Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 4, 2005

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $23.7300 (0.51%) ($23.6800 - $23.8000) on Fri. Mar. 4, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.52% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $23.7300(0.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(71%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.26% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(-0%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.26% (StdDev 0.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.52(0.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.41(1.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.48(1.06%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.68% (three month std-dev: 0.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_4_2005	22.89	23.48	23.41	23.52			23.73(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	10	-10000	12	2	2.89	54%	0.09	16.2	0.52%	0	1.6	54	0
2	Mar_3_2005	22.87	23.47	23.39	23.45			23.61(0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	4	-10000	10	-14	0.28	54%	0.09	12.5	0.52%	0	0.9	56	0
3	Mar_2_2005	22.85	23.47	23.38	23.39			23.45(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	-10000	10	-22	0.41	55%	0.09	12.5	0.51%	0	-0.1	52	0
4	Mar_1_2005	22.83	23.46	23.38	23.33			23.51(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-1	-10000	12	-38	0.44	59%	0.09	7.8	0.52%	0	0.3	45	0
5	Feb_28_2005	22.81	23.46	23.4	23.26			23.32(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-20	-10000	-5	-63	0.99	50%	0.09	1.6	0.56%	0	-0.9	40	0

6	Feb_25_2005	22.79	23.46	23.4	23.29			23.37(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-17	-10000	-3	-60	0.43	50%	0.09	10.9	0.56%	0	-0.5	39	0
7	Feb_24_2005	22.77	23.45	23.42	23.31			23.29(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10000	-11	-65	0.84	50%	0.04	14.1	0.56%	0	-1.1	40	0
8	Feb_23_2005	22.76	23.45	23.44	23.38			23.18(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-24	-10000	-14	-55	1.09	50%	0.04	19.1	0.56%	0	-1.6	36	0
9	Feb_22_2005	22.75	23.44	23.48	23.47			23.12(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-15	-10000	-12	-24	0.45	52%	0.13	26.5	0.56%	0	-2	45	0
10	Feb_18_2005	22.72	23.45	23.53	23.55			23.47(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-3	12	0.47	54%	0.04	36.1	0.54%	0	0.1	58	0

11	Feb_17_2005	22.71	23.45	23.55	23.57			23.5(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	11	-10000	3	33	0.22	54%	0.09	41.1	0.54%	0	0.4	62	0
12	Feb_16_2005	22.69	23.43	23.56	23.55			23.65(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	8	43	0.57	53%	0.13	42.5	0.54%	0	1.3	71	0
13	Feb_15_2005	22.66	23.41	23.54	23.55			23.59(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	0	44	1.12	53%	0.09	42.5	0.54%	0	1.1	74	0
14	Feb_14_2005	22.64	23.4	23.52	23.5			23.55(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	13	-10000	-1	55	0.35	53%	0.09	52.9	0.54%	0	0.9	71	0
15	Feb_11_2005	22.62	23.38	23.5	23.51			23.54(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	-10000	-3	70	0.41	56%	0.09	53.4	0.54%	0	0.9	74	0

16	Feb_10_2005	22.6	23.36	23.48	23.53			23.4(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	15	-10000	-6	79	0.59	54%	0.09	55.8	0.55%	0	0.2	63	0
17	Feb_9_2005	22.58	23.35	23.47	23.57			23.41(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	20	-10000	-3	88	0.47	54%	0.09	70.1	0.55%	0	0.3	51	0
18	Feb_8_2005	22.56	23.34	23.45	23.59			23.62(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	8	95	1.03	57%	0.09	79.2	0.53%	0	1.6	59	0
19	Feb_7_2005	22.54	23.32	23.41	23.54			23.59(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	8	71	1.95	57%	0.04	79.5	0.53%	0	1.6	55	0
20	Feb_4_2005	22.53	23.29	23.36	23.49			23.64(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	-10000	11	54	0.95	64%	0.09	76.8	0.54%	0	2.2	67	0

21	Feb_3_2005	22.51	23.26	23.31	23.42			23.57(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	14	-10000	7	35	0.6	65%	0.04	65.6	0.63%	0	2.1	69	0
22	Feb_2_2005	22.5	23.23	23.28	23.37			23.55(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	-10000	11	29	0.42	67%	0.04	44.9	0.63%	0	2	60	0
23	Feb_1_2005	22.49	23.2	23.26	23.29			23.36(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	5	18	1.06	65%	0.04	31.7	0.63%	0	1.1	58	0
24	Jan_31_2005	22.48	23.18	23.27	23.25			23.35(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-10000	8	18	0.87	65%	0.04	26.7	0.63%	0	1.2	53	0
25	Jan_28_2005	22.47	23.17	23.25	23.19			23.29(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	4	-10000	3	8	1.18	65%		16.7	0.63%	0	0.9	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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