Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 31, 2006

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $25.8300 (-0.08%) ($25.7700 - $25.8800) on Tue. Oct. 31, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.46% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $25.8300(-0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(71%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.23% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(2%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.23% (StdDev 0.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.91(-0.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.76(0.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.56(1.06%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   5.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.02% (three month std-dev: 0.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061201

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_31_2006	24.95	25.56	25.76	25.91			25.83(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	41	-10000	3	155	0.84	69%	0.08	56.9	0.46%	0	1	71	0
2	Oct_30_2006	24.93	25.53	25.71	25.89			25.85(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	39	-10000	2	149	2.9	69%	0.08	52.9	0.47%	0	1.2	73	0
3	Oct_27_2006	24.91	25.49	25.66	25.88			25.96(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	49	-10000	15	150	1.7	72%	0.12	55.3	0.48%	0	2	72	0
4	Oct_26_2006	24.88	25.46	25.59	25.79			26.05(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	48	-10000	20	133	1.45	72%	0.08	47.7	0.48%	0	2.7	78	0
5	Oct_25_2006	24.86	25.43	25.52	25.67			25.88(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	36	-10000	15	99	2.5	70%	0.08	39.4	0.48%	0	2.5	66	0

6	Oct_24_2006	24.84	25.41	25.46	25.58			25.71(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	-10000	15	64	1	70%	0.08	27.3	0.48%	0	2.1	56	0
7	Oct_23_2006	24.82	25.39	25.41	25.49			25.79(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	22	-10000	15	44	2.05	70%	0.08	3.9	0.48%	0	3.1	68	0
8	Oct_20_2006	24.8	25.39	25.36	25.4			25.54(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	13	-10000	9	24	2.57	68%	0.08	-31.4	0.47%	0	2	63	0
9	Oct_19_2006	24.78	25.39	25.34	25.35			25.45(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	3	-10000	3	4	1.28	71%	0.04	-51.4	0.47%	0	1	52	0
10	Oct_18_2006	24.77	25.36	25.33	25.33			25.39(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10000	2	-4	2.11	71%	0.08	-55.8	0.49%	0	0.3	47	0

11	Oct_17_2006	24.75	25.37	25.33	25.32			25.29(-0.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-1	-10000	2	-9	1.1	71%	0	-55.8	0.49%	0	-0.7	41	0
12	Oct_16_2006	24.75	25.38	25.34	25.31			25.34(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-6	-10000	-2	-17	2.62	71%	0.08	-65.1	0.49%	0	-0.4	50	0
13	Oct_13_2006	24.73	25.39	25.32	25.32			25.3(-0.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-3	-10000	2	-18	0.64	62%	0.04	-68.1	0.51%	0	-0.7	50	0
14	Oct_12_2006	24.72	25.4	25.33	25.31			25.35(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-8	-10000	-2	-25	1.5	58%	0.04	-62.7	0.52%	0	-0.4	45	0
15	Oct_11_2006	24.71	25.42	25.34	25.32			25.31(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-10000	-6	-24	2	58%	0.08	-52.9	0.53%	0	-0.8	45	0

16	Oct_10_2006	24.69	25.43	25.36	25.32			25.27(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5	-10000	0	-19	2.46	58%	0.08	-37.3	0.53%	0	-1.1	36	0
17	Oct_9_2006	24.67	25.45	25.37	25.36			25.36(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-4	-10000	4	-27	1.62	58%	0.04	-33.9	0.54%	0	-0.6	44	0
18	Oct_6_2006	24.66	25.47	25.36	25.33			25.27(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-10000	-3	-45	1.67	61%	0.08	-37.3	0.54%	0	-1.3	44	0
19	Oct_5_2006	24.64	25.47	25.36	25.35			25.41(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-11	-10000	-1	-42	1.12	60%	0.08	-34.5	0.55%	0	-0.6	44	0
20	Oct_4_2006	24.62	25.47	25.39	25.35			25.51(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-12	-10000	0	-48	3.27	60%	0.04	-36.4	0.56%	0	0.1	43	0

21	Oct_3_2006	24.61	25.49	25.4	25.36			25.24(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-14	-10000	-3	-46	2.92	58%	0.08	-34.5	0.55%	0	-1.8	40	0
22	Oct_2_2006	24.59	25.5	25.43	25.38			25.21(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-15	-10000	-3	-49	1.93	58%	0.04	-25.5	0.55%	0	-2.2	34	0
23	Sep_29_2006	24.58	25.5	25.46	25.4			25.38(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10000	-3	-55	1.59	64%	0.08	-6.4	0.55%	0	-1.3	38	0
24	Sep_28_2006	24.56	25.53	25.48	25.4			25.45(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-12	-10000	0	-46	1.04	64%	0.04	7	0.58%	0	-0.7	48	0
25	Sep_27_2006	24.55	25.54	25.5	25.42			25.51(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-14	-10000	-6	-39	2.75	64%		23.3	0.58%	0	-0.3	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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