Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jul. 23, 2004

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $22.1200 (-1.47%) ($22.0300 - $22.4200) on Fri. Jul. 23, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.54% (three month average)
RSI   18
Latest Price   $22.1200(-1.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(70%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.27% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(14%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.27% (StdDev 0.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $20.91(-5.47%)
Resistance Level   $22.81
5 Day Moving Average   $22.55(-1.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.71(-2.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.81(-3.02%)
To recent high   -6%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.92% (three month std-dev: 0.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040823

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_23_2004	22.93	22.81	22.71	22.55			22.12(-1.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2	-42	-10000	-23	-97	0.3	36%	-0.04	-79.3	0.54%	0	-3.3	18	0
2	Jul_22_2004	22.94	22.87	22.8	22.69			22.45(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-23	-10000	-12	-57	1.14	46%	0	-85.7	0.51%	0	-2.6	25	0
3	Jul_21_2004	22.94	22.91	22.84	22.76			22.52(-1.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-23	-10000	-15	-48	1.55	46%	-0.04	-90.2	0.52%	0	-2.8	19	0
4	Jul_20_2004	22.95	22.94	22.88	22.85			22.83(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-10000	-5	-22	0.19	48%	0	-86	0.5%	0	-0.8	42	0
5	Jul_19_2004	22.95	22.96	22.88	22.88			22.82(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-10000	-5	-17	0.17	48%	-0.04	-84.2	0.51%	0	-1.1	44	0

6	Jul_16_2004	22.96	22.98	22.89	22.91			22.81(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-6	-10000	-4	-12	0.6	51%	0	-82	0.51%	0	-1.2	43	0
7	Jul_15_2004	22.96	23	22.9	22.93			22.82(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7	-10000	-2	-20	0.25	51%	0	-76.9	0.51%	0	-1.2	32	0
8	Jul_14_2004	22.96	23.03	22.93	22.94			22.97(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	-10000	4	-22	0.97	56%	0	-70.3	0.51%	0	-0.4	33	0
9	Jul_13_2004	22.96	23.05	22.93	22.92			22.98(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10000	3	-38	0.45	52%	0	-67.1	0.52%	0	-0.4	36	0
10	Jul_12_2004	22.96	23.07	22.92	22.9			22.95(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-10000	3	-57	0.35	52%	0	-64.4	0.53%	0	-0.6	35	0

11	Jul_9_2004	22.96	23.09	22.91	22.88			22.92(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	-10000	2	-76	0.34	52%	0.04	-62.1	0.53%	0	-0.8	31	0
12	Jul_8_2004	22.95	23.12	22.93	22.87			22.86(-0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-27	-10000	-6	-90	0.16	52%	0	-57.1	0.54%	0	-1.2	24	0
13	Jul_7_2004	22.95	23.15	22.97	22.91			22.89(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-10000	-3	-86	0.29	52%	0	-40.7	0.54%	0	-1.2	22	0
14	Jul_6_2004	22.95	23.18	23	22.93			22.87(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-10000	-1	-94	0.71	52%	0.04	-30.5	0.54%	0	-1.4	20	0
15	Jul_2_2004	22.94	23.2	23.03	22.94			22.86(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-25	-10000	-1	-98	0.17	52%	0	-28.6	0.54%	0	-1.6	29	0

16	Jul_1_2004	22.94	23.22	23.07	22.95			22.86(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10000	-10	-110	0.54	52%	0	-22	0.54%	0	-1.9	26	0
17	Jun_30_2004	22.94	23.22	23.12	23.01			23.09(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-29	-10000	-5	-102	0.31	56%	0.04	-5.5	0.53%	0	-0.9	31	0
18	Jun_29_2004	22.93	23.24	23.15	23.04			22.95(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-10000	-8	-102	0.71	58%	0	11.7	0.53%	0	-1.6	19	0
19	Jun_28_2004	22.93	23.25	23.2	23.09			22.93(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-29	-10000	-9	-87	0.7	58%	0.04	30.1	0.55%	0	-1.9	27	0
20	Jun_25_2004	22.92	23.25	23.24	23.15			22.93(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-24	-10000	-9	-70	0.39	62%	0.04	55.1	0.55%	0	-2.1	41	0

21	Jun_24_2004	22.91	23.26	23.29	23.21			23.15(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-10000	-5	-43	0.2	67%	0.04	86.7	0.56%	0	-0.8	51	0
22	Jun_23_2004	22.9	23.25	23.32	23.24			23.24(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-10	-10000	-5	-26	0.31	67%	0.04	87	0.56%	0	-0.1	52	0
23	Jun_22_2004	22.89	23.22	23.35	23.27			23.21(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	-10000	-8	1	0.15	61%	0.04	79.3	0.56%	0	-0.1	60	0
24	Jun_21_2004	22.88	23.2	23.37	23.32			23.2(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-10000	-4	29	0.21	61%	0.09	68	0.59%	0	0	59	0
25	Jun_18_2004	22.86	23.17	23.38	23.35			23.23(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10000	-6	39	0.52	61%		64.1	0.59%	0	0.2	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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