Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Apr. 3, 2014

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $36.6200 (-0.49%) ($36.5100 - $36.9300) on Thu. Apr. 3, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.8% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $36.6200(-0.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(90%)    VT(89%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    GDXJ(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.4% (StdDev 0.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.52(0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.38(0.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.32(0.83%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   7.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 0.83% (three month std-dev: 0.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140503

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_3_2014	35.4	36.32		36.52			36.62(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	9	34	7.76	55%	0.06	16.9	0.8%	0	1	65	0
2	Apr_2_2014	35.38	36.31	36.38	36.39			36.8(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	16	-10000	10	34	10.5	53%	0.08	8.8	0.8%	0	1.7	63	0
3	Apr_1_2014	35.35	36.29	36.33	36.24			36.78(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	7	-10000	4	16	7.02	53%	0.08	1.4	0.81%	0	1.8	54	0
4	Mar_31_2014	35.32	36.27	36.3	36.18			36.35(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	4	-10000	1	13	7.28	52%	0.06	2.8	0.81%	0	0.3	51	0
5	Mar_28_2014	35.3	36.25	36.27	36.17			36.07(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-10000	-4	4	6.36	52%	0.09	-1.4	0.8%	0	-0.7	46	0

6	Mar_27_2014	35.27	36.26	36.27	36.22			35.93(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-10	-10000	-10	-8	12.93	52%	0.06	11.6	0.8%	0	-1.3	43	0
7	Mar_26_2014	35.25	36.26	36.23	36.36			36.06(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-4	-10000	-4	-2	7.51	52%	0.06	31.9	0.8%	0	-0.9	43	0
8	Mar_25_2014	35.23	36.28	36.26	36.42			36.5(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	1	-10000	-1	5	7.63	54%	0.09	40.6	0.79%	0	0.9	50	0
9	Mar_24_2014	35.2	36.26	36.26	36.43			36.28(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	4	-10000	4	4	10.35	54%	0.09	39.1	0.79%	0	0.1	47	0
10	Mar_21_2014	35.17	36.25	36.24	36.38			36.31(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	10	-10000	10	9	9.11	56%	0.09	33.3	0.8%	0	0.2	57	0

11	Mar_20_2014	35.14	36.23	36.25	36.24			36.65(0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	7	-10000	11	-5	5.9	58%	0.09	18.1	0.8%	0	1.6	54	0
12	Mar_19_2014	35.11	36.2	36.23	36.24			36.37(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	1.2	-6	-10000	0	-25	7.79	58%	0.06	7.6	0.79%	0	0.7	51	0
13	Mar_18_2014	35.09	36.18	36.24	36.08			36.52(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.8	-1	-10000	4	-16	6.86	60%	0.09	15.2	0.79%	0	1.4	58	0
14	Mar_17_2014	35.06	36.18	36.24	36.03			36.05(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-10000	-4	-17	16.44	58%	0.09	26.6	0.78%	0	-0.5	53	0
15	Mar_14_2014	35.03	36.16	36.22	36.09			35.63(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-12	-10000	-11	-15	8.94	57%	0.06	54.7	0.77%	0	-2.3	43	0

16	Mar_13_2014	35.01	36.19	36.3	36.25			35.85(-1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-5	-10000	-10	12	9.4	57%	0.09	116.4	0.77%	0	-1.7	51	0
17	Mar_12_2014	34.98	36.18	36.35	36.39			36.34(0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-1	38	6.36	59%	0.09	163.8	0.75%	0	0.8	57	0
18	Mar_11_2014	34.95	36.15	36.32	36.41			36.28(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-10000	-2	42	9.46	57%	0.09	174.2	0.75%	0	0.5	58	0
19	Mar_10_2014	34.92	36.1	36.29	36.44			36.36(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10000	6	48	7.56	57%	0.09	149.4	0.76%	0	0.8	56	0
20	Mar_7_2014	34.89	36.04	36.27	36.36			36.42(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	1	38	7.2	57%	0.11	125.7	0.76%	0	1	58	0

21	Mar_6_2014	34.85	35.95	36.22	36.35			36.53(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	3	37	8.67	58%	0.11	100	0.76%	0	1.2	63	0
22	Mar_5_2014	34.81	35.85	36.18	36.31			36.48(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	7	40	8.93	58%	0.14	79.6	0.77%	0	1.1	67	0
23	Mar_4_2014	34.76	35.74	36.12	36.21			36.43(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	6	37	11.6	58%	0.12	65.4	0.77%	0	1.1	69	0
24	Mar_3_2014	34.72	35.62	36.09	36.13			35.96(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-2	42	9.03	56%	0.09	51.5	0.75%	0	0.5	71	0
25	Feb_28_2014	34.69	35.57	36.1	36.15			36.35(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	22	-10000	6	71	9.7	58%		50.7	0.73%	0	1.1	83	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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