Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 8, 2014

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $38.6400 (-0.9%) ($38.4300 - $38.9700) on Tue. Jul. 8, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.67% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $38.6400(-0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(90%)    VT(89%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.335% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    TLT(-19%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.335% (StdDev 0.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.82(-0.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.52(0.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.37(0.7%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   9.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 0.78% (three month std-dev: 0.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140808

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_8_2014	36.86	38.37	38.52	38.82			38.64(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	21	-10000	4	72	6.92	52%	0.05	71.8	0.67%	0	0.9	59	0
2	Jul_7_2014	36.84	38.35	38.48	38.76			38.99(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-10000	10	70	10.48	54%	0.11	77.6	0.67%	0	2.2	70	0
3	Jul_3_2014	36.8	38.31	38.39	38.63			38.95(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	22	-10000	12	51	2.19	49%	0.08	79.4	0.72%	0	2.5	69	0
4	Jul_2_2014	36.77	38.26	38.32	38.46			38.78(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	17	-10000	9	39	4.97	49%	0.08	75	0.72%	0	2.3	71	0
5	Jul_1_2014	36.74	38.21	38.28	38.34			38.74(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	16	-10000	11	29	7.49	52%	0.11	67.2	0.72%	0	2.4	59	0

6	Jun_30_2014	36.7	38.15	38.22	38.19			38.35(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	3	-10000	2	5	4.49	49%	0.08	55.8	0.73%	0	1	49	0
7	Jun_27_2014	36.67	38.13	38.2	38.16			38.34(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	-10000	4	-1	10.88	49%	0.11	58.2	0.73%	0	1	50	0
8	Jun_26_2014	36.63	38.1	38.18	38.11			38.11(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-6	-10000	-4	-11	11.35	46%	0.11	69.1	0.73%	0	0	48	0
9	Jun_25_2014	36.59	38.08	38.16	38.16			38.15(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-5	-10000	-4	-8	5.11	46%	0.11	82.5	0.74%	0	0.3	54	0
10	Jun_24_2014	36.55	38.06	38.17	38.21			38(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-0	-10000	-3	8	8.47	46%	0.11	101.5	0.75%	0	-0.2	58	0

11	Jun_23_2014	36.51	38.04	38.2	38.26			38.2(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-10000	1	26	3.77	46%	0.08	117.6	0.74%	0	0.6	64	0
12	Jun_20_2014	36.48	38	38.21	38.24			38.09(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-10000	-1	35	5.43	44%	0.11	115.8	0.75%	0	0.3	60	0
13	Jun_19_2014	36.44	37.95	38.22	38.25			38.35(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	6	46	5.92	44%	0.11	101.1	0.75%	0	1.1	65	0
14	Jun_18_2014	36.4	37.89	38.19	38.16			38.42(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	2	40	13.04	48%	0.11	89.6	0.75%	0	1.3	69	0
15	Jun_17_2014	36.36	37.8	38.13	38.13			38.22(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	9	-10000	-1	39	7.04	50%	0.08	77.3	0.77%	0	0.9	70	0

16	Jun_16_2014	36.33	37.74	38.08	38.15			38.13(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	9	-10000	-2	42	7.07	50%	0.08	75.6	0.78%	0	0.8	64	0
17	Jun_13_2014	36.3	37.67	38.05	38.18			38.13(0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-10000	-1	55	7.33	47%	0.08	75.4	0.78%	0	0.9	71	0
18	Jun_12_2014	36.27	37.59	38.02	38.2			37.91(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	17	-10000	-1	71	4.82	47%	0.06	71.1	0.8%	0	0.6	73	0
19	Jun_11_2014	36.25	37.53	38.01	38.22			38.24(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10000	7	94	4.25	49%	0.06	74.5	0.79%	0	1.2	85	0
20	Jun_10_2014	36.23	37.46	37.94	38.12			38.33(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	32	-10000	8	102	3.59	49%	0.06	77.4	0.79%	0	1.5	89	0

21	Jun_9_2014	36.21	37.38	37.87	38			38.31(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	31	-10000	7	103	6.39	49%	0.08	76.7	0.79%	0	1.7	80	0
22	Jun_6_2014	36.18	37.28	37.77	37.89			38.19(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	30	-10000	5	104	4.8	49%	0.06	72.3	0.79%	0	1.7	81	0
23	Jun_5_2014	36.16	37.19	37.66	37.81			38.02(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	29	-10000	3	108	5.67	49%	0.06	67.6	0.79%	0	1.5	82	0
24	Jun_4_2014	36.14	37.1	37.55	37.77			37.77(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	30	-10000	3	111	3.5	52%	0.08	64.2	0.79%	0	1.2	72	0
25	Jun_3_2014	36.11	37.02	37.45	37.72			37.7(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	26	-10000	0	104	5.67	50%		60.3	0.8%	0	1.2	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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