Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Apr. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $42.1800 (1.71%) ($41.6400 - $42.2300) on Mon. Apr. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.91% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $42.1800(1.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(90%)    VT(90%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(86%)    VYM(77%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.455% (StdDev 0.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.95(0.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.92(0.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.8(0.91%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   5.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 0.86% (three month std-dev: 0.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150520

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_20_2015	41.67	41.8	41.92	41.95			42.18(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	-10000	3	30	4.85	53%	-0.02	-20.9	0.91%	0	1.1	54	0
2	Apr_17_2015	41.68	41.81	41.92	41.9			41.47(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	2	-10000	-7	30	10.16	50%	0	-10.8	0.89%	0	-0.9	54	0
3	Apr_16_2015	41.68	41.86	41.88	42.02			42.05(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	1	45	9.11	55%	0	6.3	0.88%	0	0.5	63	0
4	Apr_15_2015	41.68	41.88	41.81	42			42.2(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	4	46	12.58	52%	0	15.5	0.88%	0	0.7	67	0
5	Apr_14_2015	41.68	41.87	41.81	41.92			41.83(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	8	-10000	2	25	5.85	50%	0	13.6	0.89%	0	-0.1	40	0

6	Apr_13_2015	41.68	41.88	41.74	41.89			41.96(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-10000	2	13	3.89	50%	0	5.8	0.89%	0	0.2	39	0
7	Apr_10_2015	41.68	41.85	41.68	41.85			42.08(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	-10000	8	-5	4.32	48%	0.02	-5.8	0.9%	0	0.5	40	0
8	Apr_9_2015	41.67	41.84	41.6	41.71			41.92(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	-10000	6	-35	7.29	48%	0.02	-28.2	0.91%	0	0.2	40	0
9	Apr_8_2015	41.66	41.84	41.54	41.6			41.81(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-10000	4	-63	7.2	52%	0	-49.5	0.91%	0	0	37	0
10	Apr_7_2015	41.66	41.81	41.59	41.53			41.68(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-18	-10000	-2	-65	4.68	52%	0	-69.5	0.95%	0	-0.3	46	0

11	Apr_6_2015	41.66	41.85	41.66	41.57			41.77(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	-10000	4	-53	7.34	50%	0	-71.4	0.95%	0	-0.2	47	0
12	Apr_2_2015	41.66	41.88	41.73	41.49			41.37(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-10000	0	-48	5.47	46%	0.02	-75	0.97%	0	-1	51	0
13	Apr_1_2015	41.65	41.96	41.84	41.48			41.38(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	0	-40	10.43	46%	0	-74.8	0.97%	0	-1.1	47	0
14	Mar_31_2015	41.65	42.03	41.95	41.47			41.44(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-9	-30	7.96	44%	0.02	-72.5	0.98%	0	-1	52	0
15	Mar_30_2015	41.64	42.12	42.02	41.66			41.87(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-7	-10000	-6	-10	6.61	46%	0.02	-60.5	0.98%	0	-0.4	53	0

16	Mar_27_2015	41.63	42.19	42.03	41.79			41.37(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-10000	-12	-10	7.91	43%	0	-51.3	0.97%	0	-1.3	36	0
17	Mar_26_2015	41.63	42.28	42.05	42.03			41.34(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-9	-10000	-11	-2	9	43%	0.02	-40.9	0.97%	0	-1.4	39	0
18	Mar_25_2015	41.62	42.37	42.1	42.25			41.31(-2.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-9	-10000	-12	0	8.17	43%	0	-31.5	0.98%	0	-1.7	34	0
19	Mar_24_2015	41.62	42.46	42.13	42.5			42.4(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6	-10000	5	8	7.12	48%	0.05	-19.4	0.93%	0	-0.1	41	0
20	Mar_23_2015	41.6	42.5	42.07	42.41			42.54(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-10000	6	-18	3.75	48%	0.05	-19.1	0.92%	0	0.1	40	0

21	Mar_20_2015	41.58	42.52	42.06	42.3			42.54(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-10000	11	-38	19.3	50%	0.07	-21	0.93%	0	0	37	0
22	Mar_19_2015	41.55	42.55	42.04	42.09			42.44(-0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-12	-10000	7	-67	8.99	50%	0.07	-25.2	0.94%	0	-0.2	41	0
23	Mar_18_2015	41.52	42.55	42.07	41.95			42.56(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-13	-10000	11	-84	15.86	55%	0.07	-24.5	0.94%	0	-0	41	0
24	Mar_17_2015	41.49	42.57	42.1	41.73			41.99(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-23	-10000	3	-102	9.53	55%	0.05	-27.3	0.99%	0	-1	38	0
25	Mar_16_2015	41.47	42.61	42.2	41.67			41.98(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-32	-10000	-6	-109	8.64	53%		-17.5	1.02%	0	-1	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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