Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 9, 2006

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $23.2400 (0.3%) ($23.1200 - $23.3200) on Thu. Feb. 9, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.48% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $23.2400(0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(71%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.24% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.24% (StdDev 0.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $23.33
5 Day Moving Average   $23.18(0.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.29(-0.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.33(-0.39%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   0.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.56% (three month std-dev: 0.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060309

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_9_2006	23.28	23.33	23.29	23.18			23.24(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-11	-10000	-5	-28	1.26	55%	0	-67.9	0.48%	0	-0.7	55	0
2	Feb_8_2006	23.28	23.34	23.3	23.21			23.17(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-10000	-7	-29	1.78	55%	0.04	-56.7	0.48%	0	-1.2	37	0
3	Feb_7_2006	23.27	23.36	23.31	23.25			23.07(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-14	-10000	-9	-27	1.04	55%	0	-45	0.48%	0	-2.1	35	0
4	Feb_6_2006	23.27	23.39	23.31	23.3			23.18(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-11	-10000	-9	-17	1	55%	0	-26.8	0.48%	0	-1.6	43	0
5	Feb_3_2006	23.27	23.4	23.31	23.35			23.23(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13	-10000	-11	-17	1.56	55%	0	-14.3	0.48%	0	-1.3	41	0

6	Feb_2_2006	23.27	23.41	23.34	23.35			23.38(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3	-10000	0	-11	2.18	58%	0	-7.8	0.47%	0	-0.3	44	0
7	Feb_1_2006	23.27	23.41	23.35	23.41			23.39(0.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-1	-10000	4	-16	1.7	58%	0.04	-9.8	0.47%	0	-0.3	42	0
8	Jan_31_2006	23.26	23.41	23.35	23.39			23.33(-0.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-3	-10000	4	-25	0.95	58%	0	-23.5	0.48%	0	-0.8	40	0
9	Jan_30_2006	23.26	23.41	23.35	23.37			23.44(-0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	-10000	9	-38	0.77	58%	0	-41.2	0.48%	0	0.2	41	0
10	Jan_27_2006	23.26	23.41	23.35	23.32			23.53(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-3	-10000	12	-48	1.05	59%	0	-55.4	0.52%	0	0.8	50	0

11	Jan_26_2006	23.26	23.42	23.36	23.25			23.34(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-23	-10000	-7	-72	1.23	57%	0	-75	0.52%	0	-0.6	48	0
12	Jan_25_2006	23.26	23.43	23.38	23.29			23.29(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	-10000	-7	-63	1.13	57%	0	-78.2	0.52%	0	-1.1	41	0
13	Jan_24_2006	23.26	23.45	23.41	23.33			23.27(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-3	-45	1.19	59%	0	-80.4	0.53%	0	-1.5	45	0
14	Jan_23_2006	23.26	23.47	23.44	23.35			23.19(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-15	-10000	-10	-28	1.43	59%	0	-84.3	0.54%	0	-2.3	49	0
15	Jan_20_2006	23.26	23.5	23.47	23.41			23.17(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-11	-10000	-11	-12	8.32	56%	0	-87.2	0.54%	0	-3	41	0

16	Jan_19_2006	23.26	23.52	23.47	23.48			23.51(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-1	-10000	-2	3	1.16	66%	0.04	-81.4	0.51%	0	-0.1	48	0
17	Jan_18_2006	23.25	23.53	23.47	23.49			23.49(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	-2	7	1.17	62%	0	-64.3	0.53%	0	-0.4	49	0
18	Jan_17_2006	23.25	23.55	23.5	23.5			23.39(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-5	-10000	-6	-1	0.79	65%	0.04	-36.2	0.53%	0	-1.5	39	0
19	Jan_13_2006	23.24	23.57	23.5	23.54			23.48(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-2	-10000	-1	-6	1.39	66%	0	-2	0.55%	0	-0.7	40	0
20	Jan_12_2006	23.24	23.59	23.5	23.55			23.51(-0.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-1	-10000	3	-12	1.49	66%	0.04	15.6	0.55%	0	-0.5	42	0

21	Jan_11_2006	23.23	23.59	23.5	23.53			23.57(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-10000	1	-23	0.72	66%	0	19.1	0.55%	0	-0.2	47	0
22	Jan_10_2006	23.23	23.6	23.5	23.52			23.55(-0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-10000	5	-34	1.14	66%	0	16.2	0.55%	0	-0.3	41	0
23	Jan_9_2006	23.23	23.59	23.49	23.49			23.61(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	-10000	9	-44	1.71	66%	0.04	8.3	0.55%	0	0.1	41	0
24	Jan_6_2006	23.22	23.59	23.5	23.49			23.5(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-19	-10000	0	-75	1.13	64%	0	-7.9	0.55%	0	-0.4	32	0
25	Jan_5_2006	23.22	23.57	23.52	23.43			23.4(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-3	-87	1.81	61%		-8.6	0.55%	0	-0.9	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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