Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $42.6800 (-1.61%) ($42.5000 - $42.8900) on Wed. Jul. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $42.6800(-1.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(90%)    VT(90%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(86%)    VYM(77%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.19(-1.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.52(0.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.16(1.23%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   4.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.9% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150822

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_22_2015	42.47		42.52	43.19			42.68(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	39	-10000	5	142	8.59	50%	-0.02	17.4	0.9%	0	0.7	60	0
2	Jul_21_2015	42.48	42.16	42.36	43.1			43.38(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	-10000	12	135	5.98	53%	0	15.6	0.89%	0	1.5	71	0
3	Jul_20_2015	42.48	42.13	42.18	42.87			43.67(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	44	-10000	17	124	9.31	55%	0.02	10.8	0.88%	0	2	75	0
4	Jul_17_2015	42.47	42.06	41.95	42.55			43.44(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	37	-10000	21	86	7.78	53%	0	-1.2	0.91%	0	2	58	0
5	Jul_16_2015	42.47	42.03	41.77	42.15			42.78(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	-10000	21	39	5.21	51%	0	-17.6	0.91%	0	1.1	49	0

6	Jul_15_2015	42.47	42.02	41.65	41.75			42.24(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	6	-10000	13	-14	6.54	50%	-0.02	-36.9	0.89%	0	0.3	42	0
7	Jul_14_2015	42.48	42.03	41.56	41.5			42.23(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-11	-10000	6	-62	6.13	50%	-0.02	-44.4	0.9%	0	0.3	40	0
8	Jul_13_2015	42.49	42.04	41.46	41.38			42.07(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-20	-10000	5	-96	7.07	50%	-0.02	-50.6	0.9%	0	0	38	0
9	Jul_10_2015	42.5	42.07	41.47	41.28			41.44(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-32	-10000	-3	-117	6.75	47%	-0.05	-56.1	0.88%	0	-0.9	36	0
10	Jul_9_2015	42.52	42.15	41.57	41.34			40.79(-0.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-39	-10000	-10	-126	8.99	44%	-0.02	-53.6	0.86%	0	-1.9	21	0

11	Jul_8_2015	42.53	42.26	41.77	41.51			40.95(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-31	-10000	-5	-110	16.16	44%	-0.05	-53.9	0.86%	0	-2	30	0
12	Jul_7_2015	42.55	42.34	41.96	41.6			41.63(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	-10000	3	-101	19.66	47%	-0.02	-65.9	0.83%	0	-1.2	36	0
13	Jul_6_2015	42.56	42.39	42.08	41.55			41.57(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-32	-10000	-8	-105	7.51	49%	-0.02	-80	0.83%	0	-1.5	40	0
14	Jul_2_2015	42.57	42.46	42.18	41.69			41.74(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-10000	-10	-95	5.16	49%	0	-80	0.84%	0	-1.4	39	0
15	Jul_1_2015	42.57	42.53	42.31	41.86			41.68(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-10000	-12	-81	8.15	49%	0	-75.6	0.84%	0	-1.6	34	0

16	Jun_30_2015	42.57	42.62	42.42	42.07			41.4(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-30	-10000	-17	-70	11.38	49%	0	-70.5	0.84%	0	-2.3	30	0
17	Jun_29_2015	42.57	42.72	42.56	42.38			41.36(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-21	-10000	-16	-37	13.11	49%	0	-57.3	0.85%	0	-2.9	42	0
18	Jun_26_2015	42.57	42.83	42.68	42.68			42.26(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-4	-10000	-3	-5	10.17	53%	0.05	-53.6	0.81%	0	-1.6	49	0
19	Jun_25_2015	42.55	42.89	42.73	42.74			42.62(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	-10000	-5	-5	4.91	50%	0.02	-49.4	0.8%	0	-0.7	46	0
20	Jun_24_2015	42.54	42.94	42.77	42.74			42.72(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	1	-10000	0	5	4.85	50%	0.05	-37.9	0.86%	0	-0.5	45	0

21	Jun_23_2015	42.52	42.94	42.8	42.83			42.92(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	-10000	3	-1	3.99	50%	0.07	-35.5	0.86%	0	-0.2	42	0
22	Jun_22_2015	42.49	42.99	42.75	42.78			42.89(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-10000	5	-19	5.44	50%	0.07	-44.2	0.86%	0	-0.2	43	0
23	Jun_19_2015	42.46	43.02	42.71	42.69			42.54(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-10000	-1	-46	13.43	50%	0.05	-46	0.86%	0	-1.1	37	0
24	Jun_18_2015	42.44	43.08	42.75	42.69			43.09(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-13	-10000	0	-51	8.96	55%	0.07	-43	0.84%	0	0	45	0
25	Jun_17_2015	42.41	43.09	42.74	42.71			42.71(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	-10000	-3	-63	11.02	53%		-35.3	0.85%	0	-0.9	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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