Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 16, 2003

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $20.7700 (2.01%) ($20.4500 - $20.7700) on Mon. Jun. 16, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.99% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $20.7700(2.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    XLU(70%)    XLY(69%)    XLK(68%)    QQQ(65%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-13%)    REMX(1%)    LQD(13%)    OIH(40%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.495% (StdDev 0.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.5(1.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.4(1.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.08(3.44%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 2.04% (three month std-dev: 0.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_16_2003	19.47	20.08	20.4	20.5			20.77(2.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	29	-10000	9	87	0.12	77%	0.15	64.7	0.99%	0	1.7	76	0
2	Jun_13_2003	19.44	20.01	20.32	20.41			20.36(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10000	1	83	0.04	74%	0.05	59.5	0.96%	0	0.9	74	0
3	Jun_12_2003	19.43	19.96	20.29	20.4			20.56(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	26	-10000	4	93	0.06	78%	0.15	63.5	0.96%	0	1.5	76	0
4	Jun_11_2003	19.4	19.9	20.22	20.36			20.49(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	26	-10000	2	99	0.16	78%	0.1	62.7	0.97%	0	1.5	80	0
5	Jun_10_2003	19.38	19.85	20.17	20.34			20.34(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	33	-10000	6	115	0.32	78%	0.1	68.1	0.98%	0	1.3	80	0

6	Jun_9_2003	19.36	19.81	20.12	20.28			20.28(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	35	-10000	6	123	0.27	78%	0.1	73.6	0.99%	0	1.3	81	0
7	Jun_6_2003	19.34	19.77	20.06	20.22			20.32(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	-10000	5	123	0.68	78%	0.1	74.6	0.99%	0	1.6	73	0
8	Jun_5_2003	19.32	19.71	20	20.17			20.39(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	-10000	11	125	0.26	78%	0.1	71.9	1%	0	1.9	71	0
9	Jun_4_2003	19.3	19.66	19.91	20.06			20.37(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	34	-10000	8	111	0.19	78%	0.16	72.4	1.01%	0	2.2	73	0
10	Jun_3_2003	19.27	19.6	19.81	19.98			20.02(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	26	-10000	4	93	0	76%	0.1	74.8	1%	0	1.5	62	0

11	Jun_2_2003	19.25	19.55	19.73	19.94			20.02(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	7	78	0.34	76%	0.05	72	1.01%	0	1.7	59	0
12	May_30_2003	19.24	19.51	19.66	19.87			20.06(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	7	66	0.79	76%	0.1	77.4	1.02%	0	2.1	64	0
13	May_29_2003	19.22	19.46	19.61	19.8			19.85(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	7	65	0.47	74%	0.1	76.4	1.02%	0	1.6	66	0
14	May_28_2003	19.2	19.43	19.56	19.73			19.95(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	-10000	13	58	0.26	74%	0.1	65.3	1.03%	0	2.2	65	0
15	May_27_2003	19.18	19.39	19.51	19.6			19.83(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	20	-10000	12	45	0.82	74%	0.1	62.1	1.04%	0	2.2	64	0

16	May_23_2003	19.16	19.35	19.48	19.48			19.64(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	5	35	0.35	74%	0.05	45.9	1.05%	0	1.4	63	0
17	May_22_2003	19.15	19.31	19.46	19.43			19.74(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	11	-10000	4	31	0.23	74%	0.1	35.6	1.06%	0	2.2	62	0
18	May_21_2003	19.13	19.28	19.4	19.39			19.48(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-10000	3	27	0.17	72%	0.05	45.5	1.05%	0	1.2	61	0
19	May_20_2003	19.12	19.28	19.38	19.36			19.33(0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-10000	-4	24	0.28	72%	0	39.8	1.06%	0	0.4	57	0
20	May_19_2003	19.12	19.27	19.38	19.4			19.21(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	1	-10000	-8	28	0.07	72%	0	45.2	1.07%	0	-0.3	49	0

21	May_16_2003	19.12	19.26	19.37	19.4			19.4(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	11	-10000	0	45	0.88	72%	0.05	59.1	1.07%	0	0.8	59	0
22	May_15_2003	19.11	19.24	19.36	19.48			19.51(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	6	60	0.18	72%	0.1	64.9	1.08%	0	1.5	68	0
23	May_14_2003	19.09	19.21	19.32	19.42			19.36(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	14	-10000	2	48	0.14	72%	0.05	50	1.09%	0	0.7	56	0
24	May_13_2003	19.08	19.2	19.29	19.4			19.51(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	5	43	0.25	72%	0.05	55.8	1.1%	0	1.6	55	0
25	May_12_2003	19.07	19.19	19.27	19.35			19.6(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	16	-10000	9	37	0.34	72%		66	1.11%	0	2.3	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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