Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Oct. 16, 2014

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $37.2100 (-0.59%) ($36.7000 - $37.4600) on Thu. Oct. 16, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $37.2100(-0.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(90%)    VT(89%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    TLT(-19%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $33.32(-10.45%)
Resistance Level   $39.09
5 Day Moving Average   $37.6(-1.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.44(-3.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.09(-4.81%)
To recent high   -8.3%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2.53% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_16_2014	39.13	39.09	38.44	37.6			37.21(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-69	-10000	-24	-203	27.12	44%	-0.03	-70	0.82%	0	-1.9	26	0
2	Oct_15_2014	39.14	39.26	38.65	37.97			37.43(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-65	-10000	-29	-173	29.07	44%	0	-64.7	0.82%	0	-2	34	0
3	Oct_14_2014	39.14	39.42	38.84	38.43			37.69(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-47	-10000	-16	-139	21.54	46%	-0.03	-57.2	0.82%	0	-2.1	29	0
4	Oct_13_2014	39.15	39.55	39.07	38.68			37.63(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-48	-10000	-24	-118	28.6	46%	0	-54.9	0.83%	0	-2.7	32	0
5	Oct_10_2014	39.15	39.68	39.29	39.07			38.05(-2.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-35	-10000	-19	-84	30.18	47%	0.03	-52.7	0.82%	0	-2.8	34	0

6	Oct_9_2014	39.14	39.79	39.48	39.38			39.05(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-10000	-3	-61	15.3	52%	0.05	-50	0.76%	0	-1.6	37	0
7	Oct_8_2014	39.12	39.86	39.52	39.42			39.71(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-16	-10000	5	-80	8.67	53%	0.08	-47.2	0.73%	0	-0.3	39	0
8	Oct_7_2014	39.09	39.89	39.56	39.34			38.97(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-36	-10000	-13	-105	9.01	49%	0.05	-50.9	0.7%	0	-2.1	34	0
9	Oct_6_2014	39.07	39.95	39.67	39.52			39.59(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-25	-10000	-3	-90	6.95	53%	0.08	-48.4	0.67%	0	-0.9	41	0
10	Oct_3_2014	39.04	39.99	39.71	39.56			39.58(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	-10000	-3	-84	6.71	53%	0.08	-45.3	0.68%	0	-1.1	46	0

11	Oct_2_2014	39.01	40.02	39.78	39.6			39.26(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-21	-10000	-1	-79	13.38	51%	0.08	-42.2	0.67%	0	-2.1	39	0
12	Oct_1_2014	38.98	40.07	39.91	39.62			39.28(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-30	-10000	-14	-79	13.06	53%	0.05	-47.5	0.67%	0	-2.5	37	0
13	Sep_30_2014	38.96	40.11	40.03	39.81			39.9(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-15	-10000	-2	-52	6.76	57%	0.1	-38.8	0.65%	0	-0.8	44	0
14	Sep_29_2014	38.92	40.13	40.06	39.83			39.78(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10000	-5	-47	4.83	57%	0.08	-35.8	0.65%	0	-1.3	47	0
15	Sep_26_2014	38.89	40.16	40.09	39.89			39.79(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-10000	-8	-50	4.88	57%	0.1	-27.7	0.66%	0	-1.4	43	0

16	Sep_25_2014	38.85	40.18	40.13	40			39.36(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-25	-10000	-19	-43	9.35	55%	0.08	-18.3	0.64%	0	-3.4	38	0
17	Sep_24_2014	38.82	40.18	40.24	40.25			40.24(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-10000	-2	2	7.14	61%	0.1	22.5	0.58%	0	0.1	54	0
18	Sep_23_2014	38.78	40.22	40.25	40.27			39.98(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-1	-10000	-5	10	5.97	59%	0.1	35	0.58%	0	-1.5	50	0
19	Sep_22_2014	38.74	40.22	40.26	40.33			40.07(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.7	6	-10000	2	17	6.38	59%	0.08	64.9	0.58%	0	-1.1	46	0
20	Sep_19_2014	38.71	40.23	40.26	40.31			40.34(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	-10000	2	16	15.73	62%	0.1	91.4	0.58%	0	0.8	51	0

21	Sep_18_2014	38.67	40.22	40.29	40.29			40.6(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	8	-10000	4	18	7.4	64%	0.1	114.3	0.57%	0	2.7	60	0
22	Sep_17_2014	38.63	40.19	40.23	40.25			40.36(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	4	-10000	2	9	7.65	62%	0.13	140.6	0.57%	0	1.3	54	0
23	Sep_16_2014	38.58	40.16	40.23	40.23			40.28(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	-10000	4	7	11.91	62%	0.1	162.9	0.57%	0	0.9	53	0
24	Sep_15_2014	38.54	40.13	40.2	40.19			39.98(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-5	-10000	-6	-0	6.88	61%	0.1	150	0.57%	0	-0.9	47	0
25	Sep_12_2014	38.5	40.1	40.23	40.26			40.22(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-10000	-2	16	5.56	60%		122.6	0.56%	0	0.5	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.