Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Feb. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $43.0800 (0.51%) ($42.6400 - $43.1400) on Fri. Feb. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.01% (three month average)
RSI   94
Latest Price   $43.0800(0.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(90%)    VT(90%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(86%)    VYM(77%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.505% (StdDev 1.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.79(0.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.24(1.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.47(3.88%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   8.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2.41% (three month std-dev: 1.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150320

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_20_2015	40.78	41.47	42.24	42.79			43.08(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	45	-10000	7	160	6.93	50%	0.1	57.3	1.01%	0	1.6	94	0
2	Feb_19_2015	40.74	41.38	42.05	42.65			42.86(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	49	-10000	10	166	3.13	50%	0.1	62.2	1.01%	0	1.6	80	0
3	Feb_18_2015	40.7	41.27	41.85	42.44			42.71(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	48	-10000	10	162	3.75	50%	0.05	61.5	1.02%	0	1.7	82	0
4	Feb_17_2015	40.68	41.16	41.66	42.23			42.67(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	51	-10000	15	160	5.34	50%	0.1	58.8	1.02%	0	1.9	80	0
5	Feb_13_2015	40.64	41.04	41.42	41.91			42.65(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	43	-10000	15	125	4.32	50%	0.1	47.2	1.01%	0	2.2	60	0

6	Feb_12_2015	40.6	40.9	41.15	41.6			42.38(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	28	-10000	11	80	6.77	50%	0.05	29.8	1.01%	0	2.2	56	0
7	Feb_11_2015	40.58	40.8	40.94	41.37			41.81(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	-10000	10	48	6.25	48%	0.05	23.6	1%	0	1.8	51	0
8	Feb_10_2015	40.56	40.74	40.76	41.17			41.65(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	12	-10000	8	22	11.25	48%	0.02	21.1	1%	0	1.7	57	0
9	Feb_9_2015	40.55	40.69	40.6	41			41.04(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	6	-10000	8	-0	7.17	45%	0.02	13.8	0.98%	0	0.7	53	0
10	Feb_6_2015	40.54	40.7	40.61	40.85			41.1(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-10000	12	1	4.79	45%	0.02	5.1	0.98%	0	0.8	58	0

11	Feb_5_2015	40.53	40.71	40.63	40.61			41.23(0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	6	-10000	8	-1	5.09	45%	0.02	-8.1	0.98%	0	1	63	0
12	Feb_4_2015	40.52	40.67	40.64	40.45			40.85(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	6	-10000	9	-2	5.89	45%	0	-30.5	0.97%	0	0.4	53	0
13	Feb_3_2015	40.52	40.64	40.63	40.28			40.77(1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	7	-16	9.88	45%	0.02	-56.1	0.97%	0	0.3	50	0
14	Feb_2_2015	40.51	40.63	40.62	40.14			40.31(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-17	-10000	-10	-36	15.62	43%	0	-80.2	0.96%	0	-0.7	46	0
15	Jan_30_2015	40.51	40.68	40.63	40.34			39.9(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-21	-10000	-16	-34	13.01	44%	0	-75.2	0.97%	0	-1.5	37	0

16	Jan_29_2015	40.51	40.75	40.66	40.65			40.4(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-10000	-11	-26	16.82	46%	0	-69.2	0.96%	0	-0.7	39	0
17	Jan_28_2015	40.51	40.82	40.67	40.86			40.02(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-8	-10000	-8	-6	13.05	48%	0	-59.8	0.95%	0	-1.6	48	0
18	Jan_27_2015	40.51	40.92	40.75	41.01			40.09(-2.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-2	-10000	-7	15	10.79	48%	-0.02	-44.9	0.97%	0	-1.6	52	0
19	Jan_26_2015	40.52	41.03	40.83	41.14			41.28(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	10	38	9.73	53%	0.02	-32.1	0.89%	0	0.5	56	0
20	Jan_23_2015	40.51	41.06	40.81	40.96			41.45(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	-10000	16	24	6.48	57%	0.05	-25.5	0.9%	0	0.6	50	0

21	Jan_22_2015	40.49	41.09	40.79	40.67			41.46(1.64%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.3	6	-10000	10	-5	8.81	57%	0.02	-22.2	0.91%	0	0.6	49	0
22	Jan_21_2015	40.48	41.12	40.69	40.48			40.79(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-12	-10000	0	-46	13.92	57%	0.02	-17	0.89%	0	-0.5	39	0
23	Jan_20_2015	40.47	41.15	40.63	40.47			40.72(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-19	-10000	-0	-74	12.02	57%	0	-10.9	0.92%	0	-0.6	36	0
24	Jan_16_2015	40.47	41.21	40.62	40.48			40.38(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	-10000	-9	-103	18.82	59%	0.02	-7.3	0.92%	0	-1.1	31	0
25	Jan_15_2015	40.46	41.22	40.71	40.65			39.99(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-37	-10000	-15	-104	9.33	57%		-3.5	0.92%	0	-1.7	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.