Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jun. 19, 2006

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $23.6600 (-0.38%) ($23.5900 - $23.9300) on Mon. Jun. 19, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.61% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $23.6600(-0.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(71%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.305% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(1%)    GLD(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.305% (StdDev 0.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Resistance Level   $23.78
5 Day Moving Average   $23.7(-0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.7(-0.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.78(-0.5%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   2.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.63% (three month std-dev: 0.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060719

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_19_2006	23.7			23.7			23.66(-0.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-7	-10000	1	-30	1.48	45%	0.04	-15.9	0.61%	0	-0.8	46	0
2	Jun_16_2006	23.69	23.78	23.7	23.69			23.75(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-13	-10000	-1	-50	1.39	43%	0	-17.5	0.61%	0	-0.2	39	0
3	Jun_15_2006	23.69	23.78	23.72	23.7			23.85(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-11	-10000	3	-53	1.26	43%	0.04	-22.4	0.61%	0	0.5	41	0
4	Jun_14_2006	23.68	23.77	23.73	23.7			23.66(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	0	-55	1.37	41%	0	-38.8	0.6%	0	-0.7	45	0
5	Jun_13_2006	23.68	23.78	23.75	23.68			23.56(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-10000	-4	-49	1.35	41%	0	-44.8	0.6%	0	-1.4	49	0

6	Jun_12_2006	23.68	23.8	23.78	23.68			23.64(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-10000	0	-38	2.33	41%	0.04	-47.8	0.6%	0	-1	50	0
7	Jun_9_2006	23.67	23.8	23.82	23.71			23.78(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-9	-10000	-4	-23	2.17	44%	0	-59.7	0.61%	0	-0.2	57	0
8	Jun_8_2006	23.67	23.81	23.85	23.74			23.76(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-5	-10000	-7	1	2.28	46%	0	-53.7	0.61%	0	-0.3	57	0
9	Jun_7_2006	23.67	23.83	23.85	23.79			23.68(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-10000	-5	19	2.1	48%	0.04	-33.8	0.62%	0	-0.9	50	0
10	Jun_6_2006	23.66	23.86	23.86	23.83			23.69(0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-10000	-3	17	2.7	48%	0	-17.5	0.63%	0	-0.9	41	0

11	Jun_5_2006	23.66	23.88	23.86	23.85			23.62(-1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-8	-10000	-13	9	0.87	48%	0	-6	0.63%	0	-1.3	43	0
12	Jun_2_2006	23.66	23.88	23.87	23.95			23.96(-0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	6	-10000	-3	34	1.79	50%	0	11.9	0.6%	0	0.3	58	0
13	Jun_1_2006	23.66	23.9	23.84	23.97			24.01(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	4	33	0.68	50%	0.04	17.9	0.61%	0	0.6	53	0
14	May_31_2006	23.65	23.9	23.81	23.94			23.88(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	-10000	6	11	0.73	51%	0	15.5	0.61%	0	-0.1	42	0
15	May_30_2006	23.65	23.9	23.82	23.9			23.79(-1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	0	-10000	3	-8	1.48	50%	0	19	0.61%	0	-0.5	38	0

16	May_26_2006	23.65	23.89	23.83	23.88			24.09(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	4	-10000	12	-19	3.49	51%	0.04	25	0.61%	0	1.1	45	0
17	May_25_2006	23.64	23.88	23.79	23.79			24.09(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-3	-10000	14	-53	1.4	51%	0.04	21.3	0.62%	0	1.1	49	0
18	May_24_2006	23.63	23.88	23.76	23.69			23.86(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-18	-10000	4	-82	1.79	48%	0	16	0.61%	0	0	51	0
19	May_23_2006	23.63	23.86	23.79	23.66			23.68(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-28	-10000	-10	-83	0.74	46%	0	19	0.61%	0	-0.9	48	0
20	May_22_2006	23.63	23.86	23.84	23.73			23.69(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	-7	-56	1.84	48%	0.04	30.7	0.61%	0	-0.8	44	0

21	May_19_2006	23.62	23.85	23.89	23.78			23.62(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8	-10000	-1	-30	0.89	48%	0	43.5	0.61%	0	-1	47	0
22	May_18_2006	23.62	23.84	23.94	23.79			23.6(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-10000	-7	-21	0.98	48%	0	44.6	0.61%	0	-1	47	0
23	May_17_2006	23.62	23.83	23.97	23.84			23.72(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-12	-10	2.73	48%	0	51.4	0.62%	0	-0.4	51	0
24	May_16_2006	23.62	23.82	23.98	23.93			24.02(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-2	-10000	-7	15	2.27	51%	0	60.2	0.6%	0	0.7	59	0
25	May_15_2006	23.62	23.79	23.97	23.98			23.93(1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-7	44	0.93	52%		57.9	0.6%	0	0.5	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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