Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jun. 24, 2008

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $27.0700 (0.33%) ($26.8400 - $27.2200) on Tue. Jun. 24, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.77% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $27.0700(0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    XLU(72%)    XLK(69%)    XLY(69%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(2%)    LQD(17%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.385% (StdDev 0.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $24.2(-10.6%)
Resistance Level   $27.9
5 Day Moving Average   $27.21(-0.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.56(-1.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.9(-2.97%)
To recent high   -5.5%
To recent low   0.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.68% (three month std-dev: 0.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080724

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_24_2008	27.79	27.9	27.56	27.21			27.07(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-46	-10000	-12	-149	2.34	39%	0	-53	0.77%	0	-1.8	29	0
2	Jun_23_2008	27.79	27.96	27.66	27.34			26.98(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-46	-10000	-16	-137	1.52	39%	-0.04	-53.5	0.79%	0	-2.2	27	0
3	Jun_20_2008	27.8	28.02	27.77	27.51			27.08(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-44	-10000	-19	-120	5.3	39%	0	-56.8	0.79%	0	-2.5	32	0
4	Jun_19_2008	27.8	28.08	27.87	27.72			27.51(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-35	-10000	-12	-104	2.16	42%	0.04	-55.1	0.77%	0	-1.9	33	0
5	Jun_18_2008	27.79	28.11	27.98	27.85			27.42(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-26	-10000	-9	-76	3.25	47%	0	-53.1	0.77%	0	-2.6	36	0

6	Jun_17_2008	27.79	28.15	28.08	27.95			27.73(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-19	-10000	-7	-55	3.05	49%	0.04	-48.7	0.79%	0	-1.9	43	0
7	Jun_16_2008	27.78	28.2	28.14	28.03			27.82(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-13	-10000	-4	-38	6.06	49%	0.04	-30.8	0.79%	0	-1.7	45	0
8	Jun_13_2008	27.77	28.23	28.19	28.07			28.12(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	3	-25	4.32	48%	0.04	-12.2	0.81%	0	-0.5	52	0
9	Jun_12_2008	27.76	28.23	28.22	28.04			28.14(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-14	-10000	-9	-29	2.36	48%	0.04	-5.1	0.81%	0	-0.5	49	0
10	Jun_11_2008	27.75	28.25	28.24	28.14			27.95(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-7	-10000	-8	-5	6.99	53%	0.04	12.8	0.81%	0	-1.4	53	0

11	Jun_10_2008	27.74	28.25	28.27	28.23			28.1(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-10000	-4	8	3.03	53%	0.04	21.6	0.85%	0	-0.8	48	0
12	Jun_9_2008	27.73	28.25	28.28	28.28			28.05(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-1	-10000	-3	6	2.49	53%	0.04	32.4	0.85%	0	-1	40	0
13	Jun_6_2008	27.72	28.25	28.29	28.32			27.95(-2.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-7	-10000	-9	-0	2.1	53%	0	30.8	0.85%	0	-1.4	42	0
14	Jun_5_2008	27.72	28.26	28.32	28.43			28.66(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	9	-10000	6	16	1.66	59%	0.04	41	0.8%	0	1.8	51	0
15	Jun_4_2008	27.71	28.23	28.25	28.36			28.37(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	2	-10000	3	-1	2.18	57%	0	40.5	0.79%	0	0.7	54	0

16	Jun_3_2008	27.71	28.22	28.23	28.33			28.39(0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	-10000	5	-1	2.64	59%	0.04	37.8	0.79%	0	0.8	57	0
17	Jun_2_2008	27.7	28.2	28.25	28.28			28.24(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	3	-10000	3	3	2.45	59%	0	29.7	0.8%	0	0.2	52	0
18	May_30_2008	27.7	28.19	28.25	28.25			28.49(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	8	-10000	5	15	2.31	61%	-0.04	29.7	0.79%	0	1.4	63	0
19	May_29_2008	27.71	28.17	28.27	28.2			28.31(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10000	7	20	3.42	56%	0	25.4	0.8%	0	0.7	56	0
20	May_28_2008	27.71	28.17	28.26	28.2			28.2(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	3	-10000	0	12	1.39	56%	0	6.4	0.83%	0	0.3	56	0

21	May_27_2008	27.71	28.14	28.26	28.12			28.16(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-5	-10000	-8	6	1.57	53%	-0.04	11.5	0.83%	0	0.1	50	0
22	May_23_2008	27.72	28.14	28.24	28.22			28.08(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-10000	-7	23	2.51	55%	0	25.6	0.85%	0	-0.2	52	0
23	May_22_2008	27.72	28.13	28.23	28.3			28.23(1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-10000	-5	30	1.78	57%	0	35.9	0.86%	0	0.5	52	0
24	May_21_2008	27.72	28.12	28.23	28.36			27.93(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-2	7	-10000	-3	36	2.27	55%	0	42.3	0.86%	0	-0.9	47	0
25	May_20_2008	27.72	28.13	28.21	28.4			28.22(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	15	-10000	3	52	3.69	53%		47.4	0.85%	0	0.4	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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