Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 9, 2004

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $22.7000 (-0.04%) ($22.6100 - $22.7700) on Tue. Nov. 9, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.65% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $22.7000(-0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(70%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(-0%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.325% (StdDev 0.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.57(0.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.21(2.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.85(3.89%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   6.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 2.15% (three month std-dev: 0.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041209

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_9_2004	22.19	21.85	22.21	22.57			22.7(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	81	-10000	22	259	0.13	65%	-0.05	53	0.65%	0	1.8	79	0
2	Nov_8_2004	22.2	21.78	22.09	22.41			22.71(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	77	-10000	26	228	1.68	65%	0	44.7	0.65%	0	2.2	80	0
3	Nov_5_2004	22.2	21.72	21.94	22.22			22.75(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	62	-10000	26	170	0.75	58%	-0.05	34.7	0.67%	0	2.8	75	0
4	Nov_4_2004	22.21	21.66	21.8	22.03			22.65(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	47	-10000	23	120	0.23	58%	-0.05	22.4	0.69%	0	3.4	75	0
5	Nov_3_2004	22.22	21.61	21.68	21.86			22.06(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	31	-10000	9	97	0.37	52%	-0.04	11.8	0.6%	0	2.3	70	0

6	Nov_2_2004	22.23	21.6	21.62	21.8			21.89(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	12	85	1.32	52%	-0.09	10.8	0.6%	0	1.6	63	0
7	Nov_1_2004	22.25	21.59	21.58	21.72			21.75(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	15	63	0.2	51%	0	4.8	0.6%	0	0.9	56	0
8	Oct_29_2004	22.25	21.59	21.56	21.62			21.8(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	20	-10000	14	38	0.71	48%	-0.09	0	0.6%	0	1.1	55	0
9	Oct_28_2004	22.27	21.6	21.53	21.53			21.82(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	9	-10000	9	10	0.49	48%	-0.04	-4.8	0.62%	0	1.2	55	0
10	Oct_27_2004	22.28	21.59	21.48	21.47			21.72(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-1	-10000	6	-22	0.41	50%	-0.09	-12.7	0.62%	0	0.8	46	0

11	Oct_26_2004	22.3	21.58	21.45	21.47			21.49(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-14	-10000	0	-54	0.89	48%	-0.09	-13.9	0.62%	0	-0.5	33	0
12	Oct_25_2004	22.32	21.59	21.46	21.43			21.26(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-26	-10000	-9	-75	0.49	45%	-0.09	-17.7	0.6%	0	-1.9	29	0
13	Oct_22_2004	22.34	21.6	21.49	21.49			21.38(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20	-10000	-5	-65	0.38	41%	-0.09	-14.9	0.62%	0	-1.4	31	0
14	Oct_21_2004	22.36	21.6	21.52	21.52			21.52(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-13	-10000	5	-67	0.36	40%	-0.09	-29	0.62%	0	-0.6	33	0
15	Oct_20_2004	22.38	21.6	21.54	21.49			21.52(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	-10000	2	-70	0.35	40%	-0.04	-50.7	0.64%	0	-0.6	46	0

16	Oct_19_2004	22.39	21.61	21.57	21.48			21.46(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-2	-65	0.2	40%	-0.04	-75.4	0.64%	0	-1	46	0
17	Oct_18_2004	22.4	21.61	21.61	21.48			21.59(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-13	-10000	0	-51	1.28	40%	-0.09	-97.1	0.64%	0	-0.2	53	0
18	Oct_15_2004	22.42	21.62	21.63	21.49			21.51(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-10000	-3	-37	2.32	39%	-0.09	-98.8	0.63%	0	-0.6	55	0
19	Oct_14_2004	22.44	21.65	21.67	21.51			21.37(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10000	-12	-23	0.7	37%	-0.04	-93.5	0.63%	0	-1.4	46	0
20	Oct_13_2004	22.45	21.68	21.7	21.59			21.45(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-10000	-15	-1	0.6	37%	-0.09	-82.2	0.63%	0	-1	48	0

21	Oct_12_2004	22.47	21.72	21.72	21.69			21.54(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10000	-9	33	0.26	37%	-0.04	-64.2	0.63%	0	-0.7	57	0
22	Oct_11_2004	22.48	21.76	21.73	21.75			21.6(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-6	45	0.17	37%	-0.04	-57.1	0.63%	0	-0.6	49	0
23	Oct_8_2004	22.49	21.8	21.72	21.79			21.61(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-10000	-9	46	0.22	37%	-0.04	-54.2	0.63%	0	-0.6	46	0
24	Oct_7_2004	22.5	21.84	21.71	21.85			21.76(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	13	-10000	3	43	0.5	38%	-0.04	-49.7	0.63%	0	-0.2	38	0
25	Oct_6_2004	22.51	21.86	21.69	21.83			21.93(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	10	20	0.7	40%		-48.8	0.62%	0	0.2	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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