Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 11, 2006

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $26.1200 (0.19%) ($26.0200 - $26.2000) on Mon. Dec. 11, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.51% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $26.1200(0.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(72%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.255% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(2%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.255% (StdDev 0.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.06(0.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.87(0.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.79(1.28%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   3.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.81% (three month std-dev: 0.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070111

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_11_2006	25.41	25.79	25.87	26.06			26.12(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10000	6	91	0.55	57%	0.08	60.5	0.51%	0	1.6	57	0
2	Dec_8_2006	25.39	25.76	25.81	26.02			26.07(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	16	65	1.68	57%	0.04	59	0.51%	0	1.5	53	0
3	Dec_7_2006	25.38	25.73	25.77	25.91			26.02(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	12	31	0.71	57%	0.08	45.9	0.52%	0	1.5	53	0
4	Dec_6_2006	25.36	25.71	25.75	25.83			26.07(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	12	-10000	10	17	0.87	57%	0.08	37.1	0.52%	0	2	60	0
5	Dec_5_2006	25.34	25.69	25.71	25.76			26.04(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	14	-10000	15	12	1.18	57%	0.08	24.2	0.52%	0	2.2	62	0

6	Dec_4_2006	25.32	25.66	25.71	25.66			25.9(1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	11	-10000	15	-1	1.08	56%	0.08	-1.8	0.52%	0	1.7	62	0
7	Dec_1_2006	25.3	25.66	25.68	25.56			25.53(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	-7	-22	0.89	51%	0.04	-36.4	0.49%	0	-0.8	51	0
8	Nov_30_2006	25.29	25.64	25.71	25.6			25.61(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-6	-10000	-8	2	1.16	51%	0.04	-43.6	0.49%	0	-0.2	53	0
9	Nov_29_2006	25.28	25.64	25.72	25.6			25.74(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	4	-10000	0	16	1.2	53%	0.04	-43.6	0.48%	0	0.6	51	0
10	Nov_28_2006	25.27	25.65	25.72	25.65			25.52(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	-10000	-10	13	1.84	50%	0.04	-38.2	0.47%	0	-0.9	49	0

11	Nov_27_2006	25.26	25.67	25.7	25.71			25.41(-1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-8	-10000	-17	21	2.51	50%	0.08	-25.5	0.47%	0	-1.9	47	0
12	Nov_24_2006	25.24	25.69	25.72	25.81			25.73(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	12	-10000	-4	61	0.26	55%	0.08	5.2	0.45%	0	0.3	62	0
13	Nov_22_2006	25.22	25.69	25.7	25.83			25.83(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	21	-10000	5	70	1.17	55%	0.04	24.2	0.45%	0	0.7	59	0
14	Nov_21_2006	25.21	25.71	25.68	25.8			25.77(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-10000	8	66	1.95	55%	0.04	35.5	0.45%	0	0.4	55	0
15	Nov_20_2006	25.2	25.71	25.67	25.75			25.81(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	12	45	10.02	55%	0.08	38.7	0.45%	0	0.7	47	0

16	Nov_17_2006	25.18	25.7	25.64	25.68			25.89(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	11	-10000	10	12	9.64	55%	0.04	37.9	0.45%	0	1.1	48	0
17	Nov_16_2006	25.17	25.68	25.6	25.62			25.85(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	2	-10000	12	-30	1.57	55%	0.08	33.3	0.45%	0	1	43	0
18	Nov_15_2006	25.15	25.66	25.57	25.55			25.67(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-21	-10000	-2	-79	0.64	55%	0.08	25.8	0.44%	0	0.1	32	0
19	Nov_14_2006	25.13	25.65	25.56	25.56			25.54(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-10000	-2	-89	0.91	53%	0.08	25.7	0.45%	0	-0.6	37	0
20	Nov_13_2006	25.11	25.65	25.59	25.57			25.47(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-10000	-4	-82	1.03	53%	0.04	26.9	0.45%	0	-0.9	43	0

21	Nov_10_2006	25.1	25.64	25.63	25.59			25.55(0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-16	-10000	4	-75	0.46	57%	0.08	28	0.44%	0	-0.4	42	0
22	Nov_9_2006	25.08	25.63	25.67	25.57			25.54(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-10000	-2	-61	1.31	57%	0.08	25.6	0.46%	0	-0.4	52	0
23	Nov_8_2006	25.06	25.62	25.71	25.58			25.69(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	-10000	2	-31	0.81	60%	0.08	25.6	0.46%	0	0.3	59	0
24	Nov_7_2006	25.04	25.6	25.73	25.57			25.6(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-10000	-9	-15	1.74	60%	0.08	19.1	0.46%	0	0	59	0
25	Nov_6_2006	25.02	25.59	25.74	25.62			25.56(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-10000	-8	16	1.08	60%		25.5	0.47%	0	-0.1	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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