Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Oct. 28, 2014

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $39.8300 (1.37%) ($39.4000 - $39.8500) on Tue. Oct. 28, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.88% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $39.8300(1.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(90%)    VT(89%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.44% (StdDev 0.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.15(1.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.51(3.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.66(3.03%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2.2% (three month std-dev: 0.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141128

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_28_2014	39.2	38.66	38.51	39.15			39.83(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	31	-10000	13	84	7.75	52%	0.03	-14.5	0.88%	0	1.4	47	0
2	Oct_27_2014	39.19	38.65	38.29	38.92			39.29(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	17	43	5.94	50%	0.05	-23	0.86%	0	0.8	51	0
3	Oct_24_2014	39.17	38.67	38.12	38.64			39.25(0.87%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	11	-10000	20	-16	6.9	50%	0.03	-32.9	0.86%	0	0.7	45	0
4	Oct_23_2014	39.16	38.69	37.99	38.32			38.91(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	-10000	21	-74	32.22	49%	0.03	-45.8	0.85%	0	0.3	43	0
5	Oct_22_2014	39.15	38.71	37.98	37.98			38.48(-0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-20	-10000	13	-119	12.08	48%	0.03	-59.7	0.84%	0	-0.3	43	0

6	Oct_21_2014	39.14	38.79	38.08	37.77			38.66(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-25	-10000	12	-134	11.57	48%	0.03	-64.9	0.85%	0	-0.1	44	0
7	Oct_20_2014	39.13	38.85	38.09	37.58			37.92(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-43	-10000	4	-184	9.22	45%	0	-70.6	0.81%	0	-0.9	32	0
8	Oct_17_2014	39.13	38.96	38.25	37.52			37.65(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-53	-10000	-5	-197	12.79	45%	0	-70.8	0.82%	0	-1.3	31	0
9	Oct_16_2014	39.13	39.09	38.44	37.6			37.21(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-69	-10000	-24	-203	27.12	44%	-0.03	-70	0.82%	0	-1.9	26	0
10	Oct_15_2014	39.14	39.26	38.65	37.97			37.43(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-65	-10000	-29	-173	29.07	44%	0	-64.7	0.82%	0	-2	34	0

11	Oct_14_2014	39.14	39.42	38.84	38.43			37.69(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-47	-10000	-16	-139	21.54	46%	-0.03	-57.2	0.82%	0	-2.1	29	0
12	Oct_13_2014	39.15	39.55	39.07	38.68			37.63(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-48	-10000	-24	-118	28.6	46%	0	-54.9	0.83%	0	-2.7	32	0
13	Oct_10_2014	39.15	39.68	39.29	39.07			38.05(-2.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-35	-10000	-19	-84	30.18	47%	0.03	-52.7	0.82%	0	-2.8	34	0
14	Oct_9_2014	39.14	39.79	39.48	39.38			39.05(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-10000	-3	-61	15.3	52%	0.05	-50	0.76%	0	-1.6	37	0
15	Oct_8_2014	39.12	39.86	39.52	39.42			39.71(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-16	-10000	5	-80	8.67	53%	0.08	-47.2	0.73%	0	-0.3	39	0

16	Oct_7_2014	39.09	39.89	39.56	39.34			38.97(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-36	-10000	-13	-105	9.01	49%	0.05	-50.9	0.7%	0	-2.1	34	0
17	Oct_6_2014	39.07	39.95	39.67	39.52			39.59(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-25	-10000	-3	-90	6.95	53%	0.08	-48.4	0.67%	0	-0.9	41	0
18	Oct_3_2014	39.04	39.99	39.71	39.56			39.58(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	-10000	-3	-84	6.71	53%	0.08	-45.3	0.68%	0	-1.1	46	0
19	Oct_2_2014	39.01	40.02	39.78	39.6			39.26(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-21	-10000	-1	-79	13.38	51%	0.08	-42.2	0.67%	0	-2.1	39	0
20	Oct_1_2014	38.98	40.07	39.91	39.62			39.28(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-30	-10000	-14	-79	13.06	53%	0.05	-47.5	0.67%	0	-2.5	37	0

21	Sep_30_2014	38.96	40.11	40.03	39.81			39.9(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-15	-10000	-2	-52	6.76	57%	0.1	-38.8	0.65%	0	-0.8	44	0
22	Sep_29_2014	38.92	40.13	40.06	39.83			39.78(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10000	-5	-47	4.83	57%	0.08	-35.8	0.65%	0	-1.3	47	0
23	Sep_26_2014	38.89	40.16	40.09	39.89			39.79(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-10000	-8	-50	4.88	57%	0.1	-27.7	0.66%	0	-1.4	43	0
24	Sep_25_2014	38.85	40.18	40.13	40			39.36(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-25	-10000	-19	-43	9.35	55%	0.08	-18.3	0.64%	0	-3.4	38	0
25	Sep_24_2014	38.82	40.22	40.24	40.25			40.24(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-10000	-2	2	7.14	61%		22.5	0.58%	0	0.1	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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