Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 11, 2004

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $22.5100 (-0.13%) ($22.4000 - $22.6000) on Wed. Feb. 11, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.58% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $22.5100(-0.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(70%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.29% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.29% (StdDev 0.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.43(0.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.2(1.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.94(2.6%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.55% (three month std-dev: 0.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040311

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_11_2004	21.37	21.94	22.2	22.43			22.51(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	54	-10000	12	178	0.36	60%	0.09	70.3	0.58%	0	1.7	74	0
2	Feb_10_2004	21.35	21.88	22.11	22.35			22.54(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	53	-10000	17	162	0.29	60%	0.09	65.1	0.58%	0	2.1	72	0
3	Feb_9_2004	21.33	21.83	22.03	22.24			22.45(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	50	-10000	17	149	0.41	60%	0.09	59.4	0.58%	0	2.1	73	0
4	Feb_6_2004	21.31	21.78	21.98	22.13			22.42(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	49	-10000	20	137	0.48	61%	0.09	52.9	0.58%	0	2.5	69	0
5	Feb_5_2004	21.29	21.73	21.9	22			22.25(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	36	-10000	11	109	0.49	59%	0.05	42.6	0.57%	0	2.4	67	0

6	Feb_4_2004	21.28	21.7	21.83	21.93			22.11(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	35	-10000	16	93	0.38	56%	0.09	41	0.57%	0	2.3	65	0
7	Feb_3_2004	21.26	21.68	21.78	21.83			21.98(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	-10000	6	68	0.23	57%	0.05	33.3	0.57%	0	2	65	0
8	Feb_2_2004	21.25	21.66	21.74	21.79			21.87(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	12	-10000	-3	55	0.1	57%	0.09	35.4	0.58%	0	1.5	61	0
9	Jan_30_2004	21.23	21.66	21.71	21.81			21.78(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	20	-10000	3	69	0.16	57%	0.05	43.3	0.58%	0	1.1	62	0
10	Jan_29_2004	21.22	21.64	21.69	21.79			21.9(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	11	72	0.83	57%	0.05	50	0.57%	0	2	59	0

11	Jan_28_2004	21.21	21.64	21.66	21.79			21.6(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	12	-10000	0	49	0.4	56%	0.09	43.6	0.55%	0	-0.2	50	0
12	Jan_27_2004	21.19	21.63	21.65	21.72			21.82(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	-10000	10	45	0.22	59%	0.05	52.7	0.55%	0	1.6	53	0
13	Jan_26_2004	21.18	21.61	21.62	21.66			21.93(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	14	-10000	10	24	0.45	59%	0.05	39.2	0.54%	0	2.9	59	0
14	Jan_23_2004	21.17	21.59	21.57	21.6			21.72(0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	4	-10000	5	-1	0.21	57%	0.05	26.2	0.53%	0	1.4	59	0
15	Jan_22_2004	21.16	21.59	21.55	21.57			21.54(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	-10000	-2	-22	0.13	55%	0.05	24.3	0.52%	0	-0.5	40	0

16	Jan_21_2004	21.15	21.58	21.56	21.58			21.61(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	-10000	3	-18	0.21	55%	0.05	35.7	0.53%	0	0.3	48	0
17	Jan_20_2004	21.14	21.58	21.57	21.58			21.52(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-10000	0	-23	0.11	55%	0.05	28.6	0.52%	0	-0.6	47	0
18	Jan_16_2004	21.13	21.57	21.58	21.56			21.59(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	5	-12	0.12	55%	0.05	45.2	0.52%	0	0.2	55	0
19	Jan_15_2004	21.12	21.57	21.57	21.56			21.6(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-5	-10000	0	-21	0.29	55%	0.05	45.2	0.52%	0	0.4	56	0
20	Jan_14_2004	21.11	21.56	21.57	21.56			21.58(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-3	-10000	0	-10	0.39	55%	0.09	52.2	0.52%	0	0.2	52	0

21	Jan_13_2004	21.09	21.56	21.59	21.53			21.5(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-10000	-9	-5	0.46	55%	0.05	50	0.53%	0	-0.4	50	0
22	Jan_12_2004	21.08	21.54	21.59	21.58			21.53(0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-10000	-3	20	0.6	55%	0.05	57.1	0.53%	0	-0.1	56	0
23	Jan_9_2004	21.07	21.53	21.59	21.6			21.43(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	4	-10000	-3	24	0.74	55%	0.05	60.7	0.52%	0	-0.8	46	0
24	Jan_8_2004	21.06	21.52	21.59	21.62			21.59(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-10000	-7	30	0.73	57%	0.1	61.7	0.52%	0	0.5	55	0
25	Jan_7_2004	21.04	21.51	21.61	21.66			21.62(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	12	-10000	0	46	0.55	57%		64.6	0.52%	0	0.8	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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