Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jan. 17, 2014

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $35.7500 (-0.56%) ($35.6700 - $35.9600) on Fri. Jan. 17, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.62% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $35.7500(-0.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(90%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(73%)    VWO(71%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    UUP(-9%)    XLE(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.31% (StdDev 0.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.63(0.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.49(0.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.44(0.87%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   9.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 0.79% (three month std-dev: 0.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_17_2014	33.71	35.44	35.49	35.63			35.75(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	8	27	6.34	72%	0.12	98.7	0.62%	0	1.1	52	0
2	Jan_16_2014	33.67	35.39	35.44	35.54			35.95(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	12	-10000	13	7	6.93	73%	0.15	89.4	0.62%	0	1.9	54	0
3	Jan_15_2014	33.62	35.32	35.38	35.4			35.96(1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	2	-10000	9	-20	9.67	73%	0.12	71.8	0.62%	0	2.1	56	0
4	Jan_14_2014	33.58	35.25	35.35	35.3			35.53(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-7	-10000	1	-31	6.42	72%	0.12	53.8	0.62%	0	0.9	52	0
5	Jan_13_2014	33.54	35.19	35.34	35.29			34.94(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-9	-10000	-5	-22	6.45	69%	0.09	41.4	0.59%	0	-0.7	53	0

6	Jan_10_2014	33.51	35.16	35.41	35.34			35.32(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	3	-10000	2	6	12.96	77%	0.12	35.3	0.57%	0	0.4	62	0
7	Jan_9_2014	33.47	35.13	35.44	35.32			35.25(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-10000	-3	22	6.34	77%	0.09	29.8	0.6%	0	0.3	63	0
8	Jan_8_2014	33.44	35.11	35.44	35.35			35.48(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	9	-10000	-5	52	4.7	73%	0.12	32.1	0.59%	0	0.8	73	0
9	Jan_7_2014	33.4	35.08	35.46	35.35			35.48(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	0	81	7.16	73%	0.12	39.6	0.63%	0	0.9	73	0
10	Jan_6_2014	33.36	35.05	35.41	35.4			35.16(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	19	-10000	-8	100	4.52	72%	0.12	42.7	0.63%	0	0.2	74	0

11	Jan_3_2014	33.32	35.02	35.39	35.49			35.22(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	27	-10000	-7	130	5.2	69%	0.09	48.9	0.63%	0	0.4	72	0
12	Jan_2_2014	33.29	34.99	35.36	35.57			35.39(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	36	-10000	-2	151	8.55	69%	0.12	56.7	0.64%	0	0.9	68	0
13	Dec_31_2013	33.25	34.95	35.28	35.59			35.74(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	-10000	5	159	6.84	74%	0.12	66.7	0.62%	0	1.8	65	0
14	Dec_30_2013	33.21	34.89	35.16	35.53			35.51(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	43	-10000	10	142	4.64	73%	0.09	72.5	0.63%	0	1.5	60	0
15	Dec_27_2013	33.18	34.85	35.03	35.42			35.58(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	-10000	14	114	3.82	73%	0.12	73.9	0.63%	0	1.8	64	0

16	Dec_26_2013	33.14	34.8	34.9	35.27			35.61(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	-10000	14	86	3.58	73%	0.12	78.3	0.64%	0	2.2	68	0
17	Dec_24_2013	33.1	34.73	34.79	35.11			35.52(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	29	-10000	18	62	2.61	73%	0.12	79.3	0.64%	0	2.5	64	0
18	Dec_23_2013	33.06	34.66	34.72	34.91			35.42(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	20	-10000	15	36	7.29	73%	0.09	69	0.64%	0	2.6	63	0
19	Dec_20_2013	33.03	34.59	34.66	34.74			34.96(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	14	18	8.83	66%	0.09	59.7	0.62%	0	1.5	58	0
20	Dec_19_2013	33	34.56	34.64	34.59			34.86(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	7	-10000	10	-4	8.66	66%	0.09	44.9	0.64%	0	1.2	53	0

21	Dec_18_2013	32.97	34.51	34.61	34.48			34.8(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-2	-10000	5	-21	17.11	68%	0.09	21.8	0.64%	0	1.1	55	0
22	Dec_17_2013	32.94	34.47	34.59	34.42			34.53(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-11	-10000	-6	-24	5.58	67%	0.09	17.9	0.65%	0	0.2	57	0
23	Dec_16_2013	32.91	34.46	34.59	34.49			34.54(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-6	-10000	-7	-3	6.01	67%	0.09	27.2	0.66%	0	0.3	60	0
24	Dec_13_2013	32.88	34.46	34.61	34.57			34.2(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-4	-10000	-11	18	4.85	66%	0.06	42	0.65%	0	-0.9	55	0
25	Dec_12_2013	32.86	34.45	34.66	34.69			34.31(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	9	-10000	-5	51	5.5	66%		65.4	0.64%	0	-0.5	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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