Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 28, 2014

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $39.7900 (0.18%) ($39.4800 - $39.8700) on Mon. Jul. 28, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.54% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $39.7900(0.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(90%)    VT(89%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.27% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    TLT(-19%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.27% (StdDev 0.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.76(0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.54(0.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.19(1.53%)
To recent high   -0%
To recent low   10.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.1% (three month std-dev: 0.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140828

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_28_2014	37.31	39.19	39.54	39.76			39.79(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	-10000	7	131	7.76	68%	0.08	93.6	0.54%	0	1.4	71	0
2	Jul_25_2014	37.28	39.12	39.48	39.68			39.72(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	5	123	4.75	62%	0.08	88.7	0.55%	0	1.3	61	0
3	Jul_24_2014	37.25	39.04	39.4	39.63			39.77(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	14	114	11.66	62%	0.11	80	0.58%	0	1.6	63	0
4	Jul_23_2014	37.21	38.96	39.3	39.47			39.8(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	-10000	5	88	5.47	57%	0.08	68.6	0.58%	0	1.8	65	0
5	Jul_22_2014	37.18	38.87	39.2	39.41			39.73(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	-10000	10	83	4.79	57%	0.11	63.6	0.6%	0	1.8	65	0

6	Jul_21_2014	37.14	38.79	39.09	39.29			39.4(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	3	72	6.18	55%	0.08	60.3	0.59%	0	1.4	67	0
7	Jul_18_2014	37.11	38.73	39.05	39.25			39.45(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	9	86	4.77	55%	0.08	58.8	0.59%	0	1.6	68	0
8	Jul_17_2014	37.08	38.67	38.99	39.14			38.98(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	26	-10000	4	92	5.67	51%	0.08	60.6	0.58%	0	0.7	67	0
9	Jul_16_2014	37.05	38.64	38.98	39.09			39.49(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	36	-10000	12	108	8.06	59%	0.11	61.3	0.56%	0	2.1	77	0
10	Jul_15_2014	37.01	38.58	38.9	38.96			39.13(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	-10000	9	108	7.42	56%	0.08	57.3	0.56%	0	1.5	76	0

11	Jul_14_2014	36.98	38.53	38.82	38.86			39.2(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	-10000	4	96	4.21	60%	0.08	50.5	0.56%	0	1.9	71	0
12	Jul_11_2014	36.95	38.47	38.73	38.82			38.92(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	23	-10000	-1	96	3.26	52%	0.08	51.8	0.56%	0	1.4	69	0
13	Jul_10_2014	36.92	38.42	38.66	38.83			38.72(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	-10000	-1	90	4.42	45%	0.08	48.8	0.58%	0	0.9	58	0
14	Jul_9_2014	36.89	38.39	38.6	38.84			38.83(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	21	-10000	2	78	7.12	49%	0.08	59	0.66%	0	1.4	58	0
15	Jul_8_2014	36.86	38.37	38.52	38.82			38.64(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	21	-10000	4	72	6.92	52%	0.05	71.8	0.67%	0	0.9	59	0

16	Jul_7_2014	36.84	38.35	38.48	38.76			38.99(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-10000	10	70	10.48	54%	0.11	77.6	0.67%	0	2.2	70	0
17	Jul_3_2014	36.8	38.31	38.39	38.63			38.95(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	22	-10000	12	51	2.19	49%	0.08	79.4	0.72%	0	2.5	69	0
18	Jul_2_2014	36.77	38.26	38.32	38.46			38.78(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	17	-10000	9	39	4.97	49%	0.08	75	0.72%	0	2.3	71	0
19	Jul_1_2014	36.74	38.21	38.28	38.34			38.74(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	16	-10000	11	29	7.49	52%	0.11	67.2	0.72%	0	2.4	59	0
20	Jun_30_2014	36.7	38.15	38.22	38.19			38.35(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	3	-10000	2	5	4.49	49%	0.08	55.8	0.73%	0	1	49	0

21	Jun_27_2014	36.67	38.13	38.2	38.16			38.34(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	-10000	4	-1	10.88	49%	0.11	58.2	0.73%	0	1	50	0
22	Jun_26_2014	36.63	38.1	38.18	38.11			38.11(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-6	-10000	-4	-11	11.35	46%	0.11	69.1	0.73%	0	0	48	0
23	Jun_25_2014	36.59	38.08	38.16	38.16			38.15(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-5	-10000	-4	-8	5.11	46%	0.11	82.5	0.74%	0	0.3	54	0
24	Jun_24_2014	36.55	38.06	38.17	38.21			38(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-0	-10000	-3	8	8.47	46%	0.11	101.5	0.75%	0	-0.2	58	0
25	Jun_23_2014	36.51	38.04	38.2	38.26			38.2(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-10000	1	26	3.77	46%		117.6	0.74%	0	0.6	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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