Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 21, 2014

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $36.9600 (0.68%) ($36.7400 - $36.9700) on Wed. May. 21, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $36.9600(0.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(90%)    VT(89%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    TLT(-19%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.74(0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.68(0.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.48(1.32%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 0.88% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140621

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_21_2014	35.92	36.48	36.68	36.74			36.96(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	3	40	4.16	48%	0.03	51.1	0.82%	0	1.5	58	0
2	May_20_2014	35.91	36.43	36.6	36.69			36.71(-0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	6	-10000	-1	28	4.24	48%	0.03	52.4	0.82%	0	0.9	55	0
3	May_19_2014	35.9	36.41	36.55	36.71			36.92(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-10000	1	29	3.3	48%	0.03	68.8	0.81%	0	1.8	62	0
4	May_16_2014	35.89	36.37	36.51	36.69			36.68(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	13	-10000	5	38	5.8	48%	0.06	89.2	0.81%	0	1.1	63	0
5	May_15_2014	35.87	36.34	36.51	36.62			36.45(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	12	-10000	2	42	7.29	48%	0	90.5	0.81%	0	0.4	66	0

6	May_14_2014	35.87	36.32	36.48	36.59			36.67(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	7	47	5.11	48%	0.03	82.4	0.81%	0	1.3	58	0
7	May_13_2014	35.86	36.27	36.46	36.49			36.84(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	19	-10000	9	47	5.74	48%	0.06	63.8	0.81%	0	2	65	0
8	May_12_2014	35.84	36.21	36.41	36.36			36.82(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	10	-10000	3	30	5.59	48%	0.06	49.4	0.81%	0	2	56	0
9	May_9_2014	35.82	36.13	36.33	36.31			36.33(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-10000	-1	23	7.44	48%	0.03	30.8	0.8%	0	0.6	53	0
10	May_8_2014	35.81	36.09	36.28	36.32			36.29(0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10000	-3	18	3.79	48%	0.06	17.5	0.81%	0	0.6	55	0

11	May_7_2014	35.79	36.1	36.27	36.36			36.19(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-10000	-4	25	6.83	50%	0.06	16.5	0.81%	0	0.3	53	0
12	May_6_2014	35.77	36.09	36.25	36.42			36.17(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	7	-10000	-2	35	4.7	52%	0.03	10.3	0.83%	0	0.2	58	0
13	May_5_2014	35.76	36.06	36.27	36.45			36.58(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	7	58	4.08	54%	0.08	4	0.82%	0	1.4	68	0
14	May_2_2014	35.73	36.06	36.22	36.35			36.39(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	8	64	6.72	50%	0.06	-6.4	0.86%	0	1.1	70	0
15	May_1_2014	35.71	36.03	36.18	36.22			36.49(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	-10000	3	57	4.98	50%	0.06	-7	0.86%	0	1.3	63	0

16	Apr_30_2014	35.69	36.04	36.14	36.17			36.45(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	7	47	9.17	52%	0.06	-2.8	0.86%	0	1.1	49	0
17	Apr_29_2014	35.67	36.04	36.07	36.17			36.34(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-10000	0	30	5.48	51%	0.03	-6.1	0.87%	0	0.7	54	0
18	Apr_28_2014	35.66	36.04	35.99	36.06			36.09(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	6	-10000	-1	28	12.07	51%	0.03	-6.1	0.88%	0	0.1	55	0
19	Apr_25_2014	35.65	36.05	35.91	36.08			35.75(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-10000	-3	17	6.4	48%	0.06	-7.9	0.87%	0	-0.7	49	0
20	Apr_24_2014	35.63	36.06	35.9	36.13			36.21(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-10000	1	7	5.01	47%	0.03	-11.7	0.87%	0	0.4	45	0

21	Apr_23_2014	35.62	36.05	35.9	36.11			35.93(-1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	1	-10000	2	-1	11.43	47%	0.06	-17.1	0.9%	0	-0.3	40	0
22	Apr_22_2014	35.6	36.08	35.91	36.07			36.32(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	-10000	10	-16	5.48	49%	0.03	-20.2	0.89%	0	0.6	43	0
23	Apr_21_2014	35.59	36.07	35.84	35.91			36.17(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	-10000	12	-44	3.53	49%	0.06	-28.1	0.88%	0	0.2	48	0
24	Apr_17_2014	35.57	36.08	35.81	35.72			36.03(-0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-13	-10000	6	-70	7.88	49%	0.03	-33.6	0.89%	0	-0.1	50	0
25	Apr_16_2014	35.56	36.11	35.86	35.63			36.08(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-21	-10000	-4	-73	14	49%		-31	0.89%	0	-0.1	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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