Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 21, 2005

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $23.2400 (-0.21%) ($23.2100 - $23.3400) on Tue. Jun. 21, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.6% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $23.2400(-0.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(71%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.3% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.3% (StdDev 0.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Resistance Level   $23.39
5 Day Moving Average   $23.32(-0.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.36(-0.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.39(-0.64%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   3.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.3% (three month std-dev: 0.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050721

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_21_2005	23.23	23.39	23.36	23.32			23.24(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-9	-10000	-4	-25	0.75	54%	0	-46.7	0.6%	0	-2.1	36	0
2	Jun_20_2005	23.23	23.41	23.38	23.35			23.29(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-8	-10000	-6	-13	0.64	54%	0	-3.3	0.6%	0	-1.7	51	0
3	Jun_17_2005	23.23	23.42	23.38	23.39			23.3(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-2	-10000	-1	-5	0.82	52%	0	53.3	0.61%	0	-1.7	46	0
4	Jun_16_2005	23.23	23.42	23.39	23.4			23.35(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-2	-10000	-1	-6	0.37	52%	0	90	0.61%	0	-1.1	44	0
5	Jun_15_2005	23.23	23.43	23.39	23.41			23.42(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	-10000	1	-1	0.28	51%	0	110	0.61%	0	-0.1	49	0

6	Jun_14_2005	23.23	23.42	23.41	23.4			23.41(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-2	-10000	-1	-5	0.22	51%	0.04	92.1	0.61%	0	-0.1	44	0
7	Jun_13_2005	23.22	23.41	23.41	23.41			23.45(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-10000	3	-12	0.64	51%	0	64.7	0.61%	0	0.3	43	0
8	Jun_10_2005	23.22	23.38	23.4	23.39			23.37(-0.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-5	-10000	1	-22	0.6	49%	0	37	0.62%	0	-0.1	42	0
9	Jun_9_2005	23.22	23.37	23.4	23.38			23.39(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-10000	-4	-30	0.66	47%	0	31.2	0.62%	0	0.1	41	0
10	Jun_8_2005	23.22	23.36	23.41	23.41			23.38(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-10000	-3	-21	0.18	47%	0	33.3	0.63%	0	0.1	50	0

11	Jun_7_2005	23.22	23.34	23.42	23.43			23.44(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10000	4	-3	0.51	47%	0	34.9	0.63%	0	0.5	62	0
12	Jun_6_2005	23.22	23.33	23.43	23.4			23.35(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-10000	-1	7	0.74	47%	0	38.4	0.63%	0	0.1	64	0
13	Jun_3_2005	23.22	23.32	23.45	23.41			23.34(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-10000	-3	33	0.5	49%	0.04	46.5	0.63%	0	0.1	70	0
14	Jun_2_2005	23.21	23.31	23.47	23.43			23.53(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	3	60	0.33	51%	0	57.8	0.63%	0	1	67	0
15	Jun_1_2005	23.21	23.29	23.46	23.41			23.47(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	15	-10000	-1	64	0.46	52%	0	67.4	0.63%	0	0.9	60	0

16	May_31_2005	23.21	23.27	23.44	23.42			23.31(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	-10000	-7	71	0.42	49%	0.04	77.9	0.63%	0	0.2	59	0
17	May_27_2005	23.2	23.25	23.42	23.47			23.39(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-10000	-4	80	0.32	51%	0	76.8	0.63%	0	0.6	56	0
18	May_26_2005	23.2	23.23	23.37	23.5			23.46(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-10000	-3	80	0.29	51%	0.04	76.9	0.63%	0	0.9	62	0
19	May_25_2005	23.19	23.19	23.33	23.52			23.44(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	-10000	1	82	0.39	51%	0	75	0.64%	0	1	58	0
20	May_24_2005	23.19	23.16	23.3	23.51			23.52(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	27	-10000	8	84	2.25	51%	0	76.9	0.64%	0	1.3	59	0

21	May_23_2005	23.19	23.12	23.26	23.45			23.56(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	13	74	0.51	51%	0.04	72.3	0.64%	0	1.7	64	0
22	May_20_2005	23.18	23.08	23.22	23.35			23.52(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	-10000	18	63	0.38	48%	0	67.6	0.66%	0	1.8	66	0
23	May_19_2005	23.18	23.03	23.17	23.21			23.55(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	20	-10000	13	42	0.31	48%	0.04	53	0.67%	0	2.3	70	0
24	May_18_2005	23.17	23	23.13	23.11			23.41(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	14	-10000	7	34	0.73	48%	0	37	0.67%	0	1.8	69	0
25	May_17_2005	23.17	22.95	23.1	23.06			23.19(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	3	38	0.27	44%		20.7	0.66%	0	1.1	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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