Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 27, 2004

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $21.8200 (-0.5%) ($21.8200 - $21.9600) on Tue. Jan. 27, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.55% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $21.8200(-0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(70%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.275% (StdDev 0.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.72(0.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.65(0.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.63(0.88%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   4.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.55% (three month std-dev: 0.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_27_2004	21.19	21.63	21.65	21.72			21.82(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	-10000	10	45	0.22	59%	0.05	52.7	0.55%	0	1.6	53	0
2	Jan_26_2004	21.18	21.61	21.62	21.66			21.93(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	14	-10000	10	24	0.45	59%	0.05	39.2	0.54%	0	2.9	59	0
3	Jan_23_2004	21.17	21.59	21.57	21.6			21.72(0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	4	-10000	5	-1	0.21	57%	0.05	26.2	0.53%	0	1.4	59	0
4	Jan_22_2004	21.16	21.59	21.55	21.57			21.54(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	-10000	-2	-22	0.13	55%	0.05	24.3	0.52%	0	-0.5	40	0
5	Jan_21_2004	21.15	21.58	21.56	21.58			21.61(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	-10000	3	-18	0.21	55%	0.05	35.7	0.53%	0	0.3	48	0

6	Jan_20_2004	21.14	21.58	21.57	21.58			21.52(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-10000	0	-23	0.11	55%	0.05	28.6	0.52%	0	-0.6	47	0
7	Jan_16_2004	21.13	21.57	21.58	21.56			21.59(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	5	-12	0.12	55%	0.05	45.2	0.52%	0	0.2	55	0
8	Jan_15_2004	21.12	21.57	21.57	21.56			21.6(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-5	-10000	0	-21	0.29	55%	0.05	45.2	0.52%	0	0.4	56	0
9	Jan_14_2004	21.11	21.56	21.57	21.56			21.58(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-3	-10000	0	-10	0.39	55%	0.09	52.2	0.52%	0	0.2	52	0
10	Jan_13_2004	21.09	21.56	21.59	21.53			21.5(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-10000	-9	-5	0.46	55%	0.05	50	0.53%	0	-0.4	50	0

11	Jan_12_2004	21.08	21.54	21.59	21.58			21.53(0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-10000	-3	20	0.6	55%	0.05	57.1	0.53%	0	-0.1	56	0
12	Jan_9_2004	21.07	21.53	21.59	21.6			21.43(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	4	-10000	-3	24	0.74	55%	0.05	60.7	0.52%	0	-0.8	46	0
13	Jan_8_2004	21.06	21.52	21.59	21.62			21.59(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-10000	-7	30	0.73	57%	0.1	61.7	0.52%	0	0.5	55	0
14	Jan_7_2004	21.04	21.51	21.61	21.62			21.62(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	12	-10000	0	46	0.55	57%	0.05	64.6	0.52%	0	0.8	56	0
15	Jan_6_2004	21.03	21.49	21.6	21.66			21.71(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	2	62	0.14	57%	0.05	58.6	0.52%	0	1.5	66	0

16	Jan_5_2004	21.02	21.47	21.57	21.65			21.66(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	7	60	0.24	57%	0.1	53.8	0.52%	0	1.4	58	0
17	Jan_2_2004	21	21.45	21.56	21.61			21.52(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	17	-10000	2	63	0.36	58%	0.1	44.6	0.52%	0	0.5	59	0
18	Dec_31_2003	20.98	21.44	21.55	21.6			21.78(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	26	-10000	9	76	0.26	67%	0.05	38.5	0.5%	0	2.4	68	0
19	Dec_30_2003	20.97	21.42	21.52	21.55			21.65(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	-10000	5	65	0.48	65%	0.1	28.6	0.54%	0	1.9	66	0
20	Dec_29_2003	20.95	21.42	21.48	21.52			21.62(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-10000	7	57	0.32	65%	0.05	39.2	0.54%	0	2	60	0

21	Dec_26_2003	20.94	21.4	21.46	21.48			21.48(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	10	-10000	-3	47	0.03	64%	0.14	48.9	0.54%	0	0.8	59	0
22	Dec_24_2003	20.91	21.4	21.44	21.48			21.46(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	13	-10000	0	51	0.05	60%	0.05	63.8	0.53%	0	0.7	54	0
23	Dec_23_2003	20.9	21.39	21.42	21.5			21.53(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	2	52	0.26	60%	0.1	80.9	0.55%	0	1.4	60	0
24	Dec_22_2003	20.88	21.38	21.4	21.49			21.52(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	8	52	0.13	57%	0.05	100	0.55%	0	1.6	61	0
25	Dec_19_2003	20.87	21.36	21.38	21.44			21.4(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	8	-10000	0	30	0.06	56%		68.6	0.56%	0	0.4	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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