Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 12, 2005

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $23.0800 (-0.35%) ($22.9900 - $23.1500) on Fri. Aug. 12, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.53% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $23.0800(-0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(71%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.265% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.265% (StdDev 0.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $23.27
5 Day Moving Average   $23.12(-0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.22(-0.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.27(-0.82%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   1.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.6% (three month std-dev: 0.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050912

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_12_2005	23.15	23.27	23.22	23.12			23.08(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10000	-2	-71	1.27	46%	0.04	-28.3	0.53%	0	-1.4	48	0
2	Aug_11_2005	23.14	23.29	23.26	23.13			23.16(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	-10000	-3	-61	1.1	46%	0	-16.1	0.53%	0	-1	47	0
3	Aug_10_2005	23.14	23.3	23.3	23.15			23.1(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-10000	-13	-42	2.01	46%	0	12.5	0.54%	0	-1.5	48	0
4	Aug_9_2005	23.14	23.3	23.33	23.23			23.14(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-10000	-10	-17	0.81	46%	0	46.4	0.54%	0	-1.3	46	0
5	Aug_8_2005	23.14	23.3	23.35	23.29			23.1(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-5	-10000	-8	3	0.81	46%	0.04	66.1	0.54%	0	-1.6	48	0

6	Aug_5_2005	23.13	23.3	23.37	23.34			23.14(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-5	-10000	-11	14	1.37	46%	0	83.3	0.55%	0	-1.2	48	0
7	Aug_4_2005	23.13	23.31	23.37	23.41			23.29(-0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	0	-10000	-10	30	0.48	50%	0	83.1	0.54%	0	-0.1	48	0
8	Aug_3_2005	23.13	23.28	23.38	23.47			23.49(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	3	46	3.07	54%	0	70.5	0.54%	0	1	54	0
9	Aug_2_2005	23.13	23.25	23.36	23.45			23.44(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	15	-10000	5	43	0.4	56%	0	63.2	0.54%	0	0.9	58	0
10	Aug_1_2005	23.13	23.22	23.34	23.42			23.36(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	14	-10000	5	41	0.92	56%	0	65.3	0.54%	0	0.6	59	0

11	Jul_29_2005	23.13	23.2	23.33	23.39			23.48(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	6	38	1.33	56%	0	61.6	0.54%	0	1.2	65	0
12	Jul_28_2005	23.13	23.16	23.31	23.35			23.58(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	-10000	11	46	1.79	56%	0	50	0.54%	0	1.7	74	0
13	Jul_27_2005	23.13	23.13	23.29	23.28			23.38(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	16	-10000	3	53	0.68	53%	0	40	0.53%	0	1.1	77	0
14	Jul_26_2005	23.13	23.11	23.27	23.26			23.32(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	3	73	0.51	50%	0	35.2	0.53%	0	1	74	0
15	Jul_25_2005	23.13	23.08	23.26	23.24			23.2(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-10000	-1	74	0.55	54%	-0.04	18.9	0.54%	0	0.5	59	0

16	Jul_22_2005	23.14	23.06	23.25	23.25			23.28(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	20	-10000	-3	89	2.36	50%	0	9	0.55%	0	1	66	0
17	Jul_21_2005	23.14	23.06	23.23	23.27			23.21(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	-10000	-5	102	1.64	55%	0	3.2	0.57%	0	0.8	67	0
18	Jul_20_2005	23.14	23.06	23.18	23.3			23.3(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	26	-10000	1	99	0.63	51%	0	4.2	0.6%	0	1.2	60	0
19	Jul_19_2005	23.14	23.06	23.13	23.29			23.21(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	24	-10000	3	86	1.16	51%	0	-1.1	0.62%	0	0.8	56	0
20	Jul_18_2005	23.14	23.06	23.1	23.27			23.25(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	3	94	1.03	50%	-0.04	-5	0.62%	0	0.9	65	0

21	Jul_15_2005	23.15	23.04	23.06	23.25			23.36(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	-10000	10	95	0.26	47%	0	-10	0.63%	0	1.4	67	0
22	Jul_14_2005	23.15	23.04	23	23.18			23.37(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	-10000	19	75	0.56	47%	0.04	-19	0.64%	0	1.5	58	0
23	Jul_13_2005	23.14	23.03	22.95	23.04			23.24(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	14	32	0.31	47%	0	-35	0.63%	0	0.9	47	0
24	Jul_12_2005	23.14	23.04	22.93	22.94			23.15(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	-10000	4	-3	0.29	47%	0	-46.2	0.64%	0	0.5	46	0
25	Jul_11_2005	23.14	23.05	22.88	22.91			23.13(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	-10000	8	-31	0.89	47%		-45.1	0.64%	0	0.3	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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