Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 14, 2014

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $39.2900 (0.18%) ($39.1200 - $39.2900) on Thu. Aug. 14, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.59% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $39.2900(0.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(90%)    VT(89%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.295% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    TLT(-19%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.295% (StdDev 0.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.98(0.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.85(1.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.21(0.2%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   7.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.15% (three month std-dev: 0.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140914

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_14_2014	37.68	39.21	38.85	38.98			39.29(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	-10000	16	-64	4.61	60%	0.11	-11.3	0.59%	0	0.2	41	0
2	Aug_13_2014	37.64	39.19	38.82	38.8			39.22(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-19	-10000	12	-110	5.49	60%	0.05	-19.7	0.59%	0	0.1	39	0
3	Aug_12_2014	37.62	39.21	38.86	38.67			38.84(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-33	-10000	2	-139	6.7	61%	0.08	-20.5	0.58%	0	-0.8	31	0
4	Aug_11_2014	37.59	39.22	38.93	38.65			38.86(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-38	-10000	-3	-143	6.51	61%	0.08	-18.3	0.6%	0	-0.8	33	0
5	Aug_8_2014	37.56	39.24	39.02	38.69			38.67(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-34	-10000	-2	-131	6.02	61%	0.05	-13.9	0.6%	0	-1.3	38	0

6	Aug_7_2014	37.54	39.26	39.12	38.71			38.42(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-39	-10000	-10	-127	6.87	59%	0.05	-13.4	0.6%	0	-1.9	32	0
7	Aug_6_2014	37.52	39.28	39.26	38.83			38.58(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-40	-10000	-20	-101	9.14	55%	0.05	-6.7	0.59%	0	-1.7	47	0
8	Aug_5_2014	37.5	39.3	39.39	39.06			38.7(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-28	-10000	-17	-59	12.29	55%	0.08	10.6	0.61%	0	-1.5	40	0
9	Aug_4_2014	37.47	39.31	39.49	39.26			39.07(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-13	-17	6.33	58%	0.08	27.5	0.6%	0	-0.6	51	0
10	Aug_1_2014	37.44	39.3	39.53	39.41			38.79(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-10	-10000	-15	7	15.51	56%	0.08	46.1	0.59%	0	-1.3	46	0

11	Jul_31_2014	37.41	39.32	39.61	39.59			39(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	1	-10000	-14	47	17.42	56%	0.08	70.7	0.59%	0	-0.8	54	0
12	Jul_30_2014	37.38	39.31	39.62	39.75			39.75(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	22	-10000	-1	91	7.76	65%	0.08	87.3	0.54%	0	1.1	70	0
13	Jul_29_2014	37.35	39.26	39.6	39.75			39.71(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	-10000	0	111	7.31	65%	0.11	96.2	0.54%	0	1.1	67	0
14	Jul_28_2014	37.31	39.19	39.54	39.76			39.79(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	-10000	7	131	7.76	68%	0.08	93.6	0.54%	0	1.4	71	0
15	Jul_25_2014	37.28	39.12	39.48	39.68			39.72(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	5	123	4.75	62%	0.08	88.7	0.55%	0	1.3	61	0

16	Jul_24_2014	37.25	39.04	39.4	39.63			39.77(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	14	114	11.66	62%	0.11	80	0.58%	0	1.6	63	0
17	Jul_23_2014	37.21	38.96	39.3	39.47			39.8(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	-10000	5	88	5.47	57%	0.08	68.6	0.58%	0	1.8	65	0
18	Jul_22_2014	37.18	38.87	39.2	39.41			39.73(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	-10000	10	83	4.79	57%	0.11	63.6	0.6%	0	1.8	65	0
19	Jul_21_2014	37.14	38.79	39.09	39.29			39.4(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	3	72	6.18	55%	0.08	60.3	0.59%	0	1.4	67	0
20	Jul_18_2014	37.11	38.73	39.05	39.25			39.45(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	9	86	4.77	55%	0.08	58.8	0.59%	0	1.6	68	0

21	Jul_17_2014	37.08	38.67	38.99	39.14			38.98(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	26	-10000	4	92	5.67	51%	0.08	60.6	0.58%	0	0.7	67	0
22	Jul_16_2014	37.05	38.64	38.98	39.09			39.49(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	36	-10000	12	108	8.06	59%	0.11	61.3	0.56%	0	2.1	77	0
23	Jul_15_2014	37.01	38.58	38.9	38.96			39.13(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	-10000	9	108	7.42	56%	0.08	57.3	0.56%	0	1.5	76	0
24	Jul_14_2014	36.98	38.53	38.82	38.86			39.2(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	-10000	4	96	4.21	60%	0.08	50.5	0.56%	0	1.9	71	0
25	Jul_11_2014	36.95	38.47	38.73	38.82			38.92(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	23	-10000	-1	96	3.26	52%		51.8	0.56%	0	1.4	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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