.3	28	0
9	Jul_1_2008	27.79	27.54	27.05	26.91			26.72(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-10000	-6	-126	7.94	36%	0	-58.8	0.9%	0	-1.3	33	0
10	Jun_30_2008	27.79	27.62	27.14	26.98			26.75(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	-10000	-4	-125	2.23	36%	0	-56.1	0.91%	0	-1.5	32	0

11	Jun_27_2008	27.79	27.7	27.25	27.03			26.56(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-38	-10000	-8	-129	3.32	36%	-0.04	-55.3	0.9%	0	-2	29	0
12	Jun_26_2008	27.8	27.8	27.41	27.13			26.84(-3.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-37	-10000	-11	-115	2.23	37%	0	-54	0.9%	0	-1.8	34	0
13	Jun_25_2008	27.8	27.88	27.54	27.26			27.68(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-26	-10000	4	-114	4.77	42%	0.04	-48.5	0.82%	0	-0.4	33	0
14	Jun_24_2008	27.79	27.9	27.56	27.21			27.07(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-46	-10000	-12	-149	2.34	39%	0	-53	0.77%	0	-1.8	29	0
15	Jun_23_2008	27.79	27.96	27.66	27.34			26.98(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-46	-10000	-16	-137	1.52	39%	-0.04	-53.5	0.79%	0	-2.2	27	0

16	Jun_20_2008	27.8	28.02	27.77	27.51			27.08(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-44	-10000	-19	-120	5.3	39%	0	-56.8	0.79%	0	-2.5	32	0
17	Jun_19_2008	27.8	28.08	27.87	27.72			27.51(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-35	-10000	-12	-104	2.16	42%	0.04	-55.1	0.77%	0	-1.9	33	0
18	Jun_18_2008	27.79	28.11	27.98	27.85			27.42(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-26	-10000	-9	-76	3.25	47%	0	-53.1	0.77%	0	-2.6	36	0
19	Jun_17_2008	27.79	28.15	28.08	27.95			27.73(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-19	-10000	-7	-55	3.05	49%	0.04	-48.7	0.79%	0	-1.9	43	0
20	Jun_16_2008	27.78	28.2	28.14	28.03			27.82(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-13	-10000	-4	-38	6.06	49%	0.04	-30.8	0.79%	0	-1.7	45	0

21	Jun_13_2008	27.77	28.23	28.19	28.07			28.12(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	3	-25	4.32	48%	0.04	-12.2	0.81%	0	-0.5	52	0
22	Jun_12_2008	27.76	28.23	28.22	28.04			28.14(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-14	-10000	-9	-29	2.36	48%	0.04	-5.1	0.81%	0	-0.5	49	0
23	Jun_11_2008	27.75	28.25	28.24	28.14			27.95(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-7	-10000	-8	-5	6.99	53%	0.04	12.8	0.81%	0	-1.4	53	0
24	Jun_10_2008	27.74	28.25	28.27	28.23			28.1(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-10000	-4	8	3.03	53%	0.04	21.6	0.85%	0	-0.8	48	0
25	Jun_9_2008	27.73	28.26	28.28	28.28			28.05(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-1	-10000	-3	6	2.49	53%		32.4	0.85%	0	-1	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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