Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Sep. 2, 2014

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $40.2900 (0.02%) ($40.1700 - $40.3700) on Tue. Sep. 2, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.56% (three month average)
RSI   96
Latest Price   $40.2900(0.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(90%)    VT(89%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.28% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    TLT(-19%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.28% (StdDev 0.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.2(0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.12(0.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.57(1.82%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.64% (three month std-dev: 0.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141002

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_2_2014	38.18	39.57	40.12	40.2			40.29(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	33	-10000	3	122	5.69	59%	0.21	39	0.56%	0	1.1	96	0
2	Aug_29_2014	38.1	39.51	40.06	40.17			40.28(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	38	-10000	3	144	7.68	59%	0.13	34.6	0.55%	0	1.2	95	0
3	Aug_28_2014	38.05	39.44	39.97	40.17			40.1(-0.15%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	-0.1	39	-10000	0	154	3.53	59%	0.08	27.1	0.56%	0	1.1	95	0
4	Aug_27_2014	38.02	39.38	39.89	40.14			40.16(-0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	48	-10000	4	181	4.33	62%	0.13	22.7	0.56%	0	1.3	98	0
5	Aug_26_2014	37.97	39.35	39.8	40.09			40.17(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	51	-10000	4	193	3.36	62%	0.11	20.7	0.56%	0	1.4	90	0

6	Aug_25_2014	37.93	39.32	39.67	40.04			40.15(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	55	-10000	9	193	3.43	62%	0.13	18.6	0.57%	0	1.5	84	0
7	Aug_22_2014	37.88	39.3	39.55	39.94			40.11(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	56	-10000	15	177	4.41	64%	0.08	17.8	0.58%	0	1.5	69	0
8	Aug_21_2014	37.85	39.27	39.4	39.77			40.1(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	49	-10000	14	152	3.45	64%	0.08	12.3	0.58%	0	1.6	72	0
9	Aug_20_2014	37.82	39.25	39.24	39.61			39.91(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	38	-10000	12	117	7.01	64%	0.11	10.4	0.58%	0	1.3	64	0
10	Aug_19_2014	37.78	39.23	39.1	39.47			39.91(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	-10000	18	73	5.05	64%	0.08	5.7	0.58%	0	1.4	49	0

11	Aug_18_2014	37.75	39.22	38.97	39.26			39.66(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	14	16	4.25	62%	0.11	-0.9	0.59%	0	1	46	0
12	Aug_15_2014	37.71	39.2	38.91	39.1			39.29(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	-10000	11	-26	8.91	60%	0.08	-8.7	0.58%	0	0.2	39	0
13	Aug_14_2014	37.68	39.21	38.85	38.98			39.29(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	-10000	16	-64	4.61	60%	0.11	-11.3	0.59%	0	0.2	41	0
14	Aug_13_2014	37.64	39.19	38.82	38.8			39.22(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-19	-10000	12	-110	5.49	60%	0.05	-19.7	0.59%	0	0.1	39	0
15	Aug_12_2014	37.62	39.21	38.86	38.67			38.84(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-33	-10000	2	-139	6.7	61%	0.08	-20.5	0.58%	0	-0.8	31	0

16	Aug_11_2014	37.59	39.22	38.93	38.65			38.86(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-38	-10000	-3	-143	6.51	61%	0.08	-18.3	0.6%	0	-0.8	33	0
17	Aug_8_2014	37.56	39.24	39.02	38.69			38.67(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-34	-10000	-2	-131	6.02	61%	0.05	-13.9	0.6%	0	-1.3	38	0
18	Aug_7_2014	37.54	39.26	39.12	38.71			38.42(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-39	-10000	-10	-127	6.87	59%	0.05	-13.4	0.6%	0	-1.9	32	0
19	Aug_6_2014	37.52	39.28	39.26	38.83			38.58(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-40	-10000	-20	-101	9.14	55%	0.05	-6.7	0.59%	0	-1.7	47	0
20	Aug_5_2014	37.5	39.3	39.39	39.06			38.7(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-28	-10000	-17	-59	12.29	55%	0.08	10.6	0.61%	0	-1.5	40	0

21	Aug_4_2014	37.47	39.31	39.49	39.26			39.07(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-13	-17	6.33	58%	0.08	27.5	0.6%	0	-0.6	51	0
22	Aug_1_2014	37.44	39.3	39.53	39.41			38.79(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-10	-10000	-15	7	15.51	56%	0.08	46.1	0.59%	0	-1.3	46	0
23	Jul_31_2014	37.41	39.32	39.61	39.59			39(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	1	-10000	-14	47	17.42	56%	0.08	70.7	0.59%	0	-0.8	54	0
24	Jul_30_2014	37.38	39.31	39.62	39.75			39.75(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	22	-10000	-1	91	7.76	65%	0.08	87.3	0.54%	0	1.1	70	0
25	Jul_29_2014	37.35	39.26	39.6	39.76			39.71(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	-10000	0	111	7.31	65%		96.2	0.54%	0	1.1	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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