Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 24, 2008

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $28.0900 (0.14%) ($27.9200 - $28.2200) on Thu. Apr. 24, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $28.0900(0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    XLU(72%)    XLK(69%)    XLY(69%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(1%)    LQD(16%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $28(0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.98(0.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.03(0.21%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   5.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.54% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080524

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_24_2008	27.89	28.03	27.98	28			28.09(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-4	-10000	-1	-12	2.71	59%	-0.04	22.2	0.92%	0	0.4	40	0
2	Apr_23_2008	27.9	28.02	27.97	28.01			28.05(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-10000	-2	-14	1.42	61%	-0.04	36.8	0.92%	0	0.2	48	0
3	Apr_22_2008	27.91	28.01	27.95	28.03			27.87(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-6	-10000	-1	-20	2.75	59%	-0.04	52.6	0.93%	0	-0.9	41	0
4	Apr_21_2008	27.92	28.02	27.98	28.04			28.04(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	-10000	4	-16	2.34	59%	-0.04	89.5	0.93%	0	0.1	45	0
5	Apr_18_2008	27.93	28.01	28	27.99			27.96(-0.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-3	-10000	2	-17	3.74	56%	-0.04	101.6	0.94%	0	-0.3	54	0

6	Apr_17_2008	27.94	28	28	27.96			28.15(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-1	-10000	3	-11	2.29	56%	-0.04	91.2	0.96%	0	0.8	58	0
7	Apr_16_2008	27.95	27.97	28.03	27.92			28.11(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-1	-10000	3	-11	3.86	56%	-0.04	75.9	0.96%	0	0.6	56	0
8	Apr_15_2008	27.96	27.93	28.04	27.88			27.95(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5	-10000	-3	-11	1.36	55%	0	57	0.96%	0	0.1	57	0
9	Apr_14_2008	27.96	27.88	28.06	27.92			27.78(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-10000	-7	-3	2.33	55%	-0.04	45.2	0.97%	0	-0.3	45	0
10	Apr_11_2008	27.97	27.84	28.08	28.01			27.79(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-10000	-8	6	2.35	52%	0	44.4	0.97%	0	-0.1	48	0

11	Apr_10_2008	27.97	27.82	28.08	28.12			27.97(0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-10000	-2	28	1.96	52%	0	54.4	0.98%	0	0.4	61	0
12	Apr_9_2008	27.97	27.8	28.09	28.15			27.9(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-10000	-5	40	1.82	54%	-0.04	55.6	0.98%	0	0.2	63	0
13	Apr_8_2008	27.98	27.78	28.08	28.15			28.18(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-10000	0	60	1.65	56%	0	62.3	0.99%	0	1	74	0
14	Apr_7_2008	27.98	27.72	28.06	28.22			28.19(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	5	87	1.45	57%	-0.04	54.3	0.99%	0	1	80	0
15	Apr_4_2008	27.99	27.66	28.03	28.15			28.37(0.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	30	-10000	6	100	2.22	57%	0	49.7	1%	0	1.6	79	0

16	Apr_3_2008	27.99	27.6	27.96	28.06			28.13(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	4	94	2.66	57%	0	41	0.99%	0	1.2	62	0
17	Apr_2_2008	27.99	27.57	27.89	28.01			28.21(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	6	92	3.27	55%	0	38.9	1%	0	1.6	64	0
18	Apr_1_2008	27.99	27.52	27.81	27.92			28.2(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	3	77	7.42	55%	0	29	1.01%	0	1.8	62	0
19	Mar_31_2008	27.99	27.48	27.67	27.88			27.86(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-10000	-1	70	2.04	52%	0	25.2	1.01%	0	1.1	67	0
20	Mar_28_2008	27.99	27.44	27.59	27.9			27.88(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-10000	4	73	2.74	52%	0	21.8	1.01%	0	1.3	63	0

21	Mar_27_2008	27.99	27.43	27.54	27.85			27.91(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	7	75	2.45	51%	0	22.5	1.01%	0	1.5	61	0
22	Mar_26_2008	27.99	27.43	27.49	27.75			27.77(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	6	63	2.15	51%	-0.04	22.1	1.02%	0	1.2	54	0
23	Mar_25_2008	28	27.41	27.46	27.66			28(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	-10000	17	60	3.44	51%	0	15	1.01%	0	1.8	59	0
24	Mar_24_2008	28	27.39	27.35	27.42			27.93(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	16	-10000	14	21	4.83	51%	0	-0.9	1.02%	0	1.8	57	0
25	Mar_20_2008	28	27.37	27.26	27.23			27.62(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	1	-10000	3	-7	3.95	52%		-14.7	1.03%	0	0.9	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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