Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Apr. 3, 2007

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $26.9000 (0.67%) ($26.7300 - $26.9700) on Tue. Apr. 3, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.62% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $26.9000(0.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(72%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(2%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.31% (StdDev 0.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.66(0.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.65(0.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.37(2.01%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   4.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.29% (three month std-dev: 0.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070503

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_3_2007	26.29	26.37	26.65	26.66			26.9(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	-10000	11	108	2.24	51%	0.08	45.7	0.62%	0	1.6	75	0
2	Apr_2_2007	26.27	26.32	26.59	26.57			26.72(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	3	110	1.08	49%	0.04	37.6	0.62%	0	1.2	74	0
3	Mar_30_2007	26.26	26.28	26.54	26.55			26.65(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	23	-10000	-3	99	2.09	49%	0.04	22.2	0.63%	0	1.1	57	0
4	Mar_29_2007	26.25	26.24	26.47	26.58			26.58(0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	22	-10000	-3	97	1.84	47%	0.04	12.3	0.63%	0	1.1	57	0
5	Mar_28_2007	26.24	26.22	26.43	26.61			26.43(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	24	-10000	-3	105	1.29	47%	0.04	8.5	0.63%	0	0.7	56	0

6	Mar_27_2007	26.23	26.21	26.37	26.64			26.48(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	31	-10000	3	115	1.89	47%	0.04	3.5	0.63%	0	0.9	62	0
7	Mar_26_2007	26.22	26.21	26.3	26.61			26.6(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	36	-10000	12	107	1.16	47%	0.04	-11.5	0.63%	0	1.3	61	0
8	Mar_23_2007	26.21	26.21	26.26	26.51			26.79(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	-10000	21	108	1.19	49%	0.04	-20	0.62%	0	1.7	68	0
9	Mar_22_2007	26.2	26.21	26.2	26.34			26.73(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	32	-10000	15	82	2.61	49%	0.08	-35.4	0.63%	0	1.6	65	0
10	Mar_21_2007	26.18	26.2	26.13	26.22			26.6(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	28	-10000	19	55	1.1	49%	0	-42.5	0.63%	0	1.1	53	0

11	Mar_20_2007	26.18	26.21	26.06	26.06			26.35(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	15	9	1.46	46%	0.04	-46.3	0.61%	0	0.4	49	0
12	Mar_19_2007	26.17	26.24	26.02	25.94			26.1(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-11	-10000	-4	-32	0.79	43%	0	-47.4	0.6%	0	-0.3	48	0
13	Mar_16_2007	26.17	26.27	26.02	25.97			25.93(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10000	-8	-63	1.91	41%	0	-39.4	0.59%	0	-0.8	34	0
14	Mar_15_2007	26.17	26.32	25.99	25.97			26.13(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	-10000	0	-81	1.46	43%	0	-32.5	0.59%	0	-0.4	36	0
15	Mar_14_2007	26.17	26.35	26	26.03			25.8(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-10000	-3	-106	2.66	37%	0	-31.3	0.56%	0	-1.3	29	0

16	Mar_13_2007	26.17	26.39	26.05	26.05			25.75(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-37	-10000	-7	-125	1.42	37%	0	-33.5	0.57%	0	-1.6	26	0
17	Mar_12_2007	26.17	26.43	26.1	26.1			26.25(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-29	-10000	14	-156	1.09	44%	0.04	-35.4	0.51%	0	-0.5	29	0
18	Mar_9_2007	26.16	26.44	26.15	26.01			26.22(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-40	-10000	9	-187	1.51	44%	0.04	-45.8	0.51%	0	-0.6	34	0
19	Mar_8_2007	26.15	26.46	26.2	25.95			26.14(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-58	-10000	-5	-215	1.75	44%	0.04	-52.8	0.51%	0	-0.8	33	0
20	Mar_7_2007	26.14	26.48	26.26	25.98			25.9(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-63	-10000	-12	-214	1.88	38%	0	-52.9	0.5%	0	-1.6	32	0

21	Mar_6_2007	26.14	26.52	26.36	26.06			26(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-10000	-6	-185	2.03	38%	0.04	-49.2	0.49%	0	-1.5	39	0
22	Mar_5_2007	26.13	26.56	26.46	26.1			25.8(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-66	-10000	-32	-168	2.65	37%	0	-46.8	0.48%	0	-2.3	38	0
23	Mar_2_2007	26.13	26.62	26.58	26.3			25.89(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-44	-10000	-28	-93	2.16	45%	0.04	-31.4	0.52%	0	-2.6	38	0
24	Mar_1_2007	26.12	26.66	26.68	26.49			26.3(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-21	-10000	-16	-35	2.12	52%	0.04	-12	0.48%	0	-1.6	45	0
25	Feb_28_2007	26.11	26.68	26.73	26.59			26.3(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-15	-10000	-18	-6	2.06	53%		-1.3	0.49%	0	-1.9	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.